Track record
Monday, October 19
97 gaps written down that day, 10 on two-way markets and 87 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- La LigaGetafe @ SevillaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg39.6%
- La LigaGetafe @ SevillaPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg39.6%
- La LigaLevante UD @ Athletic ClubPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg39.2%
- Serie AMonza @ CagliariPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg37.1%
- EPLIpswich Town @ Nottingham ForestKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- La LigaElche @ ValenciaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
- Serie ATorino @ ComoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
- La LigaElche @ ValenciaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
- EPLLiverpool @ BrightonKalshi + BetMGM · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
- La LigaBilbao @ GetafePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 29 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
- La LigaBilbao @ Real SociedadKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- UCLBayern Munich @ ArsenalPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- EPLNewcastle @ EvertonKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- EPLLiverpool @ ArsenalKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- La LigaBilbao @ GetafePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
- UCLBayern Munich @ ArsenalKalshi + Caesars · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- UCLClub Brugge @ LensKalshi + Caesars · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- Ligue 1Troyes @ Le MansPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- EPLLiverpool @ ArsenalPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ MonacoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- Serie ATorino @ ComoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- Ligue 1Nice @ Stade RennaisKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- Ligue 1Nice @ Stade RennaisKalshi + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- EPLAston Villa @ FulhamKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- WTAKatarzyna Kawa vs Maja ChwalinskaPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far28.0%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ FC KölnPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ MonacoKalshi + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- EPLChelsea @ Manchester UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- EPLAston Villa @ FulhamKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- MLSSalt Lake @ Saint LouisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- BundesligaMainz @ BremenPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
- MLSCincinnati @ DC UnitedFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
- BundesligaMainz @ BremenPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- MLSCincinnati @ DC UnitedPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- MLSSan Diego FC @ SeattleKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- BundesligaSchalke @ LeipzigKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- Serie AGenoa @ JuventusKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- EPLChelsea @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ FC KölnKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ Strasbourg AlsacePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
- Serie AAtalanta @ FrosinoneKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
- MLSCincinnati @ DC UnitedPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
- MLSPortland @ CharlotteKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg24.8%
- Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ AuxerreKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.7%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ OsasunaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.5%
- EPLTottenham @ Crystal PalacePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
- BundesligaBremen @ HoffenheimKalshi + Fanatics · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ FC KölnKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- MLSDallas @ San JoseKalshi + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- MLSColumbus @ TorontoPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- MLSMontreal @ NashvilleKalshi + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ AuxerreKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
- Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ Strasbourg AlsaceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
- Ligue 1Marseille @ ToulouseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- EPLTottenham @ Crystal PalaceKalshi + FanDuel · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- MLSMontreal @ NashvilleKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- EPLTottenham @ CoventryBetRivers + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- MLSNew York RB @ MiamiPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
- BundesligaBremen @ HoffenheimKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.2%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ PaderbornKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.1%
- MLSCincinnati @ DC UnitedKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
- UCLReal Betis @ FeyenoordKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
- EPLManchester City @ BrightonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
- BundesligaM´gladbach @ PaderbornPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.9%
- La LigaLevante @ AtleticoKalshi + Fanatics · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.8%
- UCLPSG @ BarcelonaBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
- UCLPSG @ BarcelonaCaesars + Kalshi · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
- MLSColumbus @ TorontoKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.6%
- La LigaLevante @ AtleticoKalshi + DraftKings · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.9%
- La LigaVillarreal @ EspanyolKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.3%
- La LigaVillarreal @ EspanyolKalshi + Fanatics · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.3%
- La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 31 min · a draw pays out on neither leg19.6%
- La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridFanatics + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg19.6%
- BundesligaDortmund @ FrankfurtPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.4%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ OsasunaKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg19.3%
- BundesligaLeverkusen @ StuttgartKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg18.9%
- La LigaVillarreal @ EspanyolKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg17.7%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ HamburgKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg17.6%
- La LigaBarcelona @ Real MadridPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg17.5%
- Serie AInter @ FiorentinaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.3%
- Ligue 1Lyon @ AngersPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg17.0%
- Serie AInter @ FiorentinaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.1%
- Serie AVenezia @ InterKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg11.7%
- La LigaSantander @ Real MadridKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg11.4%
- UCLInter @ ShakhtarKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg11.0%
- UCLInter @ ShakhtarKalshi + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg10.9%
- La LigaSantander @ Real MadridKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg10.8%
- Ligue 1Le Havre @ PSGKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg10.4%
- Dota 2Nemiga Gaming vs HULIGANIPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr2.0%
- CS2ex-6666 vs Fire Flux EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.4%
- CS2Saint Sinners vs LilmixKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr1.3%
- WTAKatarzyna Kawa vs Daria SnigurPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far1.2%
- CS2ILLYRIANS vs WRAITH PCIFICPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min1.0%
- CS2The Chosen Few vs SANCTUMKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.5%
- WTALeylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra SasnovichPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr0.4%
- NFLGreen Bay @ DetroitKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min0.3%
- CS2FORZE Reload vs GenOneKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.