Track record
Wednesday, September 23
61 gaps written down that day, 50 on two-way markets and 11 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- MLSChicago Fire @ VancouverPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg39.6%
- MLSDallas @ Los Angeles FPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.3%
- MLSDallas @ Los Angeles FKalshi + FanDuel · stood 29 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- MLSAtlanta @ New York CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- MLSCharlotte @ Chicago FirePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- MLSColumbus @ MiamiKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- MLSSalt Lake @ New EnglandPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 37 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- LoLThe Otter Side vs CITA KaizenPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far25.1%
- MLSNashville @ TorontoPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ OrlandoPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.4%
- CS2Low Cortisol vs GalorysPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr14.7%
- WTAElise Mertens vs Barbora KrejcikovaKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far14.6%
- CS2Procyon Gaming vs ODDIKPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr10.2%
- CS2Legion vs KaleidoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 29 min10.0%
- CS2Semente do Mal vs paiN AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr9.8%
- LoLVerdant vs SU EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr7.1%
- CS2FarmVille vs regainPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr4.6%
- CS2Fruju vs OrglessPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr4.3%
- CS2MEIA NOITE vs DamajuanaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr3.8%
- CS2Team Nemesis vs Rune EatersKalshi + Polymarket · stood 26 hr3.4%
- CS2METANOIA WOLVES vs KeydPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr3.3%
- CS2Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 27 hr3.2%
- LoLFURIA Esports vs RED CanidsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days2.9%
- CS2Bounty Hunters Esports vs paiNPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr2.8%
- CS2Signatus vs QUINTESSENCIAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr2.6%
- CS2Iowa Stormboar vs MarsbornePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr2.6%
- Dota 2Team Nemesis vs Xtreme GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr2.4%
- Dota 21win vs Team YandexPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 20 hr2.1%
- CS2ex-RUBY vs SinnersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 37 hr2.1%
- Dota 2GamerLegion vs AuroraPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr2.1%
- Dota 2LGD Gaming vs Natus VincerePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr2.0%
- NCAAFBoise St. @ Western MichiganKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far1.9%
- CS2NuTorious vs MarcaRegistradaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min1.9%
- CS2Just_Players vs NemigaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr1.9%
- LoLPyramid IV Esports vs Skillcamp EsportPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr1.8%
- CS2Chaos Enforcers vs Fever SquadKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min1.8%
- CS2FaZe Up Next vs TEAM GELOKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min1.5%
- CS2K27 vs CYBERSHOKE EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 18 hr1.5%
- CS2The Huns Esports vs TEAM XDMKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min1.2%
- CS2Arcade Esports vs MARKandLARRYKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr1.2%
- CS2Voca vs DENDELE CSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 46 hr1.0%
- CS2megoshort vs Bushido WildcatsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr1.0%
- CS2Rooster vs FlyQuestPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 35 hr1.0%
- CS2Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr0.9%
- NCAAFNorthern Illinois @ Georgia St.Kalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.8%
- NCAAFKentucky @ South CarolinaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 32 hr0.8%
- CS2Isurus vs Gremio EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 15 hr0.7%
- Dota 2Nemiga Gaming vs Two MovePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.7%
- CS2STATE vs ex-Zero TenacityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.7%
- CS2Optibet vs 95 VikingsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.7%
- CS2EYEBALLERS vs magicPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.6%
- CS2Diamant Esports vs INFURITY GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr0.5%
- CS2Rush vs BESTIA AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.5%
- CS2Phantom Academy vs Spirit AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 20 hr0.4%
- CS2LAG Gaming vs DetonateKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr0.4%
- CS295 Vikings vs INFINITE TalentPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.3%
- MLBMilwaukee @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far0.3%
- CS2underw0rld vs RED Canids AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 22 hr0.2%
- ValorantTeam Vitality vs Global EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.