Track record
Saturday, October 3
112 gaps written down that day, 30 on two-way markets and 82 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridKalshi + Fanatics · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ AlavesKalshi + BetRivers · stood 37 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ LevantePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.5%
- EPLSunderland @ BrightonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.3%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ Stade RennaisBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.1%
- Ligue 1Le Havre @ AuxerreKalshi + DraftKings · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.9%
- Ligue 1Lens @ LyonKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.9%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ MonacoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.7%
- MLSMinnesota @ HoustonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- Ligue 1Le Havre @ AuxerreKalshi + DraftKings · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 46 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- EPLBournemouth @ SunderlandBetRivers + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- EPLLeeds United @ Manchester UnitedFanatics + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- La LigaMalaga @ Real SociedadKalshi + BetRivers · stood 32 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
- Serie AFiorentina @ ComoFanDuel + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.3%
- EPLBournemouth @ SunderlandKalshi + BetRivers · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.2%
- La LigaOsasuna @ SantanderKalshi + DraftKings · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
- La LigaEspanyol @ AtleticoKalshi + Fanatics · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
- UCLLens @ Sporting CPKalshi + DraftKings · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
- La LigaValencia @ BilbaoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.0%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ ElversbergPolymarket + Caesars · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- La LigaReal Sociedad @ Deportivo De La CorunaPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- Serie AMilan @ AtalantaFanDuel + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- EPLLeeds United @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- EPLNottingham Forest @ ArsenalFanatics + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- Serie AFiorentina @ ComoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ ElversbergPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.2%
- Serie AUdinese @ LecceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
- Serie AVenezia @ NapoliPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- Serie AUdinese @ LecceBetRivers + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- MLSNew York RB @ San Diego FCPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- Ligue 1Angers @ MarseilleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- Serie AMilan @ AtalantaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzKalshi + BetMGM · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzKalshi + Fanatics · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- EPLNottingham Forest @ ArsenalKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- EPLNewcastle @ Aston VillaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- Serie AJuventus @ LazioKalshi + BetRivers · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
- MLSCharlotte @ DallasKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
- BundesligaHamburg @ StuttgartKalshi + Fanatics · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
- UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- UCLAston Villa @ FenerbahceKalshi + FanDuel · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- BundesligaElversberg @ AugsburgKalshi + Fanatics · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- BundesligaFC Köln @ M´gladbachKalshi + BetMGM · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- Serie AJuventus @ LazioFanDuel + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- BundesligaHamburg @ StuttgartKalshi + BetMGM · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.7%
- Ligue 1Troyes @ LensKalshi + FanDuel · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
- MLSColorado @ San JosePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
- UCLManchester City @ PSGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- BundesligaElversberg @ AugsburgKalshi + FanDuel · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- Ligue 1Troyes @ LensKalshi + DraftKings · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- Ligue 1Lyon @ NiceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- MLSOrlando @ ColumbusPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Stade Brest 29Kalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.1%
- EPLManchester United @ TottenhamKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.9%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Stade Brest 29Kalshi + BetRivers · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.9%
- EPLBrighton @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
- MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FC KölnPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ DortmundKalshi + BetMGM · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ HoffenheimBetMGM + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg21.6%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Le HavrePolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg21.2%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ HoffenheimKalshi + BetMGM · stood 15 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.4%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FC KölnKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.4%
- BundesligaLeverkusen @ FreiburgKalshi + FanDuel · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.3%
- UCLSlovan Bratislava @ StuttgartPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.6%
- EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.4%
- EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.0%
- La LigaVillarreal @ ElcheKalshi + DraftKings · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.9%
- BundesligaDortmund @ BremenPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.1%
- MLSMiami @ DC UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.9%
- Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ PSGKalshi + DraftKings · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.2%
- Serie ARoma @ GenoaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.9%
- Serie ARoma @ GenoaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.9%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.8%
- BundesligaBayern Munich @ LeipzigKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg11.6%
- CS2PARIVISION vs SpiritPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr10.9%
- BundesligaAugsburg @ Bayern MunichKalshi + Fanatics · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg10.5%
- CS2Legacy vs ShindeNKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr7.1%
- CS2Natus Vincere vs VitalityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 19 hr6.0%
- Ligue 1PSG @ Le MansPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.2%
- LoLFuego vs Cupid EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days3.4%
- MLSNashville @ Kansas CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg2.8%
- CS21WIN vs G2Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr2.3%
- CS2mellren vs FORZE ReloadPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far2.3%
- CS2Aurora Gaming vs Team FalconsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr2.1%
- NCAAFGeorgia @ AlabamaDraftKings + FanDuel · stood 3 hr2.0%
- CS2Astralis vs LuminosityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr1.9%
- LoLKT Rolster vs RED CanidsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr1.7%
- CS2Galorys vs BESTIA AcademyKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr1.5%
- Dota 2Ivory vs InterActive PhilippinesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min1.3%
- CS2M80 vs BetBoom TeamPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 19 hr1.3%
- NCAAFGeorgia @ AlabamaPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 60 min1.3%
- CS2fnatic vs AstralisPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.3%
- LoLLOUD vs FURIA EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr1.3%
- Dota 2OG vs 1winPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr1.2%
- LoLUCAM Esports Club vs Movistar KOI FénixPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 22 hr1.0%
- CS2Alliance vs fnaticKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.9%
- LoLThe Secret Club Esport vs GalionsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr0.8%
- NCAAFTexas St. @ San Diego St.BetRivers + FanDuel · seen once so far0.8%
- Dota 2GamerLegion vs LGD GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.8%
- CS2JiJieHao vs 100 ThievesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.6%
- LoLBarça eSports vs SolaryPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 27 hr0.6%
- CS2Fire Flux Esports vs Spirit AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.5%
- LoLJD Gaming vs Shopify RebellionKalshi + Polymarket · stood 26 hr0.4%
- CS2Natus Vincere vs G2Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.3%
- NCAAFIndiana @ NebraskaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min0.3%
- CS2MOUZ vs FURIAKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr0.2%
- CS2TYLOO vs 9zPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.