Track record
Friday, October 16
75 gaps written down that day, 30 on two-way markets and 45 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- Serie AParma Calcio @ TorinoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg43.3%
- La LigaGetafe @ VallecanoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg41.6%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ AlavesKalshi + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg36.9%
- Ligue 1Le Havre @ AuxerrePolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.7%
- La LigaValencia @ BilbaoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 29 min · a draw pays out on neither leg35.7%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ LevanteBetRivers + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg35.7%
- Serie AGenoa @ VeneziaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.6%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ AlavesKalshi + Fanatics · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.0%
- Ligue 1Le Mans @ ToulouseKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg34.2%
- Serie AUdinese @ LecceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.0%
- Ligue 1Le Havre @ AuxerreKalshi + Polymarket · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.5%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ MonacoKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.1%
- EPLLeeds United @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.0%
- La LigaMalaga @ Real SociedadKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.9%
- EPLBrentford @ LiverpoolPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
- MLSHouston @ DallasKalshi + Polymarket · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
- Ligue 1Angers @ MarseilleKalshi + BetMGM · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
- La LigaEspanyol @ AtleticoPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- EPLCoventry @ FulhamKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- EPLChelsea @ TottenhamFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
- La LigaEspanyol @ AtleticoBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
- MLSMinnesota @ Saint LouisPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- MLSNew York RB @ TorontoKalshi + Fanatics · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- MLSNew York RB @ TorontoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- BundesligaBremen @ PaderbornKalshi + Polymarket · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- MLSOrlando @ DC UnitedPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ HoffenheimKalshi + Polymarket · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- UCLPorto @ EindhovenKalshi + Caesars · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
- BundesligaLeverkusen @ FreiburgKalshi + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
- Ligue 1Lyon @ NiceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- Ligue 1Toulouse @ TroyesKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
- UCLNapoli @ Bodoe/GlimtKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.4%
- EPLBrighton @ Crystal PalacePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.4%
- UCLPSG @ BarcelonaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
- MLSCincinnati @ DC UnitedKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.5%
- Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ Strasbourg AlsaceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.5%
- La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.1%
- La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridBetRivers + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.7%
- UCLSporting CP @ LASKCaesars + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg15.1%
- BundesligaStuttgart @ M´gladbachKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.9%
- La LigaAtletico @ Deportivo De La CorunaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.0%
- UCLSporting CP @ LASKKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.0%
- LoLKarmine Corp vs MVK EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr10.8%
- LoLCloud9 vs FURIA EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr7.1%
- CS2BetBoom Team vs Team FalconsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr5.9%
- LoLCloud9 vs FURIA EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 16 hr5.8%
- CS2Team Nemesis vs Apogee EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr5.7%
- UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensCaesars + Kalshi · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg5.3%
- LoLFURIA Esports vs MVK EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 15 hr3.4%
- CS2Phantom vs ENCEKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr3.4%
- CS2Young TigeRES vs QUAZARPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far3.4%
- MLSDallas @ San JoseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.2%
- CS2UNiTY esports vs ex-Zero TenacityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr2.4%
- Valorant100 Thieves vs Team VitalityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr2.3%
- Dota 2Team Resilience vs Team TideboundPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far2.1%
- CS2FlyQuest vs RoosterKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr1.8%
- CS2HAVU vs WBT AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr1.6%
- CS2GamerLegion vs EYEBALLERSKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr1.5%
- Dota 2The Warriors vs Yellow SubmarinePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.3%
- CS2ex-RUSTEC vs Bushido WildcatsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr1.3%
- NHLCarolina @ WinnipegKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far1.2%
- CS2Los Ninos vs Procyon GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr1.2%
- CS2realgotis22 vs RED Canids AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr1.1%
- Dota 2LEGION vs OGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr1.1%
- Dota 2Spirit Academy vs Nemiga GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.5%
- CS2Saint Sinners vs ex-RUSTECPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr0.5%
- NFLNew York G @ HoustonKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 days0.4%
- CS2100 Thieves vs MIBRKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr0.4%
- CS2Aurora Gaming vs FURIAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr0.4%
- CS2Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal FirePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr0.3%
- CS2Heroic vs NIPKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr0.2%
- CS2Nuclear TigeRES vs Team NemesisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.2%
- Dota 2Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult's BrothersKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr0.2%
- Valorant100 Thieves vs Team VitalityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.