Track record
Friday, September 25
101 gaps written down that day, 45 on two-way markets and 56 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- EPLSunderland @ BrightonBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.4%
- La LigaMalaga @ EspanyolKalshi + Fanatics · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.0%
- La LigaMalaga @ EspanyolKalshi + BetMGM · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.3%
- Serie AGenoa @ FiorentinaBetRivers + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg34.6%
- Serie AGenoa @ FiorentinaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.0%
- La LigaVallecano @ BilbaoBetRivers + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.7%
- EPLIpswich Town @ FulhamBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.5%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ Paris FCBetMGM + DraftKings · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
- EPLAston Villa @ BrentfordBetRivers + Caesars · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.5%
- MLSSeattle @ MinnesotaKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- La LigaVallecano @ BilbaoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
- MLSSan Jose @ PortlandKalshi + BetMGM · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
- Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ AngersFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- MLSDallas @ Los Angeles FKalshi + Polymarket · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
- MLSSeattle @ MinnesotaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.2%
- La LigaAlaves @ AtleticoBetMGM + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
- MLSSalt Lake @ New EnglandPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- MLSMontreal @ CincinnatiKalshi + Polymarket · stood 37 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- La LigaAlaves @ AtleticoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ ColoradoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- Ligue 1Lens @ LyonKalshi + BetRivers · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ ElversbergKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ ElversbergCaesars + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- BundesligaMainz @ LeverkusenBetMGM + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- EPLChelsea @ BournemouthBetRivers + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
- BundesligaMainz @ LeverkusenKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
- Ligue 1Monaco @ ToulouseDraftKings + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- EPLManchester United @ TottenhamKalshi + BetRivers · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
- EPLManchester United @ TottenhamKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
- Serie ANapoli @ FrosinoneBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.9%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ StuttgartBetRivers + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg21.6%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ StuttgartKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.5%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ Salt LakeKalshi + FanDuel · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.2%
- EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.2%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Le HavreFanDuel + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg19.7%
- MLSMiami @ DC UnitedKalshi + FanDuel · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.7%
- BundesligaHoffenheim @ HamburgFanDuel + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg18.4%
- BundesligaLeipzig @ FrankfurtFanDuel + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Le HavreKalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.0%
- BundesligaLeipzig @ FrankfurtKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.9%
- BundesligaHoffenheim @ HamburgKalshi + BetMGM · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ OrlandoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ OrlandoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.8%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ VillarrealBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.6%
- MLSVancouver @ DC UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.4%
- BundesligaDortmund @ BremenKalshi + BetRivers · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg10.6%
- BundesligaAugsburg @ Bayern MunichKalshi + FanDuel · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg9.7%
- Serie AInter @ Parma CalcioKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.0%
- Ligue 1PSG @ Le MansFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg6.8%
- CS2aimclub vs Inner Circle AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr6.6%
- MLSCharlotte @ DallasKalshi + FanDuel · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg5.2%
- MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg5.0%
- MLSNew England @ SeattleKalshi + FanDuel · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg5.0%
- MLSToronto @ MontrealKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg5.0%
- La LigaBarcelona @ GetafeKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.7%
- La LigaBarcelona @ GetafeFanDuel + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg4.7%
- CS2INFURITY Gaming vs BrutePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr4.3%
- WTAMaria Sakkari vs Talia GibsonKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far4.1%
- CS2SPARTA vs FOKUSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 22 hr3.5%
- CS2Sangal vs HeroicPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr3.3%
- CS2Bounty Hunters Esports vs ImperialPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr2.8%
- CS2Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr2.7%
- CS2Chicken Coop Esports vs LiquidPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min2.4%
- CS2ILLYRIANS vs ex-Zero TenacityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min2.4%
- LoLKawaii Kiwis vs FALKE EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far2.3%
- CS2Sashi Esport vs Team NemesisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr2.3%
- MLSOrlando @ ColumbusKalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg2.2%
- CS2Astralis vs 100 ThievesKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr2.1%
- CS2Galorys vs paiNPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr2.1%
- CS2BORRACHEIROS vs ALKAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr2.1%
- CS2overTIME vs BASEMENT BOYSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr2.1%
- NCAAFClemson @ CaliforniaPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far1.8%
- WTATatiana Prozorova vs Talia GibsonPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far1.5%
- CS2MOUZ NXT vs SAWPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr1.4%
- CS2Iberian Soul vs fnaticPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 20 hr1.4%
- Dota 2Team Yandex vs LGD GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr1.3%
- Dota 2gpk Team vs Cake TeamPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr1.3%
- CS2BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy GreenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr1.3%
- ValorantT1 vs 100 ThievesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 46 hr1.2%
- Dota 2Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegionKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr1.2%
- CS2largadosypelados vs Fluxo W7MPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr1.0%
- CS2Yawara Esports vs Gremio EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 15 hr1.0%
- CS2Sangal vs JiJieHaoPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.0%
- Dota 2Rostik Team vs Stray TeamKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.0%
- CS2Spirit Academy vs eternal premiumKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr1.0%
- NCAAFBYU @ TCUPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far1.0%
- CS2The Huns Esports vs Lynn VisionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.7%
- MLBBaltimore Orioles @ New York YankeesPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far0.7%
- CS2Procyon Gaming vs QUINTESSENCIAKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr0.5%
- CS2megoshort vs mellrenPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr0.5%
- CS23DMAX vs NIPPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.4%
- CS2ex-RUSTEC vs OmegaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 31 min0.4%
- CS2Overtake vs LAG GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr0.4%
- CS2QUAZAR vs SinnersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 19 hr0.3%
- CS2regain vs MarsbornePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.2%
- CS2NRG vs LiquidPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
- ValorantTeam Vitality vs Global EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.2%
- LoLLOUD vs LOSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 34 hr0.2%
- Dota 2LGD Gaming vs Xtreme GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.2%
- CS2K27 vs GamerLegionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr0.2%
- CS2Color vs WW TeamKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr0.1%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.