Track record
Tuesday, September 22
62 gaps written down that day, 53 on two-way markets and 9 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- MLSChicago Fire @ VancouverPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg42.9%
- WTATalia Gibson vs Amanda AnisimovaKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far33.9%
- WTATalia Gibson vs Amanda AnisimovaPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far30.5%
- MLSCharlotte @ Chicago FirePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- MLSDallas @ Los Angeles FKalshi + FanDuel · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ ColoradoKalshi + Fanatics · stood 46 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ OrlandoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.6%
- ATPFajing Sun vs Matthew DellavedovaPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far20.4%
- CS2Unsettled Resentment vs Lynn VisionKalshi + Polymarket · stood 29 min17.0%
- MLSSeattle @ Kansas CityFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.4%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ OrlandoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.4%
- CS2CUBAN CIGAR vs Chaos EnforcersKalshi + Polymarket · stood 29 min15.3%
- MLSVancouver @ DC UnitedFanatics + BetMGM · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.1%
- MLSVancouver @ DC UnitedPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.0%
- LoLPyramid IV Esports vs Arctic PandasPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr9.4%
- Dota 2Pipsqueak+4 vs 1winPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr4.7%
- CS2Arcade Esports vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr4.5%
- CS2Semente do Mal vs ODDIKPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr3.8%
- LoLGamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Barça eSportsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far3.5%
- LoLTeam Aqua ASD vs The Otter SidePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr3.4%
- CS2Revise vs WBT AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr3.2%
- CS2ASTRAL vs Apogee EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 37 hr2.6%
- LoLLodis vs Skillcamp EsportPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr2.4%
- CS2Rare Atom vs Not A Squad EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr2.4%
- CS2LPH Gaming vs FortressKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr2.3%
- CS2Rooster vs MindfreakKalshi + Polymarket · stood 20 hr2.1%
- CS2Noir Verse vs maybeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min1.7%
- CS2Abyssal vs Ground ZeroPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr1.6%
- CS2The Huns Esports vs The KnockoutXKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr1.6%
- CS2Misa Esports vs QUAZARPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr1.5%
- ValorantG2 Esports vs TYLOOPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 44 hr1.4%
- ValorantXLG Gaming vs Karmine CorpPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days1.3%
- Dota 2MOUZ vs LGD GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr1.3%
- Dota 2Kalmychata vs Team SynapsePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.2%
- CS2Overtake vs FRZ UnitKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr1.2%
- CS2Gremio Esports vs ALKAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 21 hr1.0%
- CS2aimclub vs Diamant EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 36 hr1.0%
- CS2INFURITY Gaming vs aimclubPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 20 hr0.9%
- NCAAFLindenwood @ Eastern MichiganKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 hr0.8%
- CS2Marsborne vs FlyQuest REDKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr0.7%
- NCAAFIncarnate Word @ Texas St.Kalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 hr0.7%
- NCAAFKansas St. @ CincinnatiKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min0.6%
- LoLCITA Kaizen vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy EditionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr0.6%
- CS2Phantom vs fnaticPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr0.6%
- CS2Unsettled Resentment vs Lynn VisionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.6%
- NFLNew York J @ ChicagoDraftKings + FanDuel · stood 60 min0.6%
- NFLLos Angeles R @ PhiladelphiaPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 7 days0.6%
- CS2Legion vs Rare AtomPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr0.5%
- Dota 2Conventus Stellarum vs Team NemesisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr0.5%
- CS2your end vs PeladonaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr0.5%
- CS2Zetta Games vs BESTIA AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.5%
- CS2Orgless vs FlyQuestPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr0.5%
- NCAAFRobert Morris @ BuffaloKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min0.5%
- NFLMiami @ MinnesotaPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 12 hr0.4%
- LoLFlyQuest vs Shopify RebellionKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days0.4%
- CS2Just_Players vs fnaticPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 33 hr0.3%
- CS26666 vs Misa EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr0.3%
- CS2Procyon Gaming vs METANOIA WOLVESKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr0.3%
- WTATatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra EalaPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far0.2%
- Dota 21win vs Natus VincerePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.2%
- Dota 2Daxak Team vs avice TeamKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr0.2%
- CS23DMAX vs LuminosityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.1%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.