Track record
Sunday, September 27
107 gaps written down that day, 38 on two-way markets and 69 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- EPLSunderland @ BrightonPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.8%
- La LigaElche @ Celta VigoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg36.0%
- La LigaMalaga @ EspanyolKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.4%
- La LigaLevante @ SevillaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.3%
- Serie ALecce @ BolognaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisFanatics + FanDuel · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.6%
- EPLCoventry @ NewcastleBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.5%
- Serie ATorino @ UdineseKalshi + BetMGM · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.4%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ Paris FCKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
- La LigaVallecano @ BilbaoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ Paris FCPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
- EPLIpswich Town @ FulhamPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
- MLSChicago Fire @ VancouverKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
- EPLCoventry @ NewcastleKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- La LigaAlaves @ AtleticoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- Serie AComo @ RomaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- MLSChicago Fire @ VancouverPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- Ligue 1Lens @ LyonPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.3%
- Ligue 1Nice @ Strasbourg AlsaceKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- EPLIpswich Town @ FulhamPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- BundesligaMainz @ LeverkusenPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityKalshi + DraftKings · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- Serie ALazio @ MonzaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- MLSColumbus @ MiamiPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ ElversbergPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- EPLChelsea @ BournemouthKalshi + BetRivers · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- Ligue 1Troyes @ MarseilleKalshi + BetMGM · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- Ligue 1Troyes @ MarseilleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.9%
- MLSMinnesota @ HoustonKalshi + FanDuel · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ ElversbergKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- Serie AAtalanta @ VeneziaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- BundesligaMainz @ LeverkusenPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- EPLManchester United @ TottenhamPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- BundesligaFC Köln @ M´gladbachKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
- BundesligaFC Köln @ M´gladbachKalshi + FanDuel · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- EPLManchester United @ TottenhamKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
- Ligue 1Monaco @ ToulousePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.4%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisKalshi + Fanatics · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.9%
- MLSAustin @ NashvillePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.4%
- MLSKansas City @ PortlandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.6%
- MLSColorado @ San JoseKalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.9%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Le HavrePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ StuttgartPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.3%
- EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedKalshi + BetMGM · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.3%
- Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ AuxerreKalshi + BetMGM · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.1%
- EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.1%
- EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- MLSNew England @ SeattlePolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- MLSNew England @ SeattleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.0%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Le HavreKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
- MLSSeattle @ Kansas CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
- BundesligaHoffenheim @ HamburgPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.0%
- BundesligaDortmund @ BremenPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.6%
- BundesligaHoffenheim @ HamburgKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.4%
- MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.3%
- MLSNew England @ SeattlePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.6%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ VillarrealKalshi + BetMGM · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.8%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ VillarrealPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.6%
- BundesligaAugsburg @ Bayern MunichKalshi + BetMGM · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg10.4%
- Serie AInter @ Parma CalcioPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg9.5%
- Serie AInter @ Parma CalcioPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.9%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverKalshi + FanDuel · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.6%
- BundesligaAugsburg @ Bayern MunichKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.6%
- Ligue 1PSG @ Le MansPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.7%
- BundesligaAugsburg @ Bayern MunichPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.4%
- CS2Noir Verse vs KUUSAMO.ggKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far5.7%
- CS2overTIME vs BASEMENT BOYSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr5.4%
- NFLLos Angeles C @ SeattleKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far5.1%
- La LigaBarcelona @ GetafePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg5.1%
- WTALeylah Fernandez vs Talia GibsonFanDuel + Caesars · seen once so far4.8%
- CS2Eternal Fire Academy vs TeletubisiePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr4.6%
- CS2Wildcard vs LiquidPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr3.4%
- CS2FarmVille vs MarsbornePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr3.2%
- MLSKansas City @ PortlandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg2.9%
- CS2paiN vs ImperialPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr2.5%
- CS2Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr2.3%
- CS2OldMix vs XI EsportKalshi + Polymarket · stood 17 hr2.1%
- NCAAFBYU @ TCUFanDuel + DraftKings · seen once so far1.8%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverKalshi + FanDuel · stood 31 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg1.6%
- MLBColorado @ Chicago WSPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far1.4%
- ValorantFUT Esports vs JD GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.3%
- ValorantG2 Esports vs Paper RexPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 27 hr1.3%
- NCAAFMiami (FL) @ ClemsonKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far1.1%
- CS2Inner Circle Academy vs aimclubKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr1.0%
- CS2megoshort vs Spirit AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr1.0%
- Dota 2Xipto Esports vs Yangon GalacticosKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.9%
- CS2THE UNIT vs Passion AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.9%
- CS2Nemiga vs FOKUSKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr0.8%
- NCAAFMiami (FL) @ ClemsonKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 hr0.7%
- NFLKansas City @ Las VegasKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far0.6%
- CS2Saint Sinners vs ex-Zero TenacityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.6%
- ValorantFUT Esports vs 100 ThievesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.6%
- Dota 2Team Nemesis vs Team SpiritPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 47 hr0.5%
- NFLJacksonville @ CincinnatiPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far0.5%
- LoLGalions vs KT Rolster ChallengersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr0.4%
- NFLGreen Bay @ Tampa BayPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far0.4%
- Dota 2Yakult's Brothers vs Team LiquidPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 47 hr0.4%
- NCAAFSyracuse @ UConnKalshi + FanDuel · stood 29 min0.3%
- NCAAFTexas Tech @ ColoradoKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.3%
- NFLMiami @ MinnesotaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 3 hr0.3%
- NCAAFNorth Texas @ TulsaPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far0.3%
- WTAMarina Bassols Ribera vs Olivia NichollsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.3%
- NCAAFMiddle Tennessee @ KansasKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far0.3%
- CS2Sinners vs K27Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.2%
- Dota 2GamerLegion vs AuroraPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 47 hr0.2%
- CS2K27 vs Eternal FireKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.