The log

Track record

Saturday, October 10

133 gaps written down that day, 26 on two-way markets and 107 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.

  • Serie AParma Calcio @ TorinoKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg40.3%
  • MLSAustin @ NashvilleFanatics + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg37.9%
  • La LigaGetafe @ VallecanoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.6%
  • Ligue 1Lorient @ MonacoPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.0%
  • Serie ATorino @ UdineseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg36.8%
  • EPLCoventry @ NewcastleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.3%
  • La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ LevantePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
  • Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ AngersKalshi + DraftKings · stood 89 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • MLSColumbus @ CharlotteKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • EPLSunderland @ Leeds UnitedFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.3%
  • UCLAtletico @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + Caesars · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.3%
  • EPLEverton @ ChelseaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
  • MLSMontreal @ AtlantaKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
  • EPLIpswich Town @ Nottingham ForestFanatics + FanDuel · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
  • La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ LevanteKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • Ligue 1Lorient @ MonacoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • EPLBrentford @ LiverpoolPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • EPLEverton @ ChelseaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
  • MLSMontreal @ AtlantaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
  • UCLLens @ Sporting CPKalshi + BetRivers · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
  • Ligue 1Lille @ Stade Brest 29Polymarket + FanDuel · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.0%
  • MLSSalt Lake @ San JosePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.0%
  • Serie ACagliari @ JuventusKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
  • MLSDallas @ SeattleKalshi + Fanatics · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
  • MLSColorado @ MinnesotaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
  • EPLCoventry @ FulhamFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • MLSToronto @ OrlandoKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • MLSAustin @ NashvilleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
  • MLSNew York RB @ San Diego FCKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
  • UCLAtletico @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
  • EPLChelsea @ BournemouthKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
  • MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
  • MLSColorado @ MinnesotaPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
  • MLSToronto @ OrlandoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
  • MLSNew England @ SeattleKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
  • EPLEverton @ ChelseaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
  • EPLCrystal Palace @ NewcastleFanatics + FanDuel · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.2%
  • UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenKalshi + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
  • MLSNew York City @ Los Angeles FPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
  • MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
  • EPLCoventry @ FulhamKalshi + Fanatics · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
  • EPLLiverpool @ BrightonFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
  • MLSDC United @ New York RBPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
  • MLSDC United @ New York RBKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
  • EPLBrighton @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
  • EPLBrighton @ Crystal PalaceFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
  • UCLManchester City @ PSGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.9%
  • EPLManchester United @ TottenhamFanDuel + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
  • EPLIpswich Town @ Nottingham ForestKalshi + Fanatics · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.6%
  • MLSDallas @ SeattleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
  • BundesligaUnion Berlin @ DortmundPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
  • EPLAston Villa @ Manchester CityFanatics + FanDuel · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
  • EPLLiverpool @ BrightonKalshi + FanDuel · stood 31 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
  • EPLHull City @ BrentfordFanatics + FanDuel · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ PhiladelphiaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
  • EPLChelsea @ TottenhamFanDuel + Fanatics · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.4%
  • Serie ABologna @ InterPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.2%
  • EPLTottenham @ CoventryKalshi + BetRivers · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
  • EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedBetRivers + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
  • Ligue 1Lyon @ NiceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
  • EPLChelsea @ TottenhamKalshi + FanDuel · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.8%
  • La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.2%
  • MLSMiami @ New York CityPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.1%
  • EPLManchester United @ BournemouthFanDuel + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.9%
  • EPLBrighton @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ VancouverKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.5%
  • EPLAston Villa @ Manchester CityKalshi + FanDuel · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.9%
  • Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ AuxerreKalshi + Polymarket · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ Los Angeles GKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.5%
  • MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.9%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ PortlandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.6%
  • MLSKansas City @ Salt LakeKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.2%
  • MLSLos Angeles F @ AustinKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
  • MLSOrlando @ DC UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.4%
  • MLSPhiladelphia @ Salt LakeKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg17.3%
  • EPLArsenal @ EvertonFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.7%
  • MLSAustin @ VancouverKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.1%
  • EPLManchester United @ BournemouthKalshi + FanDuel · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.9%
  • UCLInter @ Club BruggePolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg14.4%
  • MLSLos Angeles F @ AustinPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg14.2%
  • UCLLASK @ LiverpoolPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.8%
  • MLSAtlanta @ MiamiKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.6%
  • La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.5%
  • UCLLASK @ LiverpoolKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.3%
  • BundesligaBayern Munich @ LeipzigPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.2%
  • EPLManchester City @ Ipswich TownKalshi + DraftKings · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg11.8%
  • BundesligaBayern Munich @ LeipzigKalshi + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg11.7%
  • MLSHouston @ DallasKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg11.5%
  • EPLManchester City @ Ipswich TownKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg11.2%
  • La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg11.2%
  • MLSMiami @ New York CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg10.7%
  • MLSAustin @ VancouverPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg10.7%
  • MLSNew England @ Chicago FireKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg10.3%
  • MLSMinnesota @ Saint LouisKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg10.3%
  • La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg10.2%
  • MLSNew York RB @ TorontoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg9.4%
  • MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlotteKalshi + BetRivers · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg9.3%
  • MLSNew York City @ Los Angeles FPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.9%
  • EPLIpswich Town @ Nottingham ForestKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg8.8%
  • MLSKansas City @ Salt LakePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg7.5%
  • UCLViking @ Bayern MunichKalshi + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg7.4%
  • MLSHouston @ DallasPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.0%
  • EPLArsenal @ EvertonKalshi + FanDuel · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg6.9%
  • LoLWest Point Esports PH vs PART TIMERSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min4.6%
  • Ligue 1PSG @ Le MansKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg4.1%
  • CS2MOUZ vs VitalityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr3.3%
  • LoLDisguised vs Cupid EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr2.4%
  • Dota 2PARIVISION vs Team SpiritKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr1.7%
  • UCLBayern Munich @ ArsenalKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg1.6%
  • Dota 2FunFun vs Royal BearPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.6%
  • Dota 2Team Spirit vs Team YandexPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr1.2%
  • CS2BBL vs LiquidPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days1.1%
  • Dota 2InterActive Philippines vs KukuysV3Kalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.0%
  • WTAXiyu Wang vs Xinyu WangPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far0.9%
  • ATPJuan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos AlcarazKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far0.9%
  • NCAAFFlorida St. @ Miami (FL)Kalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far0.7%
  • CS2Sangal vs Inner Circle EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 33 hr0.7%
  • NCAAFSyracuse @ VirginiaCaesars + BetRivers · seen once so far0.7%
  • WTAMaria Sakkari vs Donna VekicPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.4%
  • CS2MEIA NOITE vs GalorysPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.3%
  • ATPYunchaokete Bu vs Casper RuudPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.3%
  • NCAAFAir Force @ Northern IllinoisKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.3%
  • ValorantG2 Esports vs T1Kalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr0.3%
  • NCAAFNotre Dame @ BYUKalshi + BetRivers · stood 10 hr0.2%
  • NCAAFNotre Dame @ BYUKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far0.2%
  • WTAClara Tauson vs Marie BouzkovaPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.2%
  • LoLNothin'Here vs essencesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.2%
  • CS2BGNS Orange vs KZGPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
  • CS2Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypeladosPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
  • WTAClara Tauson vs Marie BouzkovaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min0.2%
  • CS2BORRACHEIROS vs Procyon GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.2%

The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.