Track record
Friday, September 18
68 gaps written down that day, 24 on two-way markets and 44 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- Serie AParma Calcio @ GenoaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg40.9%
- Serie AUdinese @ CagliariKalshi + BetRivers · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg38.5%
- La LigaOsasuna @ VallecanoKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg38.0%
- La LigaOsasuna @ VallecanoKalshi + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.9%
- Ligue 1Angers @ TroyesPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.3%
- MLSDC United @ CharlottePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- Serie ABologna @ TorinoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.1%
- MLSDC United @ CharlottePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.0%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.9%
- EPLTottenham @ Aston VillaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- MLSDC United @ CharlotteKalshi + BetMGM · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
- EPLEverton @ Ipswich TownKalshi + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.8%
- MLSMontreal @ ColumbusKalshi + Polymarket · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ MainzKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FreiburgKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.2%
- EPLNottingham Forest @ CoventryKalshi + DraftKings · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.0%
- EPLLeeds United @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- Ligue 1Monaco @ LensKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- La LigaBilbao @ AlavesPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FreiburgKalshi + Polymarket · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- BundesligaBremen @ AugsburgKalshi + Polymarket · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- MLSNew York City @ New York RBKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
- MLSColorado @ SeattleKalshi + BetMGM · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- MLSNew England @ OrlandoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.3%
- Ligue 1Toulouse @ Le HavreKalshi + Caesars · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- MLSPortland @ AtlantaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 38 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridBetRivers + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakeKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.8%
- MLSColorado @ SeattleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- MLSHouston @ CincinnatiKalshi + Polymarket · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- EPLNewcastle @ Hull CityFanDuel + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.7%
- MLSNew England @ OrlandoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.6%
- MLSDallas @ AustinKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.2%
- MLSSalt Lake @ VancouverKalshi + Polymarket · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- MLSKansas City @ PhiladelphiaPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- La LigaVillarreal @ LevanteKalshi + DraftKings · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.8%
- MLSColumbus @ MiamiFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 38 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.8%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg20.5%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.7%
- La LigaSevilla @ BarcelonaBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.1%
- La LigaSevilla @ BarcelonaDraftKings + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg12.1%
- LoLMovistar KOI vs Karmine CorpPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr5.8%
- CS2MIBR vs magicPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far5.7%
- LoLSentinels vs Shopify RebellionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr4.6%
- CS2Vitality vs Aurora GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 15 hr4.5%
- Dota 2Hokori vs Natus VincerePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr3.7%
- CS2BBL vs LuminosityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr3.5%
- ValorantGen.G GC vs FULL SENSE SISUKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min3.1%
- LoLeSuba vs NightBirdsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min2.8%
- Dota 2Yellow Submarine vs Spirit AcademyKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr2.8%
- BundesligaBayern Munich @ Union BerlinPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg2.5%
- CS2NRG vs MIBRPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr2.3%
- CS2d06eg vs Aurora Young BloodPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr1.7%
- Dota 2BALU vs Team LynxPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr1.7%
- CS2Giant Pandas vs GenOnePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.6%
- Dota 2Two Move vs uralanKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr1.3%
- CS2Lavked vs Black PhoenixPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr1.2%
- MLBToronto @ TexasPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.6%
- CS2NAVI Junior vs ex-RUSTECPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr0.6%
- Dota 2Team Synapse vs Team LynxKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr0.5%
- Dota 2Pibbles Corp vs Xtreme GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr0.5%
- ValorantYew Reign Gaming vs Havoc & Yonder GCPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.5%
- CS2Turma do Pagode vs ShindeNPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.4%
- Dota 2PlayTime vs Conventus StellarumPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 28 hr0.3%
- LoLJD Gaming vs Invictus GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.2%
- CS2G2 Ares vs Leo TeamPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.