Track record
Thursday, October 15
172 gaps written down that day, 33 on two-way markets and 139 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- La LigaGetafe @ VallecanoPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg42.9%
- Serie AMonza @ CagliariPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg39.2%
- EPLIpswich Town @ Nottingham ForestPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.7%
- Ligue 1Le Havre @ AuxerreKalshi + BetMGM · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.3%
- EPLSunderland @ Leeds UnitedPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.7%
- EPLSunderland @ Leeds UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.2%
- Serie AGenoa @ VeneziaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg34.1%
- La LigaMalaga @ Real SociedadPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.5%
- Ligue 1Angers @ LorientPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg33.5%
- MLSHouston @ DallasPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.4%
- La LigaMalaga @ Real SociedadKalshi + Polymarket · stood 44 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.2%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.8%
- Serie ATorino @ MonzaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.7%
- UCLStuttgart @ AtleticoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.4%
- La LigaSevilla @ OsasunaBetRivers + DraftKings · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.3%
- UCLComo @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- EPLBournemouth @ SunderlandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
- Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ NicePolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.7%
- Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ NicePolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.7%
- La LigaSantander @ EspanyolPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
- Ligue 1Monaco @ LillePolymarket + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.5%
- EPLBournemouth @ SunderlandKalshi + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
- EPLBournemouth @ SunderlandKalshi + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
- La LigaSevilla @ OsasunaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- Serie AMilan @ AtalantaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.9%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzKalshi + Polymarket · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- MLSMinnesota @ Saint LouisPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
- UCLStuttgart @ AtleticoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- MLSNew York City @ Los Angeles FKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- UCLStuttgart @ AtleticoBetMGM + Caesars · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- EPLHull City @ BrentfordPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- Ligue 1Le Mans @ ToulouseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 31 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- Serie AFrosinone @ SassuoloKalshi + Polymarket · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- UCLClub Brugge @ LensPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- UCLComo @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + Caesars · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- Ligue 1Auxerre @ Le MansPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- Serie ANapoli @ RomaPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.6%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ HamburgPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.6%
- UCLStuttgart @ AtleticoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- Serie AFiorentina @ ComoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
- Serie AUdinese @ MilanBetRivers + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
- UCLClub Brugge @ LensKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- UCLStuttgart @ AtleticoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
- UCLComo @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
- Serie AJuventus @ LazioPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- UCLLille @ GalatasarayKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Stade Brest 29Kalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- Ligue 1Lens @ Paris FCPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.1%
- BundesligaHoffenheim @ LeverkusenKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.1%
- UCLBayern Munich @ ArsenalKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
- MLSMinnesota @ Saint LouisKalshi + BetRivers · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- EPLLiverpool @ BrightonPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- MLSMinnesota @ Saint LouisKalshi + FanDuel · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
- EPLFulham @ Hull CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 32 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- MLSCincinnati @ ColumbusKalshi + Fanatics · stood 29 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- BundesligaBremen @ PaderbornPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- UCLFenerbahce @ Slavia PragueKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- UCLFenerbahce @ Slavia PraguePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- UCLFenerbahce @ Slavia PraguePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- MLSNew York RB @ TorontoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- Serie AVenezia @ NapoliKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- BundesligaElversberg @ AugsburgKalshi + Polymarket · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- UCLPSG @ BarcelonaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- MLSPortland @ ColoradoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- MLSMinnesota @ Saint LouisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- MLSSan Jose @ NashvilleKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- MLSOrlando @ DC UnitedBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- MLSCincinnati @ ColumbusPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- MLSCincinnati @ ColumbusKalshi + Caesars · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- Serie AVenezia @ NapoliPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
- EPLAston Villa @ Manchester CityPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
- MLSAtlanta @ MiamiPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.8%
- Serie AVenezia @ NapoliKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- Serie ABologna @ InterKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
- La LigaReal Sociedad @ LevantePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
- BundesligaHamburg @ StuttgartKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- Ligue 1Troyes @ LensKalshi + Polymarket · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ San Diego FCPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- UCLReal Betis @ FeyenoordKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- BundesligaLeverkusen @ FreiburgKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
- UCLPSG @ BarcelonaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
- MLSOrlando @ DC UnitedKalshi + BetMGM · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- UCLReal Betis @ FeyenoordPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
- BundesligaLeverkusen @ FreiburgPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
