Track record
Monday, October 5
85 gaps written down that day, 26 on two-way markets and 59 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- Ligue 1Lorient @ Paris FCKalshi + DraftKings · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.7%
- Serie AParma Calcio @ TorinoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.6%
- Serie AMonza @ CagliariKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.8%
- La LigaElche @ Celta VigoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.6%
- EPLHull City @ EvertonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.9%
- La LigaSantander @ ValenciaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.5%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ Stade RennaisPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.4%
- UCLReal Betis @ PortoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.6%
- La LigaMalaga @ Real SociedadPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.5%
- EPLLeeds United @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.4%
- La LigaOsasuna @ SantanderKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ AlavesKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- EPLAston Villa @ BrentfordKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
- EPLNottingham Forest @ ArsenalKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.7%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ Stade RennaisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- Ligue 1Le Havre @ AuxerreKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ AngersKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- Serie AMilan @ AtalantaPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
- UCLReal Betis @ PortoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
- La LigaReal Sociedad @ Deportivo De La CorunaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.2%
- La LigaAlaves @ AtleticoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
- EPLBournemouth @ SunderlandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- BundesligaHamburg @ StuttgartPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 39 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- Serie ALazio @ MonzaKalshi + Fanatics · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- Ligue 1Angers @ MarseilleKalshi + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 36 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- Serie AJuventus @ LazioKalshi + Fanatics · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- MLSCharlotte @ DallasPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- BundesligaBremen @ PaderbornPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ HoffenheimPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- Serie ABologna @ InterPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
- BundesligaBremen @ PaderbornPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
- Serie ALazio @ MonzaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.9%
- Ligue 1Lyon @ NiceKalshi + Fanatics · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
- Serie ABologna @ InterKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- Ligue 1Lyon @ NicePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- UCLBodoe/Glimt @ DortmundPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- MLSOrlando @ ColumbusKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- Serie AVenezia @ NapoliPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ HoffenheimPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.9%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ HoffenheimKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
- La LigaVillarreal @ ElchePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.7%
- La LigaVillarreal @ ElchePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- MLSSaint Louis @ VancouverKalshi + BetMGM · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.6%
- MLSMiami @ New York CityFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.1%
- BundesligaDortmund @ BremenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.0%
- Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ PSGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.9%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaFanatics + DraftKings · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.3%
- EPLManchester City @ Ipswich TownKalshi + BetRivers · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.1%
- LoLBushido Wildcats vs TLN PiratesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr11.4%
- CS21WIN vs SpiritPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr11.2%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg11.0%
- LoLValerion vs SolaryPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr10.0%
- Serie AInter @ Parma CalcioKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg6.2%
- LoLKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z GlobantPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min6.2%
- LoLJD Gaming vs Shopify RebellionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr3.7%
- Ligue 1PSG @ Le MansPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.5%
- LoLFrites Esports Club vs Movistar KOI FénixPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr3.2%
- CS2M80 vs LegacyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr3.2%
- ValorantG2 Esports vs 100 ThievesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days2.4%
- LoLNatus Vincere vs OKSavingsBank BRIONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr2.1%
- ATPHubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr2.0%
- CS2MOUZ NXT vs GothicPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr1.6%
- ValorantLOUD vs Paper RexPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr1.3%
- CS2PARIVISION vs G2Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr1.3%
- CS2Natus Vincere vs Team FalconsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr1.2%
- CS2ex-Zero Tenacity vs Leo TeamKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min1.0%
- CS2STATE vs HOTUPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 43 hr1.0%
- ATPLuca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete BuKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far1.0%
- ATPLuca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete BuKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far1.0%
- WTALinda Noskova vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr0.7%
- LoLRED Canids vs Team VitalityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr0.5%
- LoLFlyQuest vs GAM EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 31 hr0.4%
- CS2Playing Ducks vs Team LEISUREKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.4%
- CS2Lavked vs Esport Academy CopenhagenPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.3%
- CS2Aurora Gaming vs FURIAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr0.2%
- LoLTeam Vitality vs GAM EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
- Dota 2InterActive Philippines vs Yangon GalacticosKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.1%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.