Track record
Wednesday, October 14
151 gaps written down that day, 24 on two-way markets and 127 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- Serie AMonza @ CagliariPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg39.2%
- UCLClub Brugge @ LensPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg37.0%
- La LigaAlaves @ MalagaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.8%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.4%
- UCLReal Betis @ PortoPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 29 min · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
- La LigaValencia @ VillarrealPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.2%
- EPLLeeds United @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.0%
- MLSMontreal @ AtlantaBetRivers + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.9%
- Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ NiceKalshi + FanDuel · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.3%
- MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- Serie ATorino @ MonzaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
- MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.5%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ HamburgKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- MLSColorado @ MinnesotaKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
- UCLBodoe/Glimt @ DortmundDraftKings + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
- BundesligaAugsburg @ Union BerlinBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
- UCLBodoe/Glimt @ DortmundPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.9%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ Real BetisKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.8%
- MLSDC United @ New York RBPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.7%
- EPLNewcastle @ Aston VillaKalshi + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonKalshi + Fanatics · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- UCLStuttgart @ AtleticoKalshi + Caesars · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- MLSColorado @ MinnesotaPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- MLSMontreal @ AtlantaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- EPLBournemouth @ SunderlandKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridBetMGM + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- Serie AFiorentina @ ComoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ PortlandPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- MLSDC United @ New York RBKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- MLSColorado @ MinnesotaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- La LigaEspanyol @ AtleticoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- UCLComo @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + Caesars · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- UCLFeyenoord @ ComoKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
- EPLFulham @ Hull CityPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 38 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
- UCLClub Brugge @ LensKalshi + Polymarket · stood 36 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- BundesligaFC Köln @ SchalkeBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- MLSChicago Fire @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- UCLManchester City @ PSGPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.2%
- MLSColorado @ MinnesotaKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.1%
- EPLFulham @ Hull CityKalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
- Serie AJuventus @ LazioKalshi + FanDuel · stood 37 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
- MLSCincinnati @ ColumbusKalshi + BetRivers · stood 36 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
- EPLChelsea @ TottenhamKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- UCLPSG @ BarcelonaPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- UCLPorto @ EindhovenPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- MLSOrlando @ DC UnitedKalshi + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- MLSCincinnati @ ColumbusKalshi + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- MLSColumbus @ CharlotteKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- UCLPSG @ BarcelonaPolymarket + Caesars · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- UCLStuttgart @ AtleticoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- MLSSaint Louis @ VancouverPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- UCLLille @ GalatasarayKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- UCLStuttgart @ AtleticoKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- MLSDC United @ New York RBKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.6%
- UCLFenerbahce @ Slavia PraguePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- MLSDC United @ New York RBKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.8%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ San Diego FCKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- Serie AUdinese @ MilanPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ San Diego FCFanatics + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FC KölnKalshi + Polymarket · stood 36 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- EPLAston Villa @ Manchester CityKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- EPLManchester United @ BournemouthPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- MLSColumbus @ CharlotteKalshi + Polymarket · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.9%
- UCLPorto @ EindhovenKalshi + FanDuel · stood 46 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
- UCLFenerbahce @ Slavia PragueKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.7%
- UCLReal Betis @ FeyenoordKalshi + Caesars · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- BundesligaMainz @ BremenKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- MLSMinnesota @ Saint LouisPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ San Diego FCPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
- BundesligaHoffenheim @ LeverkusenPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.4%
- UCLFenerbahce @ Slavia PragueKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.4%
- MLSMinnesota @ Saint LouisKalshi + FanDuel · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
- EPLBrighton @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.8%
- MLSHouston @ DallasPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.8%
