Track record
Thursday, September 17
103 gaps written down that day, 28 on two-way markets and 75 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- La LigaGetafe @ MalagaPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg41.1%
- La LigaGetafe @ MalagaKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg39.8%
- La LigaOsasuna @ VallecanoPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg38.2%
- La LigaOsasuna @ VallecanoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.1%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisDraftKings + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg35.9%
- La LigaValencia @ Real SociedadKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.6%
- La LigaMalaga @ VillarrealBetRivers + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg34.8%
- Serie AFiorentina @ NapoliKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- Ligue 1Le Mans @ LorientKalshi + Polymarket · stood 32 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ Real BetisKalshi + DraftKings · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.4%
- Serie ARoma @ InterPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
- Serie ABologna @ TorinoPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.1%
- MLSDC United @ CharlotteKalshi + BetRivers · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.6%
- Ligue 1Nice @ LilleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
- La LigaEspanyol @ ElcheKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.3%
- BundesligaSchalke @ ElversbergPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.3%
- La LigaAtletico @ Real MadridBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.8%
- MLSPortland @ AtlantaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 43 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
- MLSPortland @ AtlantaKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ Strasbourg AlsaceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- EPLBournemouth @ LiverpoolPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- Ligue 1Lyon @ Stade RennaisPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- La LigaBilbao @ AlavesKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakeBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
- MLSColorado @ SeattlePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ SantanderPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- MLSColorado @ SeattlePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.5%
- Serie AJuventus @ AtalantaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
- EPLNottingham Forest @ CoventryKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- MLSNew York City @ New York RBKalshi + FanDuel · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- La LigaBilbao @ AlavesPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- MLSAtlanta @ New York CityKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- MLSAtlanta @ New York CityFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakeKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
- MLSDallas @ Los Angeles FBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 46 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.9%
- MLSAtlanta @ New York CityBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ SantanderKalshi + Polymarket · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ ColoradoBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- MLSAtlanta @ New York CityKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- MLSSalt Lake @ New EnglandBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- MLSSeattle @ MinnesotaBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- MLSAustin @ San Diego FCFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.2%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ OrlandoKalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.2%
- MLSSeattle @ MinnesotaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
- MLSSalt Lake @ New EnglandKalshi + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
- MLSCharlotte @ Chicago FireKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
- MLSAustin @ San Diego FCKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ ColoradoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- La LigaVillarreal @ LevanteKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- MLSHouston @ Kansas CityKalshi + FanDuel · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
- MLSCharlotte @ Chicago FireBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- MLSDallas @ Los Angeles FKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.9%
- MLSAustin @ San Diego FCKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
- MLSSan Jose @ PortlandFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
- MLSSan Jose @ PortlandBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
- La LigaVillarreal @ LevanteKalshi + Polymarket · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
- MLSMontreal @ CincinnatiBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.3%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ HoffenheimKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.0%
- MLSNashville @ TorontoKalshi + FanDuel · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
- MLSSan Jose @ PortlandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg21.3%
- MLSSan Jose @ PortlandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
- MLSColumbus @ MiamiKalshi + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- MLSVancouver @ DC UnitedKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.8%
- MLSMiami @ San Diego FCKalshi + FanDuel · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
- MLSMiami @ San Diego FCPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.2%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisKalshi + FanDuel · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.4%
- Serie AMilan @ LecceKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.0%
- MLSSeattle @ Salt LakePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.2%
- Serie AMilan @ LeccePolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg14.9%
- MLSMontreal @ CincinnatiKalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.9%
- MLSColumbus @ MiamiPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg13.2%
- MLSColumbus @ MiamiKalshi + FanDuel · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.2%
- CS2MIBR vs magicKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr5.5%
- CS2FURIA vs VitalityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr5.3%
- LoLSenshi Esports Club vs Frites Esports ClubPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr3.8%
- ValorantTeam Falcons VEGA vs FENNEL FemaleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr3.4%
- LoLeSuba vs CITA KaizenKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far3.1%
- LoLMovistar KOI vs Natus VincerePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 23 hr3.0%
- MLSHouston @ Kansas CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg2.9%
- LoLJSK Esports vs Anubis GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min2.2%
- LoLFlyQuest vs Team LiquidPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days1.5%
- CS2Gothboiclique vs largadosypeladosPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr1.5%
- NCAAFMiami (OH) @ CincinnatiKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min1.4%
- CS2SPARTA vs ColorPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 27 hr1.0%
- MLBMinnesota @ Los Angeles AKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.7%
- NFLKansas City @ MiamiPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 8 hr0.7%
- Dota 2Team Nemesis vs 1winPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 43 hr0.7%
- CS2Elementals vs GalorysPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.6%
- NHLWild @ PredatorsPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 8 days0.6%
- Dota 2Team Cobra vs GamerLegionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 39 hr0.6%
- Dota 2MOUZ vs Team YandexPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 47 hr0.5%
- CS2Aurora Gaming vs NRGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 20 hr0.5%
- Dota 2Pipsqueak+4 vs AuroraPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.3%
- Dota 2Yakult's Brothers vs LGD GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.2%
- LoLInvictus Gaming vs Top EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.2%
- NCAAFUAB @ LouisianaPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.2%
- CS2Rebels Gaming vs maybeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr0.2%
- CS2QUAZAR vs BruteKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.2%
- ValorantNova Esports GC vs QuGuangHao GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.2%
- CS2NAVI Junior vs QUAZARPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr0.2%
- CS2Prestige vs Passion AcademyKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.