Track record
Friday, September 11
96 gaps written down that day, 40 on two-way markets and 56 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- CS2Iberian Soul vs REVENIXKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far75.1%
- La LigaAlaves @ ValenciaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg42.1%
- La LigaOsasuna @ EspanyolKalshi + Polymarket · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.7%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ ToulouseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.6%
- La LigaReal Betis @ GetafeKalshi + DraftKings · stood 41 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.5%
- Ligue 1Auxerre @ Stade Brest 29Kalshi + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.0%
- Serie ANapoli @ BolognaPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg33.7%
- La LigaEspanyol @ ElcheFanatics + FanDuel · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.2%
- Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ MarseillePolymarket + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg32.5%
- Serie ANapoli @ BolognaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.2%
- MLSSalt Lake @ New York CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- EPLCrystal Palace @ Ipswich TownFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FreiburgKalshi + BetRivers · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- EPLManchester United @ Manchester CityPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- EPLTottenham @ Aston VillaPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ Strasbourg AlsaceBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.3%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ Strasbourg AlsaceBetRivers + DraftKings · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.3%
- Serie AAtalanta @ CagliariKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
- BundesligaFC Köln @ BremenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
- EPLCrystal Palace @ Ipswich TownKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- EPLBrentford @ ChelseaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- BundesligaHamburg @ FC KölnPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- Ligue 1Toulouse @ Le HavreKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.1%
- MLSOrlando @ TorontoPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ MalagaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- MLSDC United @ AtlantaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- Ligue 1Toulouse @ Le HavreKalshi + DraftKings · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
- MLSColorado @ MontrealKalshi + Polymarket · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- BundesligaStuttgart @ DortmundKalshi + Fanatics · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- La LigaVillarreal @ Real BetisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- BundesligaAugsburg @ LeverkusenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- BundesligaBremen @ AugsburgKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
- BundesligaFreiburg @ M´gladbachKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
- MLSOrlando @ TorontoKalshi + Fanatics · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- MLSMiami @ NashvilleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- MLSOrlando @ TorontoKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- Ligue 1Le Mans @ LensKalshi + Polymarket · stood 36 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- La LigaVillarreal @ Real BetisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- MLSCincinnati @ CharlotteKalshi + Polymarket · stood 39 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- MLSKansas City @ Los Angeles FKalshi + FanDuel · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.1%
- Ligue 1Marseille @ PSGKalshi + BetRivers · stood 36 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.4%
- MLSKansas City @ Los Angeles FKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
- EPLNewcastle @ Hull CityKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.5%
- EPLNewcastle @ Hull CityKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.3%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ HoffenheimPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.7%
- Ligue 1Marseille @ PSGBetRivers + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.4%
- Serie AInter @ UdinesePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
- Serie AMilan @ LecceKalshi + Fanatics · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.2%
- La LigaElche @ Real MadridKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.3%
- La LigaEspanyol @ ElcheKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg15.0%
- Dota 2InterActive Philippines vs Team NemesisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr12.5%
- La LigaLevante @ BarcelonaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg7.9%
- La LigaLevante @ BarcelonaPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg7.0%
- CS2regain vs MarsbornePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr6.9%
- BundesligaBayern Munich @ Union BerlinPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg6.7%
- MLSNew York City @ New York RBKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.8%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.6%
- CS2largadosypelados vs STATEPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far4.6%
- CS2Legacy vs MIBRPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr3.4%
- ValorantKRÜ Blaze vs Akave Esports BlackKalshi + Polymarket · stood 42 hr2.9%
- CS2Legacy vs MIBRKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr2.5%
- CS2SportsBetExpert vs Iowa StormboarKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr2.3%
- Dota 2Dawn Bulls vs MOUZPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min2.1%
- CS2Voca vs antivalueKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr2.0%
- CS2Just_Players vs NemigaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 25 hr1.4%
- LoLKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Estral EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days1.4%
- LoLNatus Vincere vs GIANTXPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min1.3%
- CS2Misa Esports vs SINQUKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr1.3%
- CS2The Last Resort vs SinnersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min1.2%
- CS2ex-Zero Tenacity vs WalczakiKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.1%
- LoLCyberCore Esports vs Saigon WarriorsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr1.0%
- LoL9Gaming vs Saigon WarriorsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.8%
- Dota 2Zero Tenacity vs Natus VincerePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 19 hr0.8%
- NCAAFMichigan St. @ Notre DameKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 hr0.7%
- CS2Nemiga vs 1WINPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.7%
- CS2Liquid vs NRGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr0.6%
- NCAAFWestern Carolina @ CincinnatiPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.5%
- LoLBRUTE vs MeavedronPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 39 hr0.5%
- CS2Prestige vs CTRL EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr0.5%
- MLSNew York City @ New York RBPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg0.5%
- NCAAFVirginia Tech @ MarylandKalshi + DraftKings · stood 60 min0.4%
- CS2Leo Team vs FOKUSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr0.4%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg0.4%
- CS2Lavked vs MetizportPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.3%
- CS2Sinners vs Nuclear TigeRESPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.3%
- LoLHanwha Life Esports vs T1Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 22 hr0.3%
- CS2Imperial vs DENDELE CSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.3%
- MLBPhiladelphia @ AtlantaPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 hr0.2%
- CS2Misa Esports vs Bushido WildcatsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr0.2%
- LoLNatus Vincere vs GIANTXKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr0.2%
- LoLMaryville University vs Cupid EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.2%
- Dota 2Yangon Galacticos vs ExecrationPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr0.2%
- CS2megoshort vs Inner Circle AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.2%
- LoLKT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers ChallengersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.2%
- CS21WIN vs NIPKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr0.2%
- CS2Fluxo W7M vs Back to BackKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr0.1%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.