Track record
Tuesday, October 20
60 gaps written down that day, 13 on two-way markets and 47 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- La LigaSevilla @ OsasunaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.8%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ OsasunaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg34.2%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ OsasunaFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ OsasunaFanatics + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- EPLBournemouth @ Leeds UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 29 min · a draw pays out on neither leg32.8%
- EPLBournemouth @ Leeds UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg32.4%
- EPLBournemouth @ Leeds UnitedPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.2%
- La LigaVallecano @ Celta VigoKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- MLSSalt Lake @ Saint LouisPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
- La LigaValencia @ VillarrealPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.8%
- UCLLille @ GalatasarayKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- UCLClub Brugge @ LensPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- La LigaBilbao @ GetafePolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
- MLSAtlanta @ Chicago FireKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
- La LigaBilbao @ GetafeFanDuel + DraftKings · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ MonacoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- La LigaBilbao @ GetafeKalshi + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.3%
- La LigaVallecano @ ElcheKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- EPLChelsea @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- Serie AGenoa @ JuventusKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.2%
- MLSColorado @ VancouverPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- ATPArthur Fils vs Jaume MunarKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min25.1%
- UCLPSG @ BarcelonaBetRivers + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
- La LigaVillarreal @ EspanyolKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
- CS2your end vs DamajuanaKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far18.0%
- La LigaReal Betis @ MalagaPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg17.0%
- La LigaReal Betis @ MalagaPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg17.0%
- UCLSabah Masazir @ DortmundPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.9%
- UCLRoma @ Slovan BratislavaKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg9.2%
- UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensCaesars + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg8.9%
- UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg8.0%
- CS2BASEMENT BOYS vs FaZePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr7.8%
- UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg6.5%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ MinnesotaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg5.8%
- MLSNew York City @ MontrealKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg5.8%
- MLSNashville @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg5.7%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ AustinKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg5.7%
- MLSSaint Louis @ San Diego FCKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg5.7%
- MLSNashville @ New York RBKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg5.3%
- MLSSaint Louis @ PortlandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg5.2%
- MLSCharlotte @ OrlandoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg5.2%
- MLSColumbus @ DC UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg5.2%
- MLSVancouver @ SeattleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg4.7%
- MLSChicago Fire @ OrlandoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg4.1%
- MLSVancouver @ San Diego FCKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg3.6%
- MLSMinnesota @ Kansas CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg3.6%
- MLSSan Jose @ Salt LakeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg2.3%
- CS2PRIVATE vs AlliancePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr2.0%
- Dota 2GamerLegion vs Team YandexPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr1.8%
- Dota 2LEGION vs Team SpiritPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.6%
- ValorantA Team vs Wolves EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr1.6%
- CS2ex-6666 vs LavkedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min1.5%
- CS2Los Ninos vs QUINTESSENCIAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr1.5%
- CS2ASTRAL vs LuminosityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr1.3%
- MLSKansas City @ DallasPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg1.0%
- CS2BC.Game Esports vs BBLKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.8%
- MLSAtlanta @ TorontoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg0.8%
- CS2aimclub vs Nice TryPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.8%
- MLSColorado @ Chicago FireKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg0.5%
- Dota 2Yellow Submarine vs Team SynapseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.4%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.