The log

Track record

Saturday, September 12

129 gaps written down that day, 26 on two-way markets and 103 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.

  • La LigaAlaves @ ValenciaFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg39.7%
  • Ligue 1Le Havre @ AngersKalshi + DraftKings · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.2%
  • Serie ASS Lazio @ AC MilanBetMGM + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg37.2%
  • Serie ASS Lazio @ AC MilanPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.5%
  • Ligue 1Le Havre @ AngersKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.8%
  • La LigaReal Betis @ GetafePolymarket + DraftKings · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.5%
  • EPLAston Villa @ Nottingham ForestKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg35.3%
  • Ligue 1Lorient @ ToulouseKalshi + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg35.2%
  • La LigaSantander @ AlavesPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg34.6%
  • MLSSan Jose @ HoustonPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
  • MLSSalt Lake @ New York CityKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
  • Ligue 1Auxerre @ NicePolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.8%
  • La LigaCelta Vigo @ MalagaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
  • MLSSan Jose @ HoustonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • Ligue 1Toulouse @ Le HavrePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • EPLLeeds United @ NewcastleKalshi + BetMGM · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
  • EPLLeeds United @ NewcastleKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
  • EPLBrighton @ ArsenalPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
  • La LigaSantander @ AlavesBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
  • BundesligaHamburg @ FC KölnPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
  • EPLSunderland @ ArsenalFanatics + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.3%
  • EPLTottenham @ EvertonPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.3%
  • Ligue 1Nice @ LillePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.3%
  • Ligue 1Paris FC @ Strasbourg AlsacePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.1%
  • La LigaSantander @ AlavesPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • EPLEverton @ Ipswich TownBetRivers + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • EPLLeeds United @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + Fanatics · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • EPLTottenham @ EvertonKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • Ligue 1Toulouse @ Le HavrePolymarket + DraftKings · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • EPLBournemouth @ LiverpoolPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
  • EPLManchester United @ Manchester CityDraftKings + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
  • EPLManchester United @ Manchester CityPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
  • Ligue 1Lyon @ Stade RennaisFanDuel + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
  • La LigaCelta Vigo @ MalagaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
  • La LigaEspanyol @ ElchePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ SeattleBetRivers + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
  • EPLSunderland @ ArsenalDraftKings + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.0%
  • Ligue 1Toulouse @ Le HavrePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ MinnesotaKalshi + Fanatics · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • EPLEverton @ Ipswich TownPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ SeattlePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
  • EPLNottingham Forest @ CoventryPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
  • BundesligaAugsburg @ LeverkusenPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
  • MLSDC United @ CharlotteKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.1%
  • MLSMiami @ NashvillePolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ SeattleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ SeattlePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.7%
  • MLSColorado @ SeattlePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.7%
  • BundesligaAugsburg @ LeverkusenKalshi + Fanatics · stood 29 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
  • EPLBrighton @ ArsenalKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
  • EPLManchester United @ Manchester CityDraftKings + Kalshi · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
  • Serie AFrosinone @ ComoPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
  • BundesligaMainz @ FrankfurtKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
  • EPLNottingham Forest @ CoventryKalshi + BetRivers · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
  • Serie AFrosinone @ ComoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
  • BundesligaFrankfurt @ FreiburgKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.9%
  • MLSNew York City @ New York RBPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
  • BundesligaMainz @ FrankfurtPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ SeattleKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ TorontoKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ TorontoPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
  • MLSDallas @ PortlandKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
  • BundesligaLeverkusen @ LeipzigKalshi + Fanatics · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
  • BundesligaPaderborn @ HoffenheimPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
  • EPLNewcastle @ Hull CityPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.8%
  • MLSHouston @ CincinnatiPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
  • MLSMontreal @ ColumbusPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg21.9%
  • MLSMontreal @ ColumbusPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg21.9%
  • La LigaBilbao @ ElchePolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg21.0%
  • La LigaBilbao @ ElcheKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.5%
  • La LigaElche @ Real MadridPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.2%
  • Ligue 1Lille @ TroyesKalshi + Polymarket · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.0%
  • MLSNashville @ Chicago FirePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
  • MLSNew England @ OrlandoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.2%
  • La LigaElche @ Real MadridPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 46 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.8%
  • MLSSan Jose @ Los Angeles FPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.2%
  • MLSNew England @ OrlandoPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg15.8%
  • LoLTeam Phantasma vs ValerionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr15.5%
  • MLSVancouver @ AustinPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.4%
  • MLSMinnesota @ Los Angeles GPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.4%
  • Serie AComo 1907 @ Parma Calcio 1913Polymarket + Caesars · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.2%
  • La LigaBilbao @ AlavesKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.3%
  • EPLChelsea @ Hull CityBetRivers + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg12.8%
  • MLSMontreal @ ColumbusKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg11.8%
  • MLSHouston @ CincinnatiKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg11.3%
  • MLSSan Jose @ Los Angeles FKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg11.3%
  • BundesligaDortmund @ PaderbornKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg11.2%
  • MLSSalt Lake @ VancouverKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg10.6%
  • LoLAnyone's Legend vs Bilibili GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr9.6%
  • La LigaReal Madrid @ VallecanoPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg8.5%
  • MLSColorado @ SeattlePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.3%
  • MLSDallas @ AustinKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg7.8%
  • La LigaReal Madrid @ VallecanoPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg7.6%
  • MLSKansas City @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg7.2%
  • BundesligaBayern Munich @ Union BerlinBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg6.2%
  • LoLMovistar KOI Fénix vs Bushido WildcatsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr5.0%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ SantanderPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg4.7%
  • CS2Teletubisie vs GatorianKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr4.4%
  • La LigaOsasuna @ VallecanoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.4%
  • MLSNashville @ Chicago FirePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.0%
  • La LigaValencia @ Real SociedadPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.8%
  • CS2Liquid vs VocaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr3.6%
  • La LigaSevilla @ BarcelonaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.0%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ SantanderPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg2.7%
  • CS2Fortress vs ex-Zero TenacityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min2.2%
  • La LigaOsasuna @ VallecanoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg2.1%
  • WTAAlana Smith vs Anastasia TikhonovaPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.9%
  • CS2UPGRADE vs Nuclear TigeRESPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr1.8%
  • La LigaValencia @ Real SociedadKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg1.3%
  • Dota 2Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus VincerePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr1.3%
  • ValorantFunPlus Phoenix vs KeepBest GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr1.2%
  • CS2HOTU vs BBLKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr1.2%
  • MLBSan Diego @ San FranciscoCaesars + BetRivers · seen once so far1.1%
  • NCAAFStephen F. Austin @ Prairie View A&MKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr1.0%
  • CS2Luminosity vs SAWKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr0.9%
  • WTAAna Candiotto vs Cadence BraceKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.8%
  • MLSNew York City @ New York RBKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg0.7%
  • CS2Heroic vs Virtus.proKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.7%
  • CS2M80 vs Iberian SoulKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr0.6%
  • Dota 2Direborn vs Team NemesisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.5%
  • La LigaBilbao @ AlavesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg0.5%
  • NCAAFSMU @ LouisvillePolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far0.5%
  • CS2Fluxo W7M vs ImperialPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.4%
  • CS2B8 vs 1WINKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.3%
  • CS2Bushido Wildcats vs NAVI JuniorKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr0.2%
  • LoLHanwha Life Esports vs Gen.GPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.2%
  • CS2Nemiga vs SinnersKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr0.2%
  • NCAAFMichigan St. @ Notre DameKalshi + DraftKings · stood 5 hr0.2%
  • Dota 2Klim Sani4 vs HULIGANIKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.1%

The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.