Track record
Saturday, September 26
127 gaps written down that day, 41 on two-way markets and 86 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- EPLHull City @ EvertonBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.9%
- La LigaMalaga @ EspanyolPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.6%
- La LigaElche @ Celta VigoBetRivers + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg35.2%
- EPLSunderland @ BrightonKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.9%
- La LigaElche @ Celta VigoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.4%
- EPLCrystal Palace @ Nottingham ForestFanDuel + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.7%
- Serie AGenoa @ FiorentinaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.6%
- La LigaSantander @ ValenciaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 15 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.6%
- Serie ALecce @ BolognaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.1%
- La LigaVallecano @ BilbaoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.9%
- MLSAtlanta @ New York CityPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg32.8%
- EPLCrystal Palace @ Nottingham ForestKalshi + BetRivers · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.8%
- Serie ALecce @ BolognaFanDuel + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.3%
- Serie AGenoa @ FiorentinaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.2%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ Paris FCKalshi + BetMGM · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisFanatics + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- Serie AComo @ RomaBetRivers + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.1%
- Serie AComo @ RomaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.1%
- MLSAustin @ San Diego FCPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
- La LigaAlaves @ AtleticoKalshi + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
- Ligue 1Nice @ Strasbourg AlsaceFanDuel + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
- MLSAtlanta @ New York CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
- EPLIpswich Town @ FulhamKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- MLSAustin @ San Diego FCKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- EPLAston Villa @ BrentfordKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityDraftKings + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ AngersKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- MLSAustin @ San Diego FCPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.3%
- Ligue 1Nice @ Strasbourg AlsaceKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
- Serie ALazio @ MonzaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- Serie ALazio @ MonzaBetMGM + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- Serie ACagliari @ JuventusBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- Serie ASassuolo @ MilanBetMGM + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- Serie ASassuolo @ MilanKalshi + BetRivers · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
- MLSSalt Lake @ New EnglandPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- La LigaReal Sociedad @ Deportivo De La CorunaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- Serie ACagliari @ JuventusKalshi + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.3%
- MLSColumbus @ MiamiKalshi + Fanatics · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- La LigaAlaves @ AtleticoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- Ligue 1Troyes @ MarseilleBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- EPLChelsea @ BournemouthKalshi + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisBetMGM + Fanatics · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- BundesligaFC Köln @ M´gladbachFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- Ligue 1Lens @ LyonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- Ligue 1Monaco @ ToulouseKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.9%
- Ligue 1Monaco @ ToulouseKalshi + BetMGM · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.6%
- MLSSan Jose @ PortlandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
- BundesligaFreiburg @ SchalkeKalshi + BetMGM · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
- MLSNew York Red Bulls @ St. Louis City SCPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- MLSHouston @ Kansas CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
- BundesligaFreiburg @ SchalkeFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg23.2%
- MLSAtlanta @ CincinnatiKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.2%
- Serie ANapoli @ FrosinonePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.6%
- MLSOrlando @ ColumbusKalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.6%
- CS2Wildcard vs DENDELE CSPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far21.3%
- Serie ANapoli @ FrosinoneKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.1%
- MLSNew York RB @ San Diego FCKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.4%
- MLSNashville @ TorontoKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- MLSNashville @ TorontoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ AuxerreFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg19.7%
- MLSCharlotte @ DallasKalshi + FanDuel · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.4%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Le HavreKalshi + BetMGM · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.1%
- MLSSeattle @ Kansas CityPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.0%
- MLSNew York RB @ San Diego FCKalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.5%
- BundesligaLeipzig @ FrankfurtKalshi + Fanatics · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.5%
- MLSToronto @ MontrealKalshi + FanDuel · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.4%
- MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityKalshi + FanDuel · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.4%
- BundesligaHoffenheim @ HamburgKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ OrlandoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.7%
- BundesligaLeipzig @ FrankfurtKalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.7%
- BundesligaHoffenheim @ HamburgKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.5%
- EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.8%
- MLSSeattle @ Kansas CityBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.8%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ VillarrealKalshi + BetRivers · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.9%
- BundesligaDortmund @ BremenKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.3%
- BundesligaDortmund @ BremenKalshi + BetMGM · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.9%
- MLSSaint Louis @ Los Angeles GKalshi + FanDuel · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.8%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ Paris FCKalshi + DraftKings · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg10.0%
- CS2Peladona vs Gremio EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far9.5%
- CS2aimclub vs MetizportPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr9.0%
- Serie AInter @ Parma CalcioBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg9.0%
- LoLFURIA Esports vs RED CanidsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far8.3%
- BundesligaDortmund @ BremenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.5%
- Serie AInter @ Parma CalcioPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg6.4%
- CS2ILLYRIANS vs Noir VerseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr5.7%
- MLSColorado @ San JoseKalshi + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg5.0%
- MLSAustin @ NashvilleKalshi + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.4%
- CS2M80 vs VocaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr4.3%
- MLSAtlanta @ CincinnatiKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.7%
- La LigaBarcelona @ GetafeKalshi + FanDuel · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.6%
- Dota 2Natus Vincere vs AuroraPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min3.5%
- LoLDN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA ChallengersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 28 hr3.4%
- WTALeylah Fernandez vs Maja ChwalinskaDraftKings + FanDuel · seen once so far3.4%
- CS2ex-RUBY vs K27Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr3.3%
- MLSMinnesota @ HoustonKalshi + FanDuel · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.2%
- CS2Color vs NemigaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr3.0%
- CS2LAG Gaming vs regainKalshi + Polymarket · stood 21 hr2.6%
- CS2STATE vs G2 AresKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min2.4%
- CS2mellren vs Privateer GamingKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far2.3%
- CS2NRG vs WildcardKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr2.3%
- CS2Detonate vs MarsbornePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr2.0%
- CS2FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERKalshi + Polymarket · stood 15 hr1.5%
- CS2MEIA NOITE vs QUINTESSENCIAKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min1.5%
- NCAAFMissouri @ Mississippi StatePolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far1.3%
- LoLTeam Liquid vs Cloud9Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 38 hr1.2%
- LoLShopify Rebellion vs LYONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr1.2%
- CS2Ground Zero vs RoosterKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr0.8%
- CS2mellren vs WRAITH PCIFICKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr0.8%
- CS23DMAX vs GamerLegionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.8%
- Dota 2Xipto Esports vs Cloud DawningPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.7%
- Dota 2Level UP vs PARIVISIONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.7%
- NCAAFUCLA @ MarylandPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far0.6%
- CS2ALKA vs Turma do PagodePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr0.6%
- NCAAFStonehill @ OhioPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far0.5%
- CS2MIBR fe vs METANOIA WOLVESPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr0.4%
- CS2Procyon Gaming vs GalorysPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 28 hr0.4%
- LoLCupid Esports vs T1 AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 40 hr0.4%
- CS2Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVESKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr0.3%
- CS2Butterfly vs Iberian SoulPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.3%
- LoLMovistar KOI Fénix vs SolaryPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 25 hr0.2%
- ValorantKarmine Corp vs NRGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days0.2%
- Dota 2Ivory vs Xipto EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
- CS2Galorys vs Bounty Hunters EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr0.2%
- Dota 2Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegionPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
- CS2ex-RUSTEC vs ENCEKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr0.2%
- CS2magic vs NIPKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr0.1%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.