The log

Track record

Monday, October 12

161 gaps written down that day, 26 on two-way markets and 135 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.

  • Serie AParma Calcio @ TorinoPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg41.8%
  • La LigaGetafe @ VallecanoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg41.6%
  • La LigaLevante @ SevillaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg39.3%
  • Serie ACagliari @ BolognaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.6%
  • La LigaLevante UD @ Athletic ClubPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.3%
  • Serie ACagliari @ BolognaKalshi + Fanatics · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.2%
  • UCLShakhtar @ AEK AthensKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.0%
  • La LigaCelta Vigo @ Real BetisFanatics + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.0%
  • Serie ATorino @ MonzaPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.6%
  • Serie AGenoa @ VeneziaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.9%
  • EPLSunderland @ Leeds UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.7%
  • Ligue 1Monaco @ LillePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.7%
  • EPLCoventry @ FulhamPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.4%
  • EPLSunderland @ Leeds UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.4%
  • La LigaValencia @ BilbaoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.2%
  • Serie ATorino @ MonzaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.0%
  • La LigaOsasuna @ SantanderPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.7%
  • EPLNewcastle @ Aston VillaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.4%
  • UCLSabah Masazir @ Slavia PragueKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.2%
  • Serie ATorino @ MonzaKalshi + Fanatics · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.2%
  • La LigaSevilla @ OsasunaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
  • La LigaOsasuna @ SantanderKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
  • La LigaAlaves @ MalagaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
  • Ligue 1Monaco @ LilleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
  • EPLLeeds United @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • Ligue 1Angers @ LorientPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • Ligue 1Angers @ LorientKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • Serie ATorino @ MonzaKalshi + Fanatics · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
  • EPLLeeds United @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + BetMGM · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.7%
  • EPLCrystal Palace @ NewcastlePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
  • UCLSabah Masazir @ Slavia PragueKalshi + Caesars · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
  • EPLIpswich Town @ Nottingham ForestKalshi + BetRivers · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
  • La LigaSantander @ EspanyolKalshi + BetRivers · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
  • La LigaValencia @ VillarrealFanatics + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
  • La LigaCelta Vigo @ Real BetisKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
  • EPLCrystal Palace @ NewcastleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
  • Serie AFiorentina @ ComoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
  • UCLVillarreal @ NapoliKalshi + Polymarket · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • Ligue 1Lille @ Stade Brest 29Polymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • EPLCrystal Palace @ NewcastlePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • EPLCrystal Palace @ NewcastleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • Ligue 1Angers @ MarseilleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • La LigaValencia @ VillarrealKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
  • MLSNew York City @ Los Angeles FBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.6%
  • MLSHouston @ DallasFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.0%
  • Ligue 1Auxerre @ Le MansKalshi + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
  • EPLLiverpool @ BrightonPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • BundesligaPaderborn @ HamburgPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • EPLHull City @ BrentfordKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • EPLChelsea @ TottenhamPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ VancouverKalshi + Fanatics · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • Serie ANapoli @ RomaKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • Serie ANapoli @ RomaKalshi + Fanatics · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
  • Ligue 1Auxerre @ Le MansKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
  • Ligue 1Auxerre @ Le MansPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
  • La LigaSantander @ EspanyolKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
  • La LigaBilbao @ GetafePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.2%
  • BundesligaM´gladbach @ HoffenheimPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.1%
  • BundesligaPaderborn @ HamburgKalshi + Fanatics · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.5%
  • UCLRoma @ Real MadridPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
  • La LigaBilbao @ GetafeFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ VancouverPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 38 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
  • UCLManchester City @ PSGKalshi + Caesars · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
  • UCLFeyenoord @ ComoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
  • EPLFulham @ Hull CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.6%
  • EPLManchester United @ BournemouthPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
  • Serie AUdinese @ MilanPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
  • MLSKansas City @ Salt LakeFanatics + BetRivers · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
  • Serie AVenezia @ NapoliKalshi + BetMGM · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.2%
  • EPLChelsea @ TottenhamKalshi + BetRivers · stood 29 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
  • EPLLiverpool @ BrightonKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
  • UCLFeyenoord @ ComoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.9%
  • BundesligaAugsburg @ Union BerlinPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.9%
  • BundesligaLeverkusen @ FreiburgKalshi + BetMGM · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
  • La LigaBilbao @ GetafePolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
  • MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlotteBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
  • EPLHull City @ BrentfordPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
  • MLSKansas City @ Salt LakeFanatics + FanDuel · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
  • BundesligaBremen @ PaderbornKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
  • EPLChelsea @ TottenhamPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ San Diego FCFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
  • La LigaBilbao @ GetafeKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.9%
