Track record
Wednesday, September 16
69 gaps written down that day, 24 on two-way markets and 45 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ SevillaPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg41.0%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ SevillaKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg39.8%
- Serie AUdinese @ CagliariKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.6%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.4%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisKalshi + BetRivers · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.2%
- La LigaOsasuna @ VallecanoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 41 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.9%
- La LigaOsasuna @ VallecanoKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg35.8%
- La LigaValencia @ Real SociedadPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 37 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.9%
- La LigaOsasuna @ VallecanoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- Serie ARoma @ InterKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- EPLBrentford @ ChelseaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.4%
- La LigaEspanyol @ ElcheKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.1%
- BundesligaSchalke @ ElversbergKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- MLSMontreal @ ColumbusPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.7%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ SantanderBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ SantanderKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ SantanderPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.7%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ MainzKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- Ligue 1Auxerre @ Stade Brest 29Kalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- BundesligaHamburg @ FC KölnKalshi + Polymarket · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.2%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridKalshi + Fanatics · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
- La LigaBilbao @ AlavesPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
- La LigaBilbao @ AlavesKalshi + Polymarket · stood 46 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
- Ligue 1Toulouse @ Le HavreKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
- BundesligaStuttgart @ DortmundPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- BundesligaLeverkusen @ LeipzigKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- MLSSalt Lake @ VancouverPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ SantanderKalshi + BetRivers · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- BundesligaLeverkusen @ LeipzigKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- MLSKansas City @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.1%
- Serie AFrosinone @ ComoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.2%
- MLSMinnesota @ Los Angeles GKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.8%
- La LigaAtletico @ OsasunaBetRivers + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
- MLSMinnesota @ Los Angeles GPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
- MLSMiami @ San Diego FCPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.1%
- Ligue 1Marseille @ PSGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
- EPLManchester City @ SunderlandKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.3%
- La LigaSevilla @ BarcelonaBetRivers + Kalshi · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg11.9%
- LoLFuego vs 9z GlobantPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far8.7%
- MLSDallas @ Los Angeles FKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.6%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg6.3%
- La LigaBarcelona @ SantanderFanatics + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg6.3%
- LoLSkillcamp Esport vs Esprit ShōnenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr6.2%
- CS2Spirit Academy vs NexusPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr5.3%
- La LigaBarcelona @ SantanderFanatics + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg4.3%
- ValorantSasanqua vs swaglord9000Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min3.6%
- WTAZeynep Sonmez vs Iva JovicFanDuel + Kalshi · seen once so far3.1%
- CS2OLDBOYS- vs Esport BERGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min2.5%
- Dota 2uralan vs Inner CirclePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr2.4%
- LoLeSuba vs MeavedronPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr1.9%
- Dota 2Spirit Academy vs Two MovePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 19 hr1.6%
- LoLVerdant vs The Ruddy SackKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr1.5%
- CS2ENCE Prospects vs TeletubisiePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr1.4%
- CS2Turma do Pagode vs ALKAKalshi + Polymarket · stood 89 min1.3%
- CS2ex-Zero Tenacity vs TeletubisieKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr0.9%
- CS2Saint Sinners vs LavkedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.8%
- CS2Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr0.6%
- NCAAFVanderbilt @ AuburnKalshi + DraftKings · stood 40 hr0.4%
- CS2Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr0.4%
- CS2Leo Team vs WRAITH PCIFICKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr0.3%
- NCAAFCharlotte @ Appalachian St.Kalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.3%
- CS2REVENIX vs SAW YoungstersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 28 hr0.2%
- LoLJD Gaming vs Team WEKalshi + Polymarket · stood 27 hr0.2%
- CS2EHISTO BASE vs ShindeNPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 31 hr0.2%
- MLBSan Francisco @ Los Angeles DPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.1%
- CS2Eternal Fire Academy vs Inner Circle ProspectPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.0%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.