Track record
Tuesday, September 8
123 gaps written down that day, 46 on two-way markets and 77 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- La LigaSevilla @ ValenciaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg41.1%
- Serie AParma Calcio @ GenoaPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg41.0%
- Serie ALecce @ MonzaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg40.0%
- La LigaSevilla @ ValenciaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 39 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg39.9%
- La LigaOsasuna @ EspanyolKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg37.8%
- Ligue 1Auxerre @ Stade Brest 29Polymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.3%
- Serie AUdinese @ CagliariFanatics + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg35.1%
- UCLLille @ Real BetisKalshi + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg34.2%
- Ligue 1Auxerre @ Stade Brest 29Kalshi + BetRivers · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.1%
- La LigaVallecano @ EspanyolPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- UCLClub Brugge @ Aston VillaPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
- BundesligaSchalke @ ElversbergKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.2%
- La LigaSantander @ AlavesKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.0%
- BundesligaSchalke @ ElversbergPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.5%
- EPLLeeds United @ Crystal PalacePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 46 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.5%
- Serie ANapoli @ BolognaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.3%
- BundesligaSchalke @ ElversbergKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
- MLSDC United @ AtlantaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.7%
- Serie ABologna @ TorinoPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.5%
- Serie ABologna @ TorinoFanDuel + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
- Serie AMonza @ SassuoloPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
- EPLLeeds United @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
- La LigaReal Sociedad @ AtleticoKalshi + FanDuel · stood 39 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- Ligue 1Nice @ LilleFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- EPLCoventry @ BrightonKalshi + Fanatics · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- EPLTottenham @ EvertonPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- UCLClub Brugge @ Aston VillaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- EPLBrentford @ ChelseaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- UCLPorto @ Manchester CityBetMGM + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- MLSHouston @ Salt LakePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
- MLSToronto @ NashvillePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.0%
- UCLAEK Athens @ LASKPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FreiburgPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- EPLBournemouth @ LiverpoolKalshi + FanDuel · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- MLSPortland @ Saint LouisKalshi + FanDuel · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- UCLPorto @ Manchester CityBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ Strasbourg AlsacePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- La LigaVillarreal @ Real BetisKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- BundesligaHoffenheim @ StuttgartPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- UCLSporting CP @ GalatasarayKalshi + FanDuel · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.5%
- Serie ATorino FC @ AS RomaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
- UCLSporting CP @ GalatasarayKalshi + DraftKings · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
- UCLSporting CP @ GalatasarayKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.3%
- MLSPortland @ Saint LouisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- MLSMinnesota @ DallasKalshi + Polymarket · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- Serie AUS Sassuolo Calcio @ Juventus FCPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- Serie AMonza @ SassuoloKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- Serie AAtalanta @ CagliariKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.6%
- MLSSaint Louis @ MinnesotaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- Serie AFrosinone @ ComoPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ Strasbourg AlsaceKalshi + FanDuel · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
- UCLSporting CP @ GalatasarayKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
- MLSColorado @ MontrealBetMGM + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
- Serie AFrosinone @ ComoPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- UCLReal Madrid @ InterBetRivers + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg24.7%
- MLSMinnesota @ DallasPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg24.6%
- MLSKansas City @ Los Angeles FPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.5%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ CincinnatiKalshi + BetMGM · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
- UCLReal Madrid @ InterPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- WTAAryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaFanDuel + Kalshi · seen once so far24.1%
- Ligue 1Le Mans @ LensPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
- Serie AFrosinone @ ComoKalshi + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- UCLReal Madrid @ InterPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- MLSColumbus @ New York RBPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 41 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.8%
- Serie AFrosinone @ ComoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
- UCLReal Madrid @ InterPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.9%
- MLSVancouver @ Los Angeles GPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg19.5%
- WTAAryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaKalshi + Caesars · seen once so far18.5%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ New York RBKalshi + Polymarket · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- MLSVancouver @ Los Angeles GPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.7%
- UCLStuttgart @ VikingPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg14.8%
- UCLStuttgart @ VikingBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
- EPLManchester City @ SunderlandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.9%
- MLSVancouver @ AustinBetRivers + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg13.0%
- La LigaLevante @ BarcelonaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.4%
- La LigaLevante @ BarcelonaBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.1%
- LoLDominion Goblins vs White DragonsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr10.4%
- MLSVancouver @ AustinKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg9.3%
- LoLVerdant vs Deer GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 15 hr8.7%
- LoLMAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion HonvédKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr7.8%
- CS2FURIA vs GamerLegionPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far7.2%
- CS2Alliance vs LegacyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr5.2%
- CS2BESTIA vs HeroicPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr5.1%
- CS2MIBR vs 9zPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr4.7%
- CS2SINQU vs Drama eSportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 25 hr4.7%
- UCLPSG @ Slovan BratislavaFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg4.3%
- UCLPSG @ Slovan BratislavaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg4.2%
- CS2FaZe vs magicKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr4.0%
- CS2FURIA vs PARIVISIONKalshi + Polymarket · stood 17 hr3.7%
- CS21WIN vs Nuclear TigeRESKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min2.4%
- CS2G2 vs BIGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr2.1%
- CS2Eternal Fire Academy vs TeletubisiePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.9%
- NFLNew York G @ Los Angeles RDraftKings + FanDuel · stood 60 min1.4%
- CS2Sinners vs Team NemesisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 19 hr1.3%
- CS2WBT Academy vs BASEMENT BOYSPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.2%
- CS2ENCE vs FortressKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr1.2%
- CS2SINQU vs Fire Flux EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr1.2%
- LoLNRG Esports vs Maryville UniversityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 21 hr1.1%
- CS2Team Nemesis vs EYEBALLERSKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.0%
- CS2Wildcard vs HOTUPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr0.9%
- CS2Sinners vs NIPPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr0.9%
- NFLMiami @ San FranciscoCaesars + FanDuel · stood 9 hr0.9%
- ValorantAny Questions Gaming vs JD GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 46 hr0.7%
- CS2BBL vs 100 ThievesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr0.6%
- CS2Nemiga vs Inner Circle EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.6%
- CS2Without a Roof vs NRGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 35 hr0.5%
- MLBTexas Rangers @ Seattle MarinersPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far0.5%
- LoLEXILE esports vs NightBirdsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.5%
- ValorantFunPlus Phoenix vs Nova EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 46 hr0.5%
- CS2The Last Resort vs INOX DivisionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 26 hr0.4%
- CS2TheMongolz vs 5starKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr0.4%
- CS2Villainous vs VocaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 22 hr0.4%
- NCAAFNorth Dakota St. @ Air ForceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr0.4%
- CS2Back to Back vs paiNPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 38 hr0.3%
- NCAAFSouth Florida @ ArmyPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 hr0.3%
- Dota 2Team Kinetix vs Team NemesisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.3%
- CS2BetBoom Team vs BIGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr0.3%
- LoLNongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA ChallengersPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.3%
- NCAAFRobert Morris @ AkronKalshi + Fanatics · stood 3 days0.3%
- CS2GamerLegion vs TYLOOPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr0.2%
- Dota 2GamerLegion vs MOUZKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr0.2%
- CS2DENDELE CS vs Turma do PagodeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 32 hr0.2%
- CS2Marsborne vs Chicken Coop EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 30 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.