Track record
Tuesday, October 13
134 gaps written down that day, 25 on two-way markets and 109 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- Serie AParma Calcio @ TorinoKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg42.0%
- La LigaValencia @ BilbaoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg38.5%
- Serie AMonza @ CagliariPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.6%
- La LigaLevante UD @ Athletic ClubPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg36.9%
- EPLSunderland @ Leeds UnitedPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.5%
- EPLIpswich Town @ Nottingham ForestPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.1%
- EPLIpswich Town @ Nottingham ForestPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.1%
- UCLSabah Masazir @ Slavia PraguePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.9%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ LevanteKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.9%
- EPLIpswich Town @ Nottingham ForestKalshi + BetRivers · stood 46 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.7%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ Real BetisPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 39 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
- La LigaOsasuna @ SantanderPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
- La LigaSantander @ EspanyolKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.2%
- EPLCoventry @ FulhamKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
- La LigaSevilla @ OsasunaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.7%
- UCLSabah Masazir @ Slavia PragueBetMGM + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.1%
- UCLAtletico @ Manchester UnitedBetRivers + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.9%
- Serie AUdinese @ LeccePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- La LigaBilbao @ GetafeBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
- MLSColorado @ MinnesotaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- MLSToronto @ OrlandoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- EPLNewcastle @ Aston VillaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ Real BetisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ Real BetisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- EPLBrentford @ LiverpoolKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
- Serie AMilan @ AtalantaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.6%
- Serie ANapoli @ RomaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- EPLChelsea @ TottenhamPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- La LigaEspanyol @ AtleticoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ HoffenheimKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- MLSDallas @ SeattleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- Serie ANapoli @ RomaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- Serie AUdinese @ MilanKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ HoffenheimPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.1%
- La LigaVallecano @ ElcheBetRivers + Fanatics · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- MLSSalt Lake @ San JosePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- MLSHouston @ DallasKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.5%
- EPLNottingham Forest @ ArsenalPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.3%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Stade Brest 29Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- EPLFulham @ Hull CityPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- UCLAston Villa @ FenerbahceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- EPLFulham @ Hull CityKalshi + DraftKings · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ PortlandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- MLSPortland @ ColoradoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
- MLSSalt Lake @ San JoseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.9%
- Ligue 1Marseille @ Le HavreFanatics + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- Ligue 1Marseille @ Le HavrePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
- UCLFenerbahce @ Slavia PraguePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.2%
- MLSSan Jose @ NashvillePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.2%
- Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ Strasbourg AlsacePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.9%
- Serie AAtalanta @ FrosinoneKalshi + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.8%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ DortmundPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.2%
- Serie ALecce @ JuventusKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.0%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlotteFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlotteKalshi + FanDuel · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.6%
- MLSSan Jose @ NashvillePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.5%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlotteFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.1%
- La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 41 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
- UCLBayern Munich @ ArsenalKalshi + Polymarket · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.5%
- La LigaVillarreal @ ElchePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.5%
- MLSHouston @ DallasKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.4%
- MLSMinnesota @ Saint LouisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.3%
- MLSCincinnati @ ColumbusKalshi + BetRivers · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.3%
- MLSAustin @ VancouverKalshi + BetMGM · stood 46 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- MLSNew York RB @ TorontoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- La LigaVillarreal @ ElcheKalshi + BetMGM · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- MLSMiami @ New York CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.6%
- MLSSan Jose @ NashvilleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.3%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlottePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.2%
- MLSOrlando @ DC UnitedPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.5%
- MLSCincinnati @ ColumbusKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.4%
- MLSKansas City @ Salt LakeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.1%
- BundesligaDortmund @ FrankfurtKalshi + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.8%
- MLSAustin @ VancouverKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.6%
- La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.2%
- UCLPSG @ BarcelonaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.0%
- UCLGalatasaray @ BarcelonaBetMGM + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg15.4%
- UCLArsenal @ LillePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg14.8%
- La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.2%
- MLSNashville @ Kansas CityFanatics + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
- UCLArsenal @ LilleFanDuel + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
- UCLGalatasaray @ BarcelonaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.3%
- EPLManchester City @ Ipswich TownPolymarket + Caesars · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.9%
- UCLArsenal @ LilleKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.8%
- EPLManchester City @ Ipswich TownPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg12.4%
- UCLArsenal @ LillePolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg12.2%
- MLSNashville @ Kansas CityKalshi + Fanatics · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg11.5%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 31 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg11.1%
- MLSHouston @ MinnesotaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg10.2%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ Los Angeles GKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg9.4%
- MLSColumbus @ TorontoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.8%
- MLSMontreal @ NashvillePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg7.8%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ New EnglandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.8%
- UCLFenerbahce @ Slavia PragueKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.6%
- UCLViking @ Bayern MunichBetMGM + Polymarket · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg7.3%
- MLSCincinnati @ DC UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg7.2%
- UCLViking @ Bayern MunichKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg5.3%
- UCLLiverpool @ VillarrealKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.6%
- UCLComo @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.4%
- Dota 2Kalmychata vs Yellow SubmarinePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far2.6%
- LoLKarmine Corp vs Cloud9Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 34 hr2.4%
- MLSHouston @ MinnesotaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg2.2%
- CS2ILLYRIANS vs Bushido WildcatsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr2.1%
- MLSSan Diego FC @ SeattleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg2.1%
- Dota 2Yellow Submarine vs HULIGANIKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr2.0%
- UCLLiverpool @ VillarrealPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg2.0%
- WTAAryna Sabalenka vs Ann LiFanDuel + DraftKings · seen once so far1.6%
- Dota 2Power Rangers vs Yellow SubmarinePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr1.3%
- Dota 2salamit vs Dawn BullsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.3%
- Dota 2Dawn Bulls vs Nemiga GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr1.3%
- Dota 2The Warriors vs Power RangersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr1.2%
- UCLSabah Masazir @ DortmundPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 46 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg0.9%
- WTAAshlyn Krueger vs Shuai ZhangPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.9%
- WTAYulia Putintseva vs Diana ShnaiderKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far0.7%
- CS26666 vs GenOnePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.7%
- CS2Galorys vs ex-Keyd StatsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr0.6%
- Dota 2potn9ki vs OGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.6%
- Dota 2PuckChamp vs LEGIONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.6%
- Dota 2Ivory vs Yangon GalacticosPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 43 hr0.5%
- Dota 2PuckChamp vs Team LynxPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr0.5%
- Dota 2The Warriors vs Shadow DanceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr0.5%
- UCLPorto @ EindhovenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg0.5%
- CS2Martians vs QUINTESSENCIAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.4%
- CS2Overtake vs ZomblersKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr0.4%
- Dota 2salamit vs The WarriorsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.4%
- UCLReal Betis @ FeyenoordPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg0.4%
- UCLPorto @ EindhovenPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg0.4%
- CS2VP.Future 3 vs Copenhagen WolvesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.4%
- CS2Saint Sinners vs WalczakiPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.3%
- CS2Just_Players vs FOKUSPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
- Dota 2Mena Warriors vs Zero TenacityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 25 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.