The log

Track record

Wednesday, October 7

101 gaps written down that day, 32 on two-way markets and 69 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.

  • La LigaVallecano @ BilbaoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.7%
  • La LigaVallecano @ BilbaoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.6%
  • EPLCrystal Palace @ Nottingham ForestKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.6%
  • Ligue 1Lorient @ Paris FCKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.6%
  • MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.6%
  • EPLCoventry @ NewcastlePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.5%
  • MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverKalshi + Fanatics · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.7%
  • UCLVillarreal @ NapoliPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.6%
  • EPLCoventry @ NewcastleKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.3%
  • EPLCoventry @ NewcastleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
  • Serie AComo @ RomaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • La LigaAlaves @ AtleticoPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.5%
  • Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ AngersPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
  • BundesligaMainz @ LeverkusenPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
  • MLSDallas @ SeattleFanatics + BetRivers · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.3%
  • MLSColorado @ MinnesotaFanatics + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.3%
  • EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityKalshi + Fanatics · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
  • MLSColumbus @ CharlotteFanatics + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • UCLVillarreal @ NapoliKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • MLSOrlando @ ColumbusPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
  • EPLBrentford @ LiverpoolKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
  • MLSColorado @ MinnesotaBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
  • MLSToronto @ OrlandoBetRivers + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
  • MLSAtlanta @ CincinnatiKalshi + BetRivers · stood 39 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ PhiladelphiaBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • UCLReal Betis @ PortoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
  • UCLAtletico @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
  • BundesligaElversberg @ AugsburgPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
  • UCLRoma @ Real MadridBetRivers + Kalshi · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
  • MLSSalt Lake @ San JoseFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 46 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
  • BundesligaHamburg @ StuttgartPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
  • MLSOrlando @ ColumbusKalshi + Fanatics · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
  • EPLManchester United @ TottenhamPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
  • Serie AVenezia @ NapoliPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
  • BundesligaUnion Berlin @ DortmundBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
  • BundesligaFreiburg @ SchalkeKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.6%
  • BundesligaFreiburg @ SchalkePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
  • MLSDC United @ New York RBFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
  • La LigaReal Sociedad @ Deportivo De La CorunaKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
  • Serie AAtalanta @ VeneziaPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.2%
  • BundesligaHamburg @ StuttgartPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
  • Serie AVenezia @ NapoliKalshi + Fanatics · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.9%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ PortlandBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
  • BundesligaFrankfurt @ FC KölnPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
  • BundesligaFrankfurt @ FC KölnKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
  • BundesligaFrankfurt @ FC KölnKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
  • MLSLos Angeles F @ AustinFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
  • Serie AAtalanta @ VeneziaKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
  • MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandFanatics + FanDuel · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.4%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ Los Angeles GPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.3%
  • BundesligaLeipzig @ FrankfurtKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.5%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ VancouverKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.6%
  • MLSMiami @ New York CityBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.4%
  • La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaBetRivers + DraftKings · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.1%
  • MLSNashville @ Kansas CityKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.1%
  • La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg15.0%
  • UCLSlovan Bratislava @ StuttgartKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.5%
  • BundesligaBayern Munich @ LeipzigBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.6%
  • La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.0%
  • Serie AInter @ Parma CalcioKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.9%
  • BundesligaAugsburg @ Bayern MunichKalshi + Polymarket · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg8.4%
  • UCLViking @ Bayern MunichPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.3%
  • CS2Natus Vincere vs PARIVISIONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr6.9%
  • LoLThe Ruddy Sack vs Anubis GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr5.7%
  • Ligue 1PSG @ Le MansKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg5.5%
  • NFLBaltimore @ ClevelandFanDuel + Caesars · stood 10 hr5.1%
  • CS2Iowa Stormboar vs Wanted GoonsKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far5.0%
  • CS2Overtake vs Reign AboveKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far4.6%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ GetafePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.3%
  • CS2PRIVATE vs Apogee EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr3.5%
  • CS2Kaleido vs Not A Squad EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 29 min3.2%
  • UCLRoma @ Slovan BratislavaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg2.7%
  • CS2Procyon Gaming vs Bounty Hunters EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr2.6%
  • LoLRED Canids vs FlyQuestPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr2.6%
  • CS2Sashi Esport vs AcendPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr2.3%
  • ValorantPaper Rex vs T1Kalshi + Polymarket · stood 33 hr2.3%
  • CS2Legion vs Alter EgoPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.4%
  • UCLRoma @ Slovan BratislavaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg1.3%
  • CS2ALKA vs BESTIA AcademyKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.3%
  • NFLBaltimore @ ClevelandFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 10 hr1.2%
  • CS2Esport BERG vs mellrenPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr1.1%
  • CS2MOUZ NXT vs RoundsGGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr0.9%
  • NCAAFNotre Dame @ BYUFanDuel + DraftKings · seen once so far0.9%
  • CS2largadosypelados vs METANOIA WOLVESKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr0.8%
  • NCAAFSouth Florida @ UTSAPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.8%
  • CS2Passion Academy vs XI EsportPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.7%
  • CS2Fortress vs LavkedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.7%
  • CS2ex-Keyd Stats vs QUINTESSENCIAKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr0.6%
  • CS2Lavked vs NemigaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 19 hr0.6%
  • CS2MEIA NOITE vs IsurusPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.6%
  • CS2mellren vs Esport BERGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr0.5%
  • CS2Royal Foxes Esports vs Vitality AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.3%
  • CS2PARIVISION vs VitalityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 35 hr0.3%
  • CS2Bread Eaters Esports vs Copenhagen WolvesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.3%
  • CS2Aurora Gaming vs 1WINKalshi + Polymarket · stood 28 hr0.3%
  • CS2THE UNIT vs EAC ExtraPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.2%
  • CS2Color vs Nuclear TigeRESKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.2%
  • LoLJD Gaming vs Natus VincereKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr0.1%

The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.