The log

Track record

Wednesday, September 9

125 gaps written down that day, 41 on two-way markets and 84 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.

  • La LigaOsasuna @ EspanyolPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg39.0%
  • Serie AUdinese @ CagliariPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg38.3%
  • Ligue 1Auxerre @ Stade Brest 29Polymarket + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.1%
  • Serie AUdinese @ CagliariPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.0%
  • Serie AGenoa @ FrosinonePolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg36.3%
  • Serie AGenoa @ FrosinonePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.7%
  • Serie AGenoa @ FrosinoneKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.7%
  • EPLAston Villa @ Nottingham ForestKalshi + BetRivers · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.4%
  • EPLTottenham @ EvertonPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg34.5%
  • La LigaReal Sociedad @ AtleticoPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.2%
  • Serie ARoma @ InterPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
  • Serie ARoma @ InterPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.5%
  • La LigaVallecano @ EspanyolKalshi + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg33.4%
  • MLSDC United @ AtlantaPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
  • La LigaLevante @ BilbaoPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
  • Ligue 1Auxerre @ Stade Brest 29Polymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.3%
  • MLSSalt Lake @ New York CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
  • BundesligaUnion Berlin @ SchalkeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
  • La LigaMalaga @ VillarrealFanatics + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
  • EPLTottenham @ EvertonKalshi + BetRivers · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
  • MLSDC United @ AtlantaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
  • MLSPortland @ Saint LouisPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
  • MLSOrlando @ TorontoKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
  • La LigaMalaga @ VillarrealKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
  • EPLEverton @ Ipswich TownPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
  • BundesligaSchalke @ ElversbergPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
  • MLSHouston @ Salt LakeKalshi + FanDuel · stood 19 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
  • La LigaMalaga @ VillarrealPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
  • La LigaMalaga @ VillarrealPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • MLSPortland @ Saint LouisKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • EPLLeeds United @ Crystal PalacePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • La LigaEspanyol @ ElchePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
  • EPLBournemouth @ LiverpoolPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
  • BundesligaM´gladbach @ MainzPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
  • Ligue 1Nice @ LillePolymarket + DraftKings · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
  • MLSHouston @ Salt LakeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
  • La LigaMalaga @ VillarrealKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
  • MLSAtlanta @ OrlandoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
  • MLSColorado @ MontrealPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
  • MLSDC United @ AtlantaBetRivers + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ MonacoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • BundesligaMainz @ FrankfurtKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
  • BundesligaStuttgart @ DortmundPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.2%
  • MLSMinnesota @ DallasKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ MiamiPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
  • UCLNapoli @ ArsenalKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.8%
  • UCLLiverpool @ AtleticoPolymarket + Caesars · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
  • UCLLiverpool @ AtleticoPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
  • UCLLiverpool @ AtleticoDraftKings + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
  • MLSAtlanta @ OrlandoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
  • UCLLiverpool @ AtleticoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
  • BundesligaAugsburg @ LeverkusenPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.6%
  • BundesligaMainz @ FrankfurtKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
  • UCLSporting CP @ GalatasarayDraftKings + Polymarket · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New EnglandPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.9%
  • MLSCincinnati @ CharlotteKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
  • MLSColumbus @ New York RBKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg24.7%
  • MLSPhiladelphia @ CincinnatiPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
  • MLSSan Diego FC @ San JoseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.2%
  • MLSSan Diego FC @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
  • MLSMinnesota @ DallasPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
  • MLSKansas City @ Los Angeles FFanatics + BetRivers · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.2%
  • EPLSunderland @ ArsenalKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
  • MLSDallas @ PortlandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.6%
  • MLSDallas @ PortlandBetRivers + Fanatics · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New EnglandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.5%
  • MLSKansas City @ Los Angeles FKalshi + Fanatics · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.3%
  • UCLEindhoven @ ShakhtarPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.5%
  • MLSCincinnati @ CharlotteKalshi + FanDuel · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.4%
  • UCLEindhoven @ ShakhtarKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
  • La LigaElche @ Real MadridPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.3%
  • EPLChelsea @ Hull CityKalshi + DraftKings · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.0%
  • CS2ENCE Prospects vs SINQU RehtiPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr13.4%
  • EPLChelsea @ Hull CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.6%
  • UCLStuttgart @ VikingPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg12.5%
  • MLSVancouver @ AustinPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg10.6%
  • BundesligaBayern Munich @ Union BerlinKalshi + BetMGM · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.5%
  • UCLManchester United @ Sabah MasazirPolymarket + Caesars · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg7.0%
  • UCLManchester United @ Sabah MasazirPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg7.0%
  • BundesligaBayern Munich @ Union BerlinKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg6.4%
  • NCAAFNorth Carolina @ ClemsonKalshi + DraftKings · stood 3 days6.0%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ SantanderPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg5.4%
  • WTAMirra Andreeva vs Coco GauffKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far4.3%
  • MLBWashington @ San DiegoKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far3.9%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ SantanderPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.6%
  • UCLPSG @ Slovan BratislavaCaesars + Kalshi · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg3.1%
  • La LigaVillarreal @ LevantePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.0%
  • CS2XI Esport vs ex-VP.ProdigyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr3.0%
  • CS2G2 vs 9zKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr2.8%
  • CS2Infinite vs NIPPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr2.8%
  • CS2eSuba vs WBT AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr2.5%
  • CS2valarmorghulis vs FLXREPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr2.2%
  • ValorantThe Spiders vs FlyQuest REDPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr2.2%
  • CS2NAVI Junior vs Fire Flux EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min2.2%
  • CS2Esport BERG vs Falcons ForcePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr1.8%
  • CS2ZOTIX vs B8 AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr1.8%
  • CS2100 Thieves vs AcendKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 hr1.6%
  • CS25star vs AstralisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr1.6%
  • MLSHouston @ CincinnatiPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg1.5%
  • NFLLas Vegas @