Track record
Monday, September 14
93 gaps written down that day, 42 on two-way markets and 51 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- Serie AUdinese @ CagliariPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg41.7%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ SevillaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg41.6%
- La LigaLevante @ BilbaoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 38 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.7%
- La LigaOsasuna @ VallecanoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg37.2%
- La LigaAlaves @ ValenciaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.8%
- La LigaAlaves @ ValenciaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.8%
- La LigaReal Betis @ GetafePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.5%
- La LigaReal Betis @ GetafeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.1%
- Serie AMonza @ SassuoloKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.0%
- La LigaValencia @ Real SociedadKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.4%
- Serie AVenezia @ LazioPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
- MLSMontreal @ ColumbusKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.9%
- EPLLeeds United @ Crystal PalacePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg32.7%
- Serie AVenezia @ LazioPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ MainzPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.5%
- EPLLeeds United @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + DraftKings · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- La LigaVillarreal CF @ Real Betis BalompiéPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.9%
- Ligue 1Toulouse @ Le HavreKalshi + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.9%
- EPLLeeds United @ Crystal PalacePolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- MLSNashville @ Chicago FireKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
- EPLEverton @ Ipswich TownKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- Serie ATorino FC @ AS RomaBetMGM + Polymarket · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- EPLBournemouth @ LiverpoolKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- La LigaVillarreal CF @ Real Betis BalompiéPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.3%
- Serie AFrosinone @ ComoKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- MLSColorado @ SeattleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- EPLBournemouth @ LiverpoolPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- EPLNewcastle @ Hull CityPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridKalshi + BetRivers · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.2%
- MLSNew England @ OrlandoKalshi + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
- Serie ATorino FC @ AS RomaPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- MLSSaint Louis @ TorontoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- Serie ATorino FC @ AS RomaPolymarket + Caesars · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- MLSSan Jose @ Los Angeles FKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- MLSDallas @ AustinKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- EPLNewcastle @ Hull CityKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.2%
- EPLNewcastle @ Hull CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.6%
- MLSMinnesota @ Los Angeles GPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
- EPLNewcastle @ Hull CityPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.4%
- La LigaAtletico @ OsasunaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.2%
- MLSKansas City @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.9%
- EPLNewcastle @ Hull CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.7%
- MLSSalt Lake @ VancouverKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.2%
- Serie AMilan @ LeccePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg17.6%
- EPLManchester City @ SunderlandKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.6%
- La LigaSevilla @ BarcelonaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.9%
- Serie AInter @ UdinesePolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg13.8%
- MLSMontreal @ ColumbusPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.7%
- La LigaElche @ Real MadridDraftKings + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg13.5%
- Serie AComo 1907 @ Parma Calcio 1913Polymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg12.9%
- CS2magic vs VitalityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days6.0%
- LoLeSuba vs EXILE esportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr5.5%
- CS2NRG vs MOUZPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days5.0%
- Valorantswaglord9000 vs Team Falcons VEGAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr4.9%
- CS2MIBR vs FURIAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days3.5%
- LoLVerdant vs Arctic PandasKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr3.5%
- LoLKT Rolster Challengers vs T1 AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr3.2%
- LoLFuego vs 9z GlobantKalshi + Polymarket · stood 16 hr3.1%
- CS2ENJOY vs Bushido WildcatsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr2.8%
- NFLWashington @ DallasPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far2.6%
- CS2QUINTESSENCIA vs underw0rldKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far2.5%
- NHLBlackhawks @ Golden KnightsPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 11 days2.4%
- Dota 2Stariy Bog Club vs NS ClubKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr2.4%
- LoLCITA Kaizen vs NightBirdsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 20 hr2.4%
- LoLSenshi Esports Club vs mCon esportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 20 hr2.3%
- CS2Black Phoenix vs NemigaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr2.1%
- NHLOilers @ CanucksPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 7 days1.8%
- Dota 2Nemiga Gaming vs BALUKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min1.7%
- LoLJSK Esports vs Anubis GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr1.7%
- Dota 2uralan vs Yellow SubmarinePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr1.5%
- CS2Young27 vs WW TeamPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min1.5%
- Dota 2Inner Circle vs Two MovePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr1.2%
- CS2NEXORA vs Esport BERGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr1.0%
- CS2Drama eSports vs INOX DivisionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr1.0%
- NCAAFNicholls St. @ Sam HoustonKalshi + FanDuel · stood 4 hr0.9%
- NFLCleveland @ Tampa BayPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 30 hr0.7%
- NCAAFArizona St. @ KansasPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far0.6%
- NFLCarolina @ AtlantaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 5 hr0.6%
- NFLCarolina @ AtlantaPolymarket + Caesars · stood 60 min0.5%
- CS2LPH Gaming vs OLDBOYS-Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.5%
- LoLInvictus Gaming vs Top EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 38 hr0.5%
- CS2Prestige vs INFURITY GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.4%
- CS2Phantom Academy vs EAC ExtraKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr0.4%
- NCAAFMontana @ Oregon St.Kalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.4%
- CS2Metizport vs NemigaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.3%
- NFLNew Orleans @ BaltimorePolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr0.3%
- NCAAFNorth Dakota St. @ Sacramento St.Kalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far0.3%
- NFLNew York G @ Los Angeles RKalshi + FanDuel · stood 5 hr0.3%
- CS2WRAITH PCIFIC vs UPGRADEPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 44 hr0.3%
- LoLKT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA ChallengersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.2%
- ValorantSasanqua vs FULL SENSE SISUPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.2%
- CS2G2 Ares vs BrutePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.