The log

Track record

Saturday, October 17

121 gaps written down that day, 14 on two-way markets and 107 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.

  • La LigaValencia @ BilbaoPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg37.1%
  • La LigaValencia @ BilbaoPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.1%
  • La LigaCelta Vigo @ AlavesKalshi + Polymarket · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.9%
  • MLSSalt Lake @ Saint LouisKalshi + BetRivers · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.8%
  • Ligue 1Paris FC @ Stade RennaisKalshi + DraftKings · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.8%
  • Ligue 1Paris FC @ Stade RennaisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.7%
  • Serie AUdinese @ LecceKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg34.9%
  • MLSOrlando @ New York CityKalshi + BetRivers · stood 38 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.2%
  • Ligue 1Angers @ MarseillePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
  • UCLStuttgart @ AtleticoKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.2%
  • La LigaSevilla @ OsasunaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
  • BundesligaHamburg @ StuttgartBetMGM + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
  • MLSNew England @ Chicago FirePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • Ligue 1Troyes @ LensKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
  • EPLCoventry @ SunderlandFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
  • MLSKansas City @ AustinKalshi + BetRivers · stood 36 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
  • UCLLille @ GalatasarayBetRivers + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
  • UCLLille @ GalatasarayPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.8%
  • MLSAtlanta @ Chicago FireFanatics + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
  • MLSMinnesota @ Saint LouisKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
  • EPLIpswich Town @ Nottingham ForestPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 44 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
  • UCLStuttgart @ AtleticoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • MLSAtlanta @ Chicago FirePolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • MLSKansas City @ Salt LakeKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • EPLHull City @ Ipswich TownFanatics + FanDuel · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
  • MLSPortland @ ColoradoKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
  • MLSPortland @ ColoradoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
  • EPLHull City @ BrentfordPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
  • EPLHull City @ BrentfordKalshi + BetRivers · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
  • MLSAtlanta @ Chicago FireKalshi + BetRivers · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
  • MLSSan Diego FC @ SeattleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
  • MLSKansas City @ AustinPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
  • UCLStuttgart @ AtleticoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
  • EPLCoventry @ SunderlandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
  • MLSKansas City @ Salt LakeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
  • EPLLiverpool @ ArsenalFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
  • EPLBrentford @ Nottingham ForestFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
  • UCLClub Brugge @ LensKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.7%
  • EPLBournemouth @ Leeds UnitedFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
  • Serie AMilan @ AtalantaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.5%
  • EPLAston Villa @ FulhamFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.3%
  • MLSHouston @ MinnesotaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.3%
  • MLSSan Jose @ NashvilleFanatics + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
  • MLSPortland @ ColoradoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
  • MLSSan Jose @ NashvilleKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
  • MLSCincinnati @ ColumbusKalshi + Polymarket · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
  • MLSHouston @ MinnesotaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
  • MLSMontreal @ NashvilleBetRivers + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
  • UCLPorto @ EindhovenPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
  • MLSDallas @ San JoseKalshi + FanDuel · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
  • UCLFenerbahce @ Slavia PraguePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
  • Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ Strasbourg AlsacePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
  • EPLChelsea @ Manchester UnitedFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
  • Ligue 1Lens @ Paris FCPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
  • EPLLiverpool @ BrightonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
  • EPLTottenham @ Crystal PalaceFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
  • BundesligaLeverkusen @ FreiburgKalshi + Polymarket · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
  • UCLPorto @ EindhovenKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
  • MLSAtlanta @ MiamiKalshi + FanDuel · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
  • UCLPSG @ BarcelonaBetRivers + Kalshi · stood 32 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
  • MLSAustin @ VancouverKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
  • MLSAtlanta @ MiamiPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
  • MLSAustin @ VancouverKalshi + FanDuel · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
  • MLSAtlanta @ MiamiPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
  • UCLPorto @ EindhovenKalshi + BetRivers · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.1%
  • EPLTottenham @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + Fanatics · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.8%
  • UCLPSG @ BarcelonaPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
  • MLSSalt Lake @ Saint LouisPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
  • MLSNew York RB @ MiamiKalshi + BetRivers · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
  • UCLPorto @ EindhovenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 43 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.3%
  • MLSNew York RB @ TorontoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.2%
  • EPLManchester City @ BrightonFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.2%
  • MLSNew York RB @ MiamiKalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.2%
  • MLSAtlanta @ MiamiKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
  • Serie AAtalanta @ FrosinoneKalshi + Polymarket · stood 32 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.0%
  • MLSPhiladelphia @ New EnglandKalshi + BetMGM · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
  • UCLLiverpool @ VillarrealKalshi + Caesars · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.5%
  • MLSMontreal @ NashvilleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
  • EPLManchester City @ BrightonKalshi + FanDuel · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.7%
  • MLSPhiladelphia @ New EnglandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.5%
  • Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ PSGBetMGM + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
  • La LigaVillarreal @ ElcheKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg19.6%
  • MLSPortland @ CharlottePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg19.6%
  • MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlotteKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.6%
  • MLSDallas @ San JoseKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg19.1%
  • La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaBetMGM + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg19.0%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridDraftKings + BetRivers · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.6%
  • MLSSeattle @ MontrealKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.4%
  • BundesligaStuttgart @ M´gladbachPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.3%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 41 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.1%
  • UCLReal Madrid @ LeipzigKalshi + Caesars · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.1%
  • Ligue 1PSG @ LyonPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.6%
  • MLSMontreal @ NashvilleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.2%
  • UCLSporting CP @ LASKCaesars + BetRivers · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.6%
  • MLSColumbus @ TorontoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.5%
  • MLSColumbus @ TorontoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.8%
  • BundesligaLeipzig @ ElversbergKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.7%
  • MLSColorado @ VancouverKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg12.9%
  • La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.7%
  • MLSColorado @ VancouverKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg12.4%
  • La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaBetRivers + Kalshi · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.4%
  • UCLRoma @ Slovan BratislavaPolymarket + Caesars · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg10.6%
  • MLSNew York RB @ MiamiKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg10.0%
  • LoLMVK Esports vs Karmine CorpPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr8.4%
  • MLSSeattle @ HoustonPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.0%
  • UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensBetRivers + Kalshi · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg6.9%
  • UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg6.9%
  • UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg5.7%
  • CS2BetBoom Team vs FURIAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr5.1%
  • Dota 2Spirit Academy vs Yellow SubmarinePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr4.3%
  • CS2Passion Academy vs Elite KlanKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr3.4%
  • CS2ex-RUSTEC vs BBLPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min2.4%
  • Dota 2Inner Circle vs PuckChampKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.8%
  • CS2Liquid vs fnaticKalshi + Polymarket · stood 37 hr1.3%
  • CS2MIBR vs NIPKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min1.3%
  • Dota 2Stariy bog Team vs ALOHADANCE TeamPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr1.3%
  • LoLFURIA Esports vs MVK EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr1.2%
  • CS2PRIVATE vs BIGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 39 hr1.0%
  • CS2Team Falcons vs Aurora GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr0.3%
  • WTAMaja Chwalinska vs Sonay KartalPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far0.3%
  • Dota 2Inner Circle vs CyberHeroPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%

The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.