  • La LigaVallecano @ ElcheKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
  • EPLManchester United @ BournemouthPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.7%
  • UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.7%
  • Serie ALazio @ Parma CalcioPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.5%
  • La LigaBilbao @ GetafeKalshi + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
  • Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ Strasbourg AlsacePolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
  • BundesligaHoffenheim @ LeverkusenPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
  • EPLHull City @ BrentfordKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
  • La LigaBilbao @ GetafeKalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
  • Ligue 1Marseille @ Le HavrePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
  • EPLManchester United @ BournemouthKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
  • EPLBrighton @ Crystal PalacePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 25 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
  • BundesligaHoffenheim @ LeverkusenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.2%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ San Diego FCKalshi + FanDuel · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.0%
  • La LigaReal Sociedad @ LevanteKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.0%
  • UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.6%
  • BundesligaBremen @ PaderbornPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
  • MLSNew York RB @ TorontoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.4%
  • BundesligaMainz @ BremenKalshi + BetMGM · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.4%
  • Ligue 1Toulouse @ TroyesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.3%
  • EPLBrighton @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + Fanatics · stood 44 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.2%
  • EPLAston Villa @ Manchester CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
  • Ligue 1Toulouse @ TroyesKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
  • MLSAtlanta @ MiamiFanatics + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.6%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridBetRivers + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg21.6%
  • EPLBrighton @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.5%
  • MLSPhiladelphia @ CharlotteKalshi + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg21.3%
  • Serie ALecce @ JuventusKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.0%
  • Serie ALecce @ JuventusPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
  • Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ Strasbourg AlsacePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridFanatics + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.0%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.6%
  • Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ Strasbourg AlsaceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.0%
  • MLSOrlando @ DC UnitedKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg18.9%
  • WTAAnn Li vs Qinwen ZhengPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min18.1%
  • BundesligaStuttgart @ M´gladbachKalshi + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
  • Serie AComo @ SassuoloPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.0%
  • MLSOrlando @ DC UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.5%
  • Serie AInter @ FiorentinaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.2%
  • Ligue 1PSG @ LyonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.0%
  • UCLInter @ Club BruggeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 32 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.7%
  • UCLInter @ Club BruggeKalshi + Caesars · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg14.4%
  • UCLArsenal @ LilleKalshi + Caesars · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
  • BundesligaLeipzig @ ElversbergKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.0%
  • BundesligaFreiburg @ Bayern MunichFanatics + BetMGM · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.4%
  • La LigaAtletico @ Deportivo De La CorunaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.0%
  • UCLArsenal @ LilleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.6%
  • UCLGalatasaray @ BarcelonaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.5%
  • La LigaAtletico @ Deportivo De La CorunaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg11.5%
  • La LigaAtletico @ Deportivo De La CorunaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg11.2%
  • CS2XI Esport vs Nuclear TigeRESPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr10.0%
  • BundesligaBayern Munich @ LeipzigKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg9.9%
  • LoLAZ Rising Eterna vs G2 HELPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min9.8%
  • MLSCincinnati @ DC UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg6.9%
  • Dota 2Shadow Dance vs CyberHeroPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr6.6%
  • CS2Chinggis Warriors vs Alter EgoKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far5.7%
  • UCLViking @ Bayern MunichPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg4.2%
  • CS2Just Swing vs Lynn VisionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr3.6%
  • CS2Envy vs HeroicPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days3.4%
  • Dota 2Imperial Power vs Team ResiliencePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far2.7%
  • CS2largadosypelados vs ex-Keyd StatsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr1.9%
  • CS2ex-RUSTEC vs Nordic Partners GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr1.8%
  • Dota 2Dawn Bulls vs Mena WarriorsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.8%
  • CS2Spirit Academy vs BakS eSportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr1.7%
  • UCLSabah Masazir @ DortmundKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg1.5%
  • LoLBNK FEARX vs KT RolsterPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 38 hr1.4%
  • Dota 2Nemiga Gaming vs HULIGANIPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min1.2%
  • Dota 2Kalmychata vs Dawn BullsKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.0%
  • ATPDaniil Medvedev vs Stefanos TsitsipasBetMGM + BetRivers · seen once so far1.0%
  • CS2Sashi Esport vs AstralisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 41 hr0.9%
  • ATPDaniil Medvedev vs Stefanos TsitsipasPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 31 min0.8%
  • ATPBotic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael JodarPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.7%
  • NCAAFColorado St. @ Texas St.Kalshi + BetRivers · stood 30 hr0.6%
  • NCAAFUMass @ BuffaloBetMGM + FanDuel · seen once so far0.5%
  • Dota 2Zero Tenacity vs Team LynxPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr0.4%
  • LoLLGD Gaming vs OKSavingsBank BRIONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.4%
  • CS2ILLYRIANS vs SAW YoungstersKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.4%
  • CS2Bounty Hunters Esports vs GalorysPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr0.2%
  • Dota 2Dawn Bulls vs Mena WarriorsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr0.2%

The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.