Track record
Saturday, September 19
75 gaps written down that day, 26 on two-way markets and 49 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- Ligue 1Angers @ TroyesKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.7%
- MLSSeattle @ MinnesotaBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg34.6%
- MLSDC United @ CharlotteBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.3%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
- MLSAustin @ San Diego FCKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg32.6%
- MLSAtlanta @ New York CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.6%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakeKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.2%
- Serie AVenezia @ LazioBetMGM + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
- MLSDallas @ Los Angeles FBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- EPLLeeds United @ Crystal PalacePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.8%
- MLSHouston @ CincinnatiPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.7%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakeFanatics + BetRivers · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- MLSCharlotte @ Chicago FireBetMGM + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
- MLSDC United @ CharlotteKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- EPLTottenham @ Aston VillaKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- WTAPeyton Stearns vs Iva JovicDraftKings + Kalshi · seen once so far28.9%
- Ligue 1Lyon @ Stade RennaisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- EPLFulham @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- EPLFulham @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + BetMGM · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- MLSSalt Lake @ New EnglandBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
- MLSHouston @ CincinnatiKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
- MLSPortland @ AtlantaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- MLSSalt Lake @ VancouverPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- MLSSalt Lake @ New EnglandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- MLSSalt Lake @ VancouverPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- MLSSalt Lake @ New EnglandFanDuel + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- MLSMontreal @ CincinnatiKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.5%
- MLSAtlanta @ New York CityKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
- MLSMinnesota @ Los Angeles GPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
- MLSMinnesota @ Los Angeles GKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
- MLSCharlotte @ Chicago FireKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- MLSMontreal @ CincinnatiPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- MLSNew England @ OrlandoPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- La LigaVillarreal @ LevantePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.8%
- MLSKansas City @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.9%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.1%
- MLSSan Jose @ PortlandPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.6%
- MLSMontreal @ CincinnatiKalshi + FanDuel · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.6%
- MLSMontreal @ CincinnatiKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.5%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ OrlandoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- La LigaSevilla @ BarcelonaBetMGM + Polymarket · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.0%
- EPLManchester City @ SunderlandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.3%
- MLSMiami @ San Diego FCKalshi + Polymarket · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.9%
- MLSMiami @ San Diego FCPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.9%
- MLSNashville @ TorontoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.1%
- MLSVancouver @ DC UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.3%
- MLSNashville @ TorontoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.2%
- Dota 2PuckChamp vs Team LynxPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr5.4%
- CS2FURIA vs VitalityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr5.1%
- CS2Esport BERG vs GenOnePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr4.9%
- CS2SAW Youngsters vs largadosypeladosPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr4.6%
- CS2UPGRADE vs ColorPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr3.1%
- Dota 2Nemiga Gaming vs Team SynapsePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr2.8%
- CS2G2 Ares vs QUAZARPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr2.4%
- CS2Nice Try vs Eternal FirePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr2.2%
- CS2Sangal vs AstralisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days2.1%
- CS2Johnny Speeds vs HeroicPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days2.1%
- Dota 2Team Nemesis vs Team YandexPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr1.6%
- CS2WRAITH PCIFIC vs ex-Zero TenacityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr1.6%
- MLBAtlanta @ HoustonKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far1.5%
- LoLRED Canids vs Vivo Keyd StarsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr1.3%
- Dota 2Team Cobra vs PlayTimePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr1.2%
- LoLMovistar KOI vs G2 EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr1.2%
- CS2Bounty Hunters Esports vs Fluxo W7MPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr1.0%
- MLBMilwaukee @ BaltimorePolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far0.8%
- Dota 2Stariy Bog Club vs VooDooSh ClubKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.7%
- MLBAtlanta @ HoustonPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far0.6%
- MLBWashington @ St. LouisPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far0.6%
- NCAAFFresno St. @ San Jose St.Polymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.4%
- CS2Leo Team vs Just_PlayersPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
- NCAAFMonmouth @ University at AlbanyKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.2%
- CS2FURIA vs MOUZPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.