The log

Track record

Monday, September 28

121 gaps written down that day, 32 on two-way markets and 89 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.

  • La LigaElche @ Celta VigoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg38.9%
  • La LigaVallecano @ BilbaoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.6%
  • EPLHull City @ EvertonKalshi + BetRivers · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.6%
  • EPLCrystal Palace @ Nottingham ForestPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.3%
  • EPLHull City @ EvertonPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.2%
  • Serie AComo @ RomaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.1%
  • Serie ATorino @ UdinesePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
  • EPLSunderland @ BrightonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
  • EPLCrystal Palace @ Nottingham ForestKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.6%
  • EPLCrystal Palace @ Nottingham ForestPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.6%
  • La LigaSantander @ ValenciaBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
  • La LigaSantander @ ValenciaBetMGM + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
  • Ligue 1Troyes @ MarseillePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
  • Serie ATorino @ UdineseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • UCLVillarreal @ NapoliDraftKings + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
  • Serie ALazio @ MonzaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.8%
  • UCLVillarreal @ NapoliKalshi + BetRivers · stood 15 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
  • EPLAston Villa @ BrentfordKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • Serie ASassuolo @ MilanPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • Serie ASassuolo @ MilanKalshi + Fanatics · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
  • Serie ASassuolo @ MilanKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
  • UCLLens @ Sporting CPBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • Serie AComo @ RomaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
  • Ligue 1Nice @ Strasbourg AlsacePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
  • Ligue 1Nice @ Strasbourg AlsaceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
  • Serie ACagliari @ JuventusPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.7%
  • Serie ALazio @ MonzaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
  • Serie ACagliari @ JuventusPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
  • EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
  • MLSMinnesota @ HoustonCaesars + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
  • La LigaReal Sociedad @ Deportivo De La CorunaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
  • Serie ASassuolo @ MilanPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
  • EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
  • EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
  • Ligue 1Monaco @ ToulouseFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.6%
  • MLSAustin @ NashvilleCaesars + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.2%
  • MLSCharlotte @ DallasFanDuel + Caesars · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
  • Serie AAtalanta @ VeneziaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
  • MLSAustin @ NashvilleKalshi + Caesars · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
  • MLSMinnesota @ HoustonKalshi + Caesars · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
  • MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverCaesars + FanDuel · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
  • UCLSabah Masazir @ Slavia PragueDraftKings + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
  • Ligue 1Troyes @ MarseilleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
  • UCLAtletico @ Manchester UnitedBetMGM + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
  • BundesligaFC Köln @ M´gladbachPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.7%
  • MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.5%
  • MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverKalshi + Caesars · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
  • MLSAtlanta @ CincinnatiFanDuel + Caesars · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
  • MLSKansas City @ PortlandCaesars + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.0%
  • UCLAtletico @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + DraftKings · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
  • UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
  • MLSOrlando @ ColumbusFanDuel + Caesars · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
  • Ligue 1Troyes @ MarseillePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
  • BundesligaFreiburg @ SchalkePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
  • BundesligaFreiburg @ SchalkeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ VancouverKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
  • BundesligaFC Köln @ M´gladbachKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
  • Serie ANapoli @ FrosinoneFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
  • MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
  • MLSNew York RB @ San Diego FCFanDuel + Caesars · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
  • MLSKansas City @ PortlandKalshi + Caesars · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.6%
  • MLSColorado @ San JoseFanDuel + Caesars · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
  • MLSOrlando @ ColumbusKalshi + Caesars · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.4%
  • EPLManchester United @ TottenhamPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.3%
  • MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
  • MLSAtlanta @ CincinnatiKalshi + Caesars · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.9%
  • MLSToronto @ MontrealFanDuel + Caesars · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityFanDuel + Caesars · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
  • MLSColorado @ San JoseKalshi + Caesars · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
  • MLSNew England @ SeattlePolymarket + Caesars · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.3%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityKalshi + Caesars · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.0%
  • EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.4%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityKalshi + Caesars · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.4%
  • Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ AuxerreKalshi + FanDuel · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
  • BundesligaLeipzig @ FrankfurtKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.6%
  • Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ AuxerreKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.4%
  • UCLViking @ Bayern MunichKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.3%
  • MLSColorado @ San JoseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.8%
  • UCLInter @ Club BruggeBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg14.6%
  • UCLArsenal @ LilleBetRivers + DraftKings · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.5%
  • UCLGalatasaray @ BarcelonaBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.3%
  • UCLInter @ Club BruggeKalshi + BetRivers · stood 39 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.2%
  • MLSMiami @ DC UnitedFanDuel + Caesars · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
  • CS2megoshort vs FORZE ReloadPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far11.4%
  • CS2Chaos Enforcers vs NAVI JuniorPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min10.4%
  • Serie AInter @ Parma CalcioFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg9.9%
  • MLSMiami @ DC UnitedPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.2%
  • CS2Zetta Games vs MIBR fePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr7.7%
  • MLSMiami @ DC UnitedKalshi + Caesars · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.1%
  • Ligue 1PSG @ Le MansKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg6.5%
  • CS2Esport BERG vs WRAITH PCIFICPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr5.2%
  • CS2Azuolas vs LavkedPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far4.9%
  • MLSMiami @ DC UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.6%
  • MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverKalshi + Caesars · stood 39 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg3.3%
  • CS2Marsborne vs regainKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr3.2%
  • ValorantEDward Gaming vs Global EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days2.4%
  • CS2Nexus vs ex-RUSTECPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr1.7%
  • ValorantPcific Esports vs Fear Never EndsKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.2%
  • LoLDN SOOPers Challengers vs SolaryPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 38 hr1.2%
  • ValorantTYLOO vs Team LiquidPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days1.1%
  • CS2Team LEISURE vs BIG AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr1.1%
  • CS2Krytiepacani vs OmegaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 17 hr1.0%
  • CS2THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuestPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr1.0%
  • CS2Elite Klan vs Vitality AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 22 hr1.0%
  • NCAAFLouisville @ NC StatePolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far1.0%
  • Dota 2Xipto Esports vs Team KinetixKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.8%
  • CS2Nemiga vs FaZePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days0.7%
  • CS2GamerLegion vs magicPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.7%
  • CS2ILLYRIANS vs maybeKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.6%
  • CS2Phantom Academy vs Spirit AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr0.6%
  • LoLGolden Lions vs KaBuM! Ilha das LendasPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr0.6%
  • Dota 2MOUZ vs Team YandexPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 46 hr0.6%
  • CS2megoshort vs Esport Academy CopenhagenPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.5%
  • ValorantXLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForcePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days0.4%
  • NCAAFUCLA @ OregonKalshi + FanDuel · stood 4 days0.3%
  • NFLKansas City @ Las VegasCaesars + Kalshi · seen once so far0.3%
  • Dota 2Xtreme Gaming vs LGD GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 21 hr0.2%
  • Dota 2Natus Vincere vs 1winKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.2%
  • CS2Pandaric eSports vs Playing DucksPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
  • Dota 2OG vs BetBoom TeamPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 44 hr0.2%
  • CS2Phantom Academy vs ButterflyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr0.2%

The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.