Track record
Tuesday, September 15
38 gaps written down that day, 23 on two-way markets and 15 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- La LigaVallecano @ EspanyolDraftKings + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg35.9%
- Ligue 1Le Mans @ LorientKalshi + Fanatics · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.9%
- Ligue 1Angers @ TroyesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.0%
- La LigaEspanyol @ ElcheKalshi + Polymarket · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.0%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- La LigaVallecano @ EspanyolPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- La LigaReal Betis @ GetafeKalshi + FanDuel · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.1%
- Serie ABologna @ TorinoPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- La LigaMalaga @ VillarrealKalshi + Polymarket · stood 38 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- EPLFulham @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- EPLBrighton @ ArsenalPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- La LigaAlaves @ ValenciaFanDuel + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- MLSSaint Louis @ TorontoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- La LigaElche @ Real MadridDraftKings + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg11.8%
- LoLCloud9 vs LYONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days10.7%
- LoLFuego vs 9z GlobantPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 31 hr7.7%
- CS2ENCE vs Black PhoenixKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr5.7%
- CS2UPGRADE vs Team NemesisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr4.3%
- LoLSentinels vs Shopify RebellionKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days2.5%
- La LigaBarcelona @ SantanderKalshi + BetMGM · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg2.5%
- CS2BakS eSports vs SPARTAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr2.3%
- CS2HOLANDA 78 vs MIBR feKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr1.9%
- MLBMiami @ ArizonaPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far1.8%
- CS2Spirit Academy vs BakS eSportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr1.6%
- CS2Phantom Academy vs UNiTY esportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min1.1%
- Dota 2PuckChamp vs Zero TenacityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr1.1%
- LoLMovistar KOI vs Natus VincereKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days0.7%
- CS2NAVI Junior vs Just_PlayersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 19 hr0.6%
- CS2aimclub vs 9INEPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.6%
- LoLProject Conquerors vs Skillcamp EsportPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.4%
- Dota 2PuckChamp vs Team SynapsePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.4%
- CS2Tropa do felipudo vs Peak AgencyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.4%
- NCAAFLouisiana Tech @ BaylorKalshi + BetRivers · stood 27 hr0.3%
- CS2ex-RUSTEC vs QUAZARPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 25 hr0.2%
- CS2Aurora Gaming vs Natus VincerePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.2%
- NFLPhiladelphia @ TennesseePolymarket + DraftKings · stood 13 hr0.2%
- Dota 2Rostik999 Club vs Rostikfacekid ClubPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
- CS2UPGRADE vs FORZE ReloadPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.1%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.