The log

Track record

Thursday, September 10

110 gaps written down that day, 24 on two-way markets and 86 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.

  • La LigaGetafe @ Deportivo De La CorunaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg45.6%
  • La LigaAlaves @ ValenciaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg43.4%
  • La LigaAlaves @ ValenciaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg42.5%
  • Ligue 1Le Havre @ AngersPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg40.0%
  • La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ SevillaPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg37.3%
  • Serie ASS Lazio @ AC MilanPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.2%
  • Serie AVenezia @ LazioPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg36.7%
  • UCLFenerbahce @ RomaPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.2%
  • EPLAston Villa @ Nottingham ForestPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg35.4%
  • EPLAston Villa @ Nottingham ForestPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg35.0%
  • Serie AVenezia @ LazioKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.6%
  • La LigaLevante @ BilbaoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.6%
  • Ligue 1Auxerre @ NiceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.1%
  • La LigaReal Betis @ GetafePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 29 min · a draw pays out on neither leg34.0%
  • La LigaSantander @ AlavesPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.2%
  • EPLLeeds United @ NewcastleKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.0%
  • Serie ANapoli @ BolognaKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.2%
  • MLSSalt Lake @ New York CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
  • La LigaReal Sociedad @ AtleticoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • EPLBrentford @ ChelseaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
  • La LigaLevante @ BilbaoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
  • La LigaCelta Vigo @ MalagaPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
  • UCLFenerbahce @ RomaKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ SeattleKalshi + FanDuel · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
  • EPLTottenham @ Aston VillaKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
  • MLSDC United @ AtlantaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
  • MLSColumbus @ New York RBPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • MLSSan Diego FC @ PhiladelphiaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • Ligue 1Paris FC @ Strasbourg AlsaceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
  • La LigaMalaga @ VillarrealDraftKings + BetRivers · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
  • Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ MonacoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
  • Serie AUS Sassuolo Calcio @ Juventus FCPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
  • EPLFulham @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
  • Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ MonacoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
  • MLSColumbus @ New York RBFanDuel + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
  • EPLCoventry @ BrightonKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.3%
  • UCLComo @ LeipzigBetRivers + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.0%
  • EPLTottenham @ Aston VillaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
  • EPLManchester United @ Manchester CityKalshi + DraftKings · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ MinnesotaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
  • BundesligaHamburg @ FC KölnKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
  • EPLNottingham Forest @ CoventryPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
  • Ligue 1Monaco @ LensPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.2%
  • Ligue 1Toulouse @ Le HavrePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
  • MLSDallas @ PortlandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.5%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New EnglandPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.5%
  • UCLComo @ LeipzigPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
  • UCLComo @ LeipzigFanDuel + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
  • UCLComo @ LeipzigPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
  • MLSDallas @ PortlandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
  • EPLFulham @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
  • BundesligaHoffenheim @ StuttgartKalshi + Polymarket · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
  • Ligue 1Le Mans @ LensPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
  • MLSCincinnati @ CharlottePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.6%
  • MLSColorado @ MontrealPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
  • MLSColorado @ MontrealKalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
  • EPLSunderland @ ArsenalBetRivers + Kalshi · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.2%
  • EPLSunderland @ ArsenalPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.9%
  • MLSColumbus @ New York RBPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
  • MLSMiami @ NashvillePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
  • MLSColumbus @ New York RBKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.7%
  • EPLSunderland @ ArsenalPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
  • BundesligaAugsburg @ LeverkusenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 41 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
  • UCLComo @ LeipzigPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
  • La LigaAtletico @ OsasunaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
  • BundesligaLeverkusen @ LeipzigKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.0%
  • Ligue 1Marseille @ PSGKalshi + Fanatics · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
  • MLSKansas City @ Los Angeles FPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
  • La LigaBilbao @ ElchePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
  • Ligue 1Marseille @ PSGKalshi + DraftKings · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.8%
  • MLSKansas City @ Los Angeles FKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.9%
  • EPLNewcastle @ Hull CityPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.7%
  • BundesligaLeipzig @ HamburgKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.5%
  • EPLManchester City @ SunderlandKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.0%
  • EPLManchester City @ SunderlandPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.2%
  • Serie AComo 1907 @ Parma Calcio 1913Polymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.1%
  • La LigaElche @ Real MadridKalshi + DraftKings · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.0%
  • MLSVancouver @ AustinPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.9%
  • LoLDominion Goblins vs BublikiPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min14.9%
  • BundesligaDortmund @ PaderbornBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
  • Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ PSGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.8%
  • Ligue 1Nice @ LilleKalshi + DraftKings · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.3%
  • Serie AInter @ UdineseKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg10.3%
  • La LigaLevante @ BarcelonaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg9.9%
  • ValorantMIBR Female vs Evil Geniuses GCKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr8.3%
  • UCLManchester United @ Sabah MasazirCaesars + Kalshi · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg7.1%
  • UCLManchester United @ Sabah MasazirPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg6.5%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ SantanderKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.7%
  • LoLKT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers ChallengersKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr4.0%
  • NCAAFFlorida @ AuburnKalshi + DraftKings · stood 9 hr2.5%
  • LoLMaryville University vs Winthrop UniversityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr2.5%
  • NCAAFLSU @ Ole MissDraftKings + FanDuel · seen once so far2.0%
  • CS2NAVI Junior vs Privateer GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr1.6%
  • CS2Back to Back vs GalorysPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr1.4%
  • LoLMaryville University vs Winthrop UniversityPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.2%
  • Dota 2Klim Sani4 vs GamerLegionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min1.1%
  • CS2Chicken Coop Esports vs antivalueKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr1.1%
  • NCAAFMississippi St. @ South CarolinaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 40 hr1.1%
  • CS2NRG vs VocaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr0.8%
  • CS2B8 vs 1WINPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr0.8%
  • CS2G2 vs FURIAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr0.7%
  • CS2Team Nemesis vs WildcardKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr0.7%
  • CS2Turma do Pagode vs ShindeNPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.6%
  • CS2DENDELE CS vs Fluxo W7MKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.5%
  • CS2Marsborne vs LiquidPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr0.5%
  • CS2Without a Roof vs VillainousKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr0.4%
  • LoLpaiN Gaming vs LOUDPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days0.4%
  • WTACoco Gauff vs Elena RybakinaPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far0.3%
  • CS2Alliance vs MIBRPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.2%
  • NCAAFNorthwestern St. @ East Texas A&MKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.1%

The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.