- UCLNapoli @ Bodoe/GlimtKalshi + Caesars · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
- MLSKansas City @ Salt LakeKalshi + FanDuel · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.4%
- UCLNapoli @ Bodoe/GlimtPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
- MLSMiami @ New York CityPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
- UCLNapoli @ Bodoe/GlimtKalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.6%
- MLSCincinnati @ DC UnitedPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.4%
- Serie ARoma @ GenoaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.4%
- MLSSeattle @ MontrealPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ AustinPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
- UCLReal Betis @ FeyenoordKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.6%
- EPLArsenal @ EvertonKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.5%
- EPLTottenham @ CoventryPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.5%
- MLSNew England @ Chicago FireKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.0%
- MLSSeattle @ MontrealPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 31 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.9%
- MLSMiami @ New York CityKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg19.7%
- MLSCincinnati @ ColumbusPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.8%
- MLSMiami @ New York CityKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg18.6%
- MLSMiami @ New York CityKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlottePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.2%
- UCLSlovan Bratislava @ StuttgartPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg17.7%
- La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.7%
- La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaDraftKings + Kalshi · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.7%
- La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg17.7%
- BundesligaStuttgart @ M´gladbachBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.6%
- UCLSlovan Bratislava @ StuttgartKalshi + Polymarket · stood 89 min · a draw pays out on neither leg16.5%
- Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ PSGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.5%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlottePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.3%
- BundesligaLeipzig @ ElversbergKalshi + BetRivers · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.0%
- La LigaAtletico @ Deportivo De La CorunaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.8%
- UCLSporting CP @ LASKKalshi + Caesars · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.7%
- UCLSporting CP @ LASKKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
- EPLManchester City @ Ipswich TownPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
- UCLReal Madrid @ LeipzigKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg13.9%
- UCLAston Villa @ VikingKalshi + Caesars · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.8%
- UCLSporting CP @ LASKKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg13.5%
- La LigaAtletico @ Deportivo De La CorunaPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.2%
- MLSNashville @ Kansas CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.2%
- BundesligaBayern Munich @ LeipzigKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg10.8%
- UCLLille @ GalatasarayPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg9.9%
- UCLInter @ ShakhtarKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.7%
- UCLRoma @ Slovan BratislavaKalshi + Caesars · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.6%
- UCLRoma @ Slovan BratislavaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.1%
- UCLRoma @ Slovan BratislavaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.7%
- Dota 2Rottweilas Latam vs SkyreaversPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min5.7%
- UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensKalshi + Caesars · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg5.3%
- CS2Ryvex vs WRAITH PCIFICPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr4.6%
- UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg4.5%
- UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg4.2%
- UCLReal Madrid @ LeipzigKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.7%
- CS2NIP vs Aurora GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr3.4%
- UCLAston Villa @ VikingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg3.3%
- Dota 2PuckChamp vs Zero TenacityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr2.7%
- CS2Team Falcons vs 9zKalshi + Polymarket · stood 17 hr2.4%
- Dota 2salamit vs Nemiga GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr2.2%
- CS2Alter Ego vs Lynn VisionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr2.1%
- CS2Rooster vs MARKandLARRYKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.7%
- ValorantAkave Esports Black vs FlyQuest REDPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr1.6%
- Dota 2Royal Bear vs ExecrationKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr1.5%
- NCAAFIowa @ MinnesotaDraftKings + FanDuel · stood 60 min1.3%
- Dota 2InterActive Philippines vs Xipto EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr1.3%
- CS2A NATA vs Joga de ternoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr1.2%
- WTAAshlyn Krueger vs Iga SwiatekKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far1.1%
- CS2Bread Eaters Esports vs EAC ExtraPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.7%
- Dota 2Mena Warriors vs PuckChampKalshi + Polymarket · stood 15 hr0.7%
- UCLNapoli @ Bodoe/GlimtKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg0.5%
- CS2B8 Academy vs ENJOYPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.4%
- WTAJelena Ostapenko vs Jessica PegulaPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.4%
- LoLOKSavingsBank BRION vs Team WEPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.2%
- CS2BC.Game Esports vs MIBRPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr0.2%
- CS2RED Canids Academy vs ARK E-sportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr0.2%
- Dota 2Zenith vs Yakult's BrothersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.2%
- UCLSporting CP @ LASKKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg0.2%
- CS2fnatic vs HOTUKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.2%
- CS2Galorys vs largadosypeladosKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.