Track record
Thursday, October 1
106 gaps written down that day, 40 on two-way markets and 66 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- La LigaMalaga @ EspanyolPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg39.1%
- La LigaMalaga @ EspanyolPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg37.2%
- Serie AGenoa @ FiorentinaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg36.1%
- Serie ATorino @ UdinesePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg35.4%
- Serie ALecce @ BolognaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.4%
- Serie ALecce @ BolognaPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg34.4%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ Paris FCPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
- UCLShakhtar @ AEK AthensPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.2%
- EPLAston Villa @ BrentfordPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.8%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ LevanteBetRivers + DraftKings · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.6%
- Serie AFrosinone @ SassuoloKalshi + BetRivers · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.4%
- UCLVillarreal @ NapoliPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
- Serie AFrosinone @ SassuoloFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.5%
- Serie ALazio @ MonzaFanDuel + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.3%
- Ligue 1Le Mans @ ToulouseDraftKings + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- EPLCoventry @ NewcastlePolymarket + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.8%
- UCLReal Betis @ PortoPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.8%
- UCLShakhtar @ AEK AthensPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- Ligue 1Nice @ Strasbourg AlsacePolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridDraftKings + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.3%
- Serie ASassuolo @ MilanPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
- UCLLens @ Sporting CPPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- UCLReal Betis @ PortoFanDuel + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- La LigaReal Sociedad @ Deportivo De La CorunaPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- Serie ALazio @ MonzaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.2%
- Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ AngersPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.5%
- Ligue 1Troyes @ MarseilleKalshi + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.5%
- Serie ACagliari @ JuventusPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- BundesligaMainz @ LeverkusenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- UCLAtletico @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.6%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
- UCLBodoe/Glimt @ DortmundBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
- Serie AAtalanta @ VeneziaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
- UCLAston Villa @ FenerbahceDraftKings + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- UCLManchester City @ PSGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- BundesligaFreiburg @ SchalkePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
- UCLManchester City @ PSGKalshi + BetMGM · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.5%
- UCLAston Villa @ FenerbahceKalshi + BetMGM · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
- UCLBodoe/Glimt @ DortmundKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
- MLSAustin @ NashvilleKalshi + BetMGM · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- MLSMinnesota @ HoustonPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.0%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FC KölnKalshi + FanDuel · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.9%
- MLSOrlando @ ColumbusKalshi + BetMGM · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ StuttgartPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg22.4%
- Serie ANapoli @ FrosinonePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.3%
- MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityKalshi + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.0%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FC KölnKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
- BundesligaLeipzig @ FrankfurtPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.3%
- MLSColorado @ San JosePolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg19.9%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ StuttgartKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.4%
- MLSOrlando @ ColumbusPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.5%
- MLSSeattle @ Kansas CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.7%
- BundesligaHoffenheim @ HamburgPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg16.9%
- LoLSouth Korea vs Chinese TaipeiKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr16.4%
- UCLInter @ Club BruggePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.1%
- MLSSaint Louis @ Los Angeles GPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.9%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ Salt LakeFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.7%
- UCLArsenal @ LilleKalshi + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.6%
- UCLLASK @ LiverpoolBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.5%
- UCLLASK @ LiverpoolPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.8%
- UCLInter @ Club BruggeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.4%
- MLSMiami @ DC UnitedKalshi + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg12.2%
- LoLThe Otter Side vs MAGAZAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 29 min5.1%
- LoLLOS vs Estral EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far4.6%
- CS2MIBR fe vs Turma do PagodePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr4.1%
- Dota 2Xipto Esports vs InterActive PhilippinesKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far3.6%
- WTADayana Yastremska vs Maja ChwalinskaFanDuel + DraftKings · seen once so far2.9%
- Dota 2Xtreme Gaming vs LGD GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 31 hr2.3%
- WTAXinyu Gao vs Panna UdvardyPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 29 min1.7%
- CS2fnatic vs B8Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr1.4%
- CS2M80 vs MOUZPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 44 hr1.3%
- LoLBarça eSports vs Senshi Esports ClubKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr1.3%
- Dota 2OG vs BetBoom TeamPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr1.2%
- LoLZeu5 Esports vs Maryville UniversityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days1.2%
- LoLUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Colossal GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr1.2%
- CS2Nuclear TigeRES vs Team NemesisPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.0%
- CS2BORRACHEIROS vs Yawara EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.0%
- WTAElena Rybakina vs Alina CharaevaPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far0.9%
- CS2Astralis vs FaZePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr0.9%
- WTAAshlyn Krueger vs Ann LiPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 60 min0.9%
- WTAMaria Timofeeva vs Naomi OsakaPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far0.9%
- Dota 2Team Nemesis vs 1winPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 31 hr0.8%
- NCAAFLouisiana-Monroe @ South AlabamaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 24 hr0.8%
- NFLCincinnati @ MiamiPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far0.7%
- WTAKaterina Siniakova vs Elina SvitolinaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 hr0.7%
- NCAAFGeorgia @ AlabamaPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min0.5%
- WTAMaria Sakkari vs Storm HunterPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr0.5%
- WTAKatie Volynets vs Elise MertensPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.5%
- CS2Gremio Esports vs GalorysPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 21 hr0.4%
- NCAAFMiddle Tennessee @ KansasKalshi + BetRivers · stood 44 hr0.4%
- NCAAFMarshall @ James MadisonKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.4%
- LoLMAGAZA vs ValerionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr0.4%
- LoLUCAM Esports Club vs JSK EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr0.4%
- NCAAFUtah St. @ Boise St.Kalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.3%
- NCAAFMemphis @ CharlotteKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min0.3%
- CS2BIG vs LuminosityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr0.3%
- NCAAFWestern Michigan @ BuffaloKalshi + BetRivers · stood 18 hr0.2%
- LoLThe Secret Club Esport vs Team PhantasmaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr0.2%
- Dota 2Team Liquid vs GamerLegionKalshi + Polymarket · stood 18 hr0.2%
- ValorantTeam Liquid vs G2 EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
- Dota 2Aurora vs PARIVISIONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 36 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.