- Serie ARoma @ GenoaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 32 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ DortmundKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- MLSAustin @ VancouverPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- MLSOrlando @ DC UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ San Diego FCKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- Ligue 1Toulouse @ TroyesPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.4%
- MLSSeattle @ MontrealKalshi + BetMGM · stood 38 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.1%
- UCLLiverpool @ VillarrealPolymarket + Caesars · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
- MLSSeattle @ MontrealPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.3%
- UCLReal Betis @ FeyenoordPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.0%
- UCLPSG @ BarcelonaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.9%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlotteKalshi + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
- UCLReal Betis @ FeyenoordKalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.5%
- UCLLiverpool @ VillarrealKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.1%
- UCLNapoli @ Bodoe/GlimtKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.1%
- EPLArsenal @ EvertonPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg21.0%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlottePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.9%
- La LigaVillarreal @ ElcheKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.7%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlotteKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.7%
- BundesligaFreiburg @ Bayern MunichKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.6%
- MLSSeattle @ MontrealKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.5%
- La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.5%
- La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridFanDuel + Kalshi · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- UCLAston Villa @ VikingPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
- BundesligaDortmund @ FrankfurtBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.7%
- UCLAston Villa @ VikingKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg17.4%
- BundesligaDortmund @ FrankfurtPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.9%
- BundesligaDortmund @ FrankfurtKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg16.9%
- UCLSabah Masazir @ DortmundKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg16.4%
- UCLSabah Masazir @ DortmundKalshi + Caesars · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.3%
- UCLSabah Masazir @ DortmundPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg16.2%
- UCLAston Villa @ VikingPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg15.9%
- Ligue 1PSG @ LyonPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.8%
- Serie AComo @ SassuoloPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg15.5%
- BundesligaLeipzig @ ElversbergPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.2%
- UCLReal Madrid @ LeipzigKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.6%
- UCLReal Madrid @ LeipzigKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.5%
- UCLInter @ ShakhtarCaesars + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
- UCLReal Madrid @ LeipzigPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
- UCLSporting CP @ LASKBetRivers + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg13.9%
- UCLReal Madrid @ LeipzigKalshi + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg13.5%
- UCLSporting CP @ LASKKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.2%
- UCLInter @ ShakhtarKalshi + Caesars · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.8%
- UCLInter @ ShakhtarKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg12.1%
- UCLLille @ GalatasarayKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg11.2%
- MLSNew England @ New York RBKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg9.4%
- MLSNew York City @ AtlantaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg9.4%
- UCLRoma @ Slovan BratislavaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg9.0%
- Dota 2Xipto Esports vs IvoryKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr8.6%
- CS2Off Chops vs FlyQuestPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr8.3%
- UCLRoma @ Slovan BratislavaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg8.0%
- MLSCharlotte @ MontrealKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.0%
- MLSToronto @ DC UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg6.6%
- MLSMiami @ CincinnatiKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.7%
- UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensPolymarket + Caesars · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.9%
- LoLTeam WE vs BNK FEARXPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 41 hr3.5%
- CS2mellren vs BrutePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min3.4%
- MLSMontreal @ NashvilleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg2.9%
- CS2Saint Sinners vs WRAITH PCIFICKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far2.4%
- CS2Spirit Academy vs The Last ResortKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr2.4%
- CS2Sangal vs 100 ThievesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 25 hr2.3%
- LoLKarmine Corp vs MVK EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr1.9%
- CS2Fire Flux Esports vs ButterflyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr1.8%
- CS2Privateer Gaming vs mellrenPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr1.7%
- CS2Heroic vs fnaticKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr1.6%
- Dota 2CyberHero vs Mena WarriorsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr1.6%
- Dota 2Yellow Submarine vs salamitKalshi + Polymarket · stood 20 hr1.5%
- CS2MIBR vs AstralisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr1.3%
- Dota 2Zero Tenacity vs CyberHeroPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr1.3%
- CS2G2 Ares vs BakS eSportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr1.2%
- Dota 2Team Lynx vs LEGIONPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.2%
- NCAAFUSC @ WisconsinPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr1.1%
- Dota 2salamit vs Spirit AcademyKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.0%
- CS2BetBoom Team vs LegacyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr0.9%
- CS2Abyssal vs Ground ZeroPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.8%
- CS2Liquid vs NIPKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr0.4%
- CS2Lavked vs FORZE ReloadPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr0.4%
- CS2BetBoom Team vs PARIVISIONKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr0.4%
- Dota 2White Sails vs Team SynapsePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.3%
- Dota 2InterActive Philippines vs Royal BearPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr0.3%
- CS2Vitality Academy vs VP.Future 3Kalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr0.2%
- Dota 2PlayTime vs SkyreaversKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.2%
- Dota 2Mena Warriors vs Inner CirclePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
- LoLOKSavingsBank BRION vs Team WEKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.2%
- ValorantG2 Esports vs 100 ThievesPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
- NCAAFMcNeese @ Northwestern St.Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.2%
- CS29z vs Aurora GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.