Track record
Monday, September 21
62 gaps written down that day, 51 on two-way markets and 11 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- MLSChicago Fire FC @ Vancouver Whitecaps FCPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg49.6%
- MLSDallas @ Los Angeles FPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- MLSColumbus @ MiamiPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- MLSSan Jose @ PortlandKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- MLSSalt Lake @ New EnglandPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- MLSSeattle @ Kansas CityKalshi + FanDuel · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.0%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ OrlandoFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.0%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ OrlandoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- MLSSeattle @ Kansas CityKalshi + BetMGM · stood 32 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.2%
- MLSVancouver @ DC UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.5%
- WTAStorm Hunter vs Joanna GarlandKalshi + Caesars · seen once so far11.0%
- WTAKristina Mladenovic vs Nao HibinoKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far8.6%
- WTAStorm Hunter vs Joanna GarlandFanDuel + DraftKings · seen once so far8.6%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.3%
- WTAKristina Mladenovic vs Nao HibinoPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far7.5%
- Dota 2NS Team vs YBN TeamPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min6.6%
- LoLOnly The Family vs Gamespace Mediterranean College EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr6.5%
- Dota 2Team Cobra vs Pipsqueak+4Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr5.8%
- CS2G2 Ares vs Leo TeamKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr5.7%
- LoLThe Otter Side vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy EditionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr4.2%
- CS2Zomblers vs LAG GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 22 hr3.5%
- LoLLodis vs Pyramid IV EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr3.5%
- Dota 2Yakult's Brothers vs Conventus StellarumPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr3.4%
- CS2Keyd vs Bounty Hunters EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days3.2%
- WTAKyoka Okamura vs Leylah FernandezDraftKings + Kalshi · seen once so far2.3%
- LoLVerdant vs SU EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr2.3%
- NHLBlackhawks @ SabresPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 22 hr2.2%
- NHLBlues @ StarsPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 4 hr2.0%
- Dota 2Hokori vs MOUZPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr1.9%
- LoLCITA Kaizen vs Team Aqua ASDKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr1.7%
- CS2Yawara Esports vs GalorysPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days1.7%
- LoLmCon esports vs VerdantPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr1.7%
- CS2Damajuana vs BORRACHEIROSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr1.7%
- CS2Mira vs MEIA NOITEKalshi + Polymarket · stood 16 hr1.6%
- CS2METANOIA WOLVES vs IsurusPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 24 hr1.4%
- CS2Reveal vs Pandaric eSportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr1.2%
- Dota 2Aurora vs LGD GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr1.2%
- NHLBlackhawks @ UtahPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 2 hr1.1%
- CS2Drama eSports vs ex-RUSTECPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.0%
- CS2KUUSAMO.gg vs Saint SinnersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 23 hr0.9%
- CS2ALKA vs Procyon GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 21 hr0.9%
- Dota 2Natus Vincere vs Team YandexPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.8%
- Dota 2avice Team vs Cake TeamPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.8%
- LoLBubliki vs Barça eSportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.8%
- Dota 2Team Lynx vs Yellow SubmarinePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr0.8%
- CS2Bounty Hunters Esports vs DamajuanaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 22 hr0.7%
- NHLCanucks @ OilersPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days0.6%
- CS2Esport Academy Copenhagen vs 100 ThievesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 47 hr0.6%
- CS2Turma do Pagode vs paiNPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 46 hr0.6%
- CS2Juventus Gaming vs ImperialPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.5%
- CS2ex-Zero Tenacity vs INOX DivisionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.5%
- CS2Keyd vs Gremio EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 20 hr0.5%
- NHLBruins @ WildPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 19 hr0.4%
- CS2Huskies eSport vs BIG AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.4%
- NCAAFOregon St. @ UTEPKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.4%
- CS2BakS eSports vs INOX DivisionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr0.4%
- CS2Bushido Wildcats vs NexusPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.3%
- CS2Just_Players vs UPGRADEPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr0.2%
- CS2MEIA NOITE vs Turma do PagodePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 26 hr0.2%
- Dota 2MOUZ vs Team NemesisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr0.2%
- CS2NAVI Junior vs LavkedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.2%
- CS2BBL vs Virtus.proPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.