Track record
Sunday, September 13
148 gaps written down that day, 36 on two-way markets and 112 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- WTACristina Bucsa vs Bianca AndreescuKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far45.4%
- La LigaGetafe @ MalagaPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg39.1%
- La LigaReal Betis @ GetafePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.0%
- La LigaOsasuna @ VallecanoKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg36.1%
- La LigaAlaves @ ValenciaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 37 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.9%
- Ligue 1Angers @ TroyesKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.7%
- La LigaLevante @ BilbaoPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg35.4%
- La LigaEspanyol @ ElcheKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg34.7%
- Serie AMonza @ SassuoloPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.6%
- La LigaReal Betis @ GetafeKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.1%
- EPLCoventry @ BrightonBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.5%
- La LigaEspanyol @ ElchePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- Serie AMonza @ SassuoloKalshi + Fanatics · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- BundesligaHamburg @ FC KölnPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
- La LigaBilbao @ AlavesPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
- La LigaValencia @ Real SociedadKalshi + DraftKings · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
- La LigaBilbao @ AlavesKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisKalshi + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.8%
- EPLCoventry @ BrightonKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.7%
- Ligue 1Lyon @ Stade RennaisPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ SantanderKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- MLSColorado @ SeattleBetRivers + Fanatics · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- MLSDC United @ CharlottePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- MLSDC United @ CharlotteKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- Ligue 1Monaco @ LensKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- MLSPortland @ AtlantaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- MLSPortland @ AtlantaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
- MLSSalt Lake @ VancouverBetRivers + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- MLSSalt Lake @ VancouverBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- EPLCoventry @ BrightonBetMGM + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.3%
- MLSPortland @ AtlantaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.2%
- MLSPortland @ AtlantaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
- EPLBrighton @ ArsenalPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- La LigaEspanyol @ ElcheKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- MLSHouston @ CincinnatiKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- MLSSalt Lake @ VancouverKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- EPLNottingham Forest @ CoventryPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- MLSPortland @ AtlantaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- MLSNashville @ Chicago FireBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- MLSMontreal @ ColumbusKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- MLSSan Diego FC @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- MLSNew England @ OrlandoBetRivers + Fanatics · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.2%
- La LigaVillarreal @ Real BetisKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.2%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
- La LigaVillarreal CF @ Real Betis BalompiéPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
- NCAAFArizona St. @ KansasKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far27.8%
- EPLBrighton @ ArsenalKalshi + BetMGM · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.7%
- MLSPortland @ AtlantaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- MLSSan Jose @ Los Angeles FPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.3%
- EPLManchester United @ Manchester CityKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- MLSNew England @ OrlandoPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- La LigaGetafe @ MalagaKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- MLSHouston @ CincinnatiKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
- MLSSaint Louis @ TorontoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
- BundesligaLeverkusen @ LeipzigPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
- La LigaBilbao @ AlavesKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
- MLSSaint Louis @ TorontoPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- EPLBrighton @ ArsenalPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
- MLSDallas @ AustinPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
- MLSMinnesota @ Los Angeles GPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 89 min · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ SantanderKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- Serie AFrosinone @ ComoPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- La LigaValencia @ Real SociedadKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
- MLSMinnesota @ Los Angeles GKalshi + BetMGM · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
- MLSNew England @ OrlandoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
- MLSMinnesota @ Los Angeles GKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- MLSSaint Louis @ TorontoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
- MLSNashville @ Chicago FireKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- Serie AJuventus @ AtalantaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- MLSKansas City @ PhiladelphiaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- La LigaAtletico @ OsasunaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.9%
- La LigaVillarreal @ LevanteKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.8%
- MLSMinnesota @ Los Angeles GKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.0%
- Ligue 1Lyon @ Stade RennaisKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.5%
- La LigaVillarreal @ LevantePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.2%
- La LigaValencia @ Real SociedadPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
