Track record
Friday, October 9
112 gaps written down that day, 21 on two-way markets and 91 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- La LigaMalaga @ EspanyolBetRivers + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg39.2%
- La LigaElche @ Celta VigoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.6%
- UCLShakhtar @ AEK AthensKalshi + Caesars · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.1%
- EPLAston Villa @ BrentfordPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ LevantePolymarket + DraftKings · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.1%
- La LigaOsasuna @ SantanderKalshi + BetRivers · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.2%
- Ligue 1Le Mans @ ToulouseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
- La LigaOsasuna @ SantanderPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
- Ligue 1Le Mans @ ToulousePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
- La LigaAlaves @ AtleticoPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
- Serie AFrosinone @ SassuoloKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.7%
- EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
- UCLLens @ Sporting CPBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- UCLLens @ Sporting CPPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
- La LigaAlaves @ AtleticoKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.9%
- La LigaEspanyol @ AtleticoKalshi + DraftKings · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.9%
- EPLBournemouth @ SunderlandKalshi + BetRivers · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.7%
- La LigaMalaga @ Real SociedadKalshi + DraftKings · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- MLSOrlando @ ColumbusFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
- Serie AMilan @ AtalantaFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- UCLAtletico @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ MonacoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- Serie AMilan @ AtalantaPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- Ligue 1Nice @ Strasbourg AlsaceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverKalshi + Polymarket · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
- EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.6%
- MLSNew England @ SeattlePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 31 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
- Serie AMilan @ AtalantaKalshi + Fanatics · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
- La LigaReal Sociedad @ Deportivo De La CorunaPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- MLSColorado @ San JoseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- MLSToronto @ MontrealKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- BundesligaFC Köln @ M´gladbachKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- EPLLeeds United @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- EPLLeeds United @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- BundesligaMainz @ LeverkusenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- Serie AMilan @ AtalantaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- MLSCharlotte @ DallasKalshi + Polymarket · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- Serie ALazio @ MonzaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.1%
- UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenBetRivers + Caesars · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
- MLSOrlando @ ColumbusKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
- UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenPolymarket + Caesars · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
- UCLFeyenoord @ ComoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
- Serie AVenezia @ NapoliFanatics + FanDuel · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- EPLNewcastle @ Aston VillaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- UCLFeyenoord @ ComoPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- EPLNewcastle @ Aston VillaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- MLSOrlando @ ColumbusKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- EPLNottingham Forest @ ArsenalKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- EPLNottingham Forest @ ArsenalPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FC KölnBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- Ligue 1Angers @ MarseillePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- BundesligaHamburg @ StuttgartPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- BundesligaHamburg @ StuttgartKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
- MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonKalshi + BetRivers · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.2%
- MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandBetMGM + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- EPLBrighton @ Crystal PalacePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
- Ligue 1Monaco @ ToulouseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ DortmundKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- EPLManchester United @ TottenhamKalshi + FanDuel · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
- MLSChicago Fire @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.6%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Stade Brest 29Kalshi + DraftKings · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.2%
- MLSSaint Louis @ VancouverKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
- EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.4%
- Serie ANapoli @ FrosinoneKalshi + Polymarket · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.2%
- MLSSalt Lake @ San JoseKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.0%
- MLSDallas @ SeattleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.3%
- MLSDC United @ New York RBKalshi + BetRivers · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.2%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ Salt LakeKalshi + BetMGM · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ Salt LakeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandKalshi + BetMGM · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.7%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ PortlandKalshi + BetRivers · stood 41 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.3%
- EPLTottenham @ CoventryKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.2%
- Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ AuxerreKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg18.9%
- MLSMontreal @ AtlantaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.4%
- MLSMiami @ DC UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 32 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.0%
- Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ PSGKalshi + BetRivers · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.6%
- La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.1%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ VillarrealKalshi + Polymarket · stood 31 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.0%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ AustinKalshi + BetMGM · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.9%
- La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.0%
- EPLManchester City @ Ipswich TownKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.5%
- MLSMiami @ New York CityKalshi + BetMGM · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.8%
- CS2Aurora Gaming vs 1WINPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr7.3%
- La LigaBarcelona @ GetafePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg6.2%
- CS2Vitality vs Aurora GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 21 hr5.9%
- LoLFlyQuest vs Team WEPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days4.7%
- CS2FaZe vs PUREKalshi + Polymarket · stood 89 min4.5%
- La LigaBarcelona @ GetafeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg4.2%
- LoLDisguised vs FuegoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min3.8%
- CS2NAVI Junior vs FaZePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr1.9%
- CS2G2 Ares vs NAVI JuniorKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.9%
- CS2fnatic vs HOTUPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr1.3%
- CS2PRIVATE vs Nuclear TigeRESPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr1.3%
- UCLPSG @ BarcelonaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg1.0%
- Dota 2Aurora vs PARIVISIONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr0.6%
- ATPCamilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-AliassimeKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.5%
- NCAAFSyracuse @ VirginiaKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.4%
- CS2Wanted Goons vs FarmVillePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.3%
- CS2antidaun vs SAW YoungstersPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr0.3%
- Dota 2Aurora vs LGD GamingKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.3%
- CS2SAW Youngsters vs WBT AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.3%
- CS2PRIVATE vs GamerLegionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr0.2%
- CS2Iberian Soul vs NemigaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr0.2%
- CS2UNiTY esports vs LPH GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr0.2%
- ValorantLOUD vs NRGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 hr0.2%
- CS2UNiTY esports vs Vitality AcademyKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.