- WTACarole Monnet vs Katrina ScottKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far20.8%
- MLSMiami @ San Diego FCKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.2%
- MLSKansas City @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- MLSNashville @ Chicago FirePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- Serie AMilan @ LecceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.8%
- Ligue 1Marseille @ PSGPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.6%
- MLSDallas @ AustinPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg17.5%
- Serie AMilan @ LecceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 31 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.1%
- EPLManchester City @ SunderlandPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.8%
- MLSMiami @ San Diego FCKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.7%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisKalshi + Fanatics · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.2%
- MLSNew England @ OrlandoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.0%
- La LigaSevilla @ BarcelonaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.0%
- MLSDallas @ AustinPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg15.6%
- MLSVancouver @ AustinKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.3%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.0%
- La LigaVillarreal @ LevanteKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.6%
- La LigaElche @ Real MadridBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.6%
- La LigaGetafe @ MalagaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.5%
- La LigaGetafe @ MalagaPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg14.2%
- La LigaVillarreal @ LevanteKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.0%
- EPLManchester City @ SunderlandPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.8%
- MLSNashville @ Chicago FireKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.6%
- MLSDallas @ AustinKalshi + Fanatics · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.6%
- MLSColorado @ SeattleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 38 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.5%
- MLSDallas @ AustinKalshi + BetMGM · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.4%
- La LigaSevilla @ BarcelonaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.2%
- La LigaLevante @ BarcelonaBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg11.3%
- La LigaSevilla @ BarcelonaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg11.2%
- CS2UNiTY esports vs ex-Zero TenacityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr10.2%
- MLSNashville @ Chicago FireKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg10.0%
- MLSMiami @ San Diego FCKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg9.6%
- La LigaValencia @ Real SociedadKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg9.0%
- BundesligaElversberg @ Bayern MunichBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg8.6%
- LoLCGN Esports vs Eintracht FrankfurtKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far7.1%
- CS26666 vs Iberian SoulPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr6.6%
- BundesligaElversberg @ Bayern MunichPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg6.5%
- BundesligaBayern Munich @ Union BerlinKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg6.5%
- LoLPyramid IV Esports vs Anubis GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr5.1%
- Dota 2PuckChamp vs Team LynxPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far4.8%
- MLSSalt Lake @ VancouverPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg4.4%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ SantanderPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.0%
- CS2Peak Agency vs MEIA NOITEPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr3.6%
- Valorantwiwiwi vs FENNEL FemalePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr2.3%
- LoLBaam Esports vs JSK EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr1.9%
- CS2Color vs INOX DivisionKalshi + Polymarket · stood 29 min1.8%
- LoLWhite Dragons vs The Otter SidePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr1.8%
- Dota 2Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn BullsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr1.7%
- NCAAFSMU @ LouisvilleKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far1.1%
- NCAAFFlorida International @ Florida AtlanticPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far0.9%
- NFLWashington @ DallasPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 60 min0.9%
- NFLLas Vegas @ Los Angeles CDraftKings + FanDuel · stood 22 hr0.8%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg0.8%
- CS2Azuolas vs ex-RUSTECPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr0.7%
- Dota 2Yangon Galacticos vs Team NemesisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.7%
- NCAAFHouston @ Texas TechPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 3 hr0.6%
- Dota 2Dawn Bulls vs Zero TenacityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr0.5%
- NCAAFSMU @ LouisvilleKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 hr0.5%
- Dota 2Team Lynx vs Zero TenacityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr0.5%
- NFLPhiladelphia @ TennesseeKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far0.4%
- NCAAFHouston @ Texas TechKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.4%
- ValorantRising Esports GC vs Gen.G GCPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr0.4%
- NCAAFNorth Dakota St. @ Sacramento St.Kalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far0.3%
- NCAAFMarshall @ Missouri St.Kalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far0.3%
- Dota 2Team Bored vs ExecrationKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.3%
- LoLKT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA ChallengersKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.2%
- CS2Misa Esports vs ex-RUSTECPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.2%
- CS2megoshort vs Bushido WildcatsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.2%
- CS2NAVI Junior vs Bushido WildcatsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr0.2%
- NCAAFNorthern Illinois @ ArizonaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 hr0.1%
- NCAAFLouisiana Tech @ BaylorKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min0.0%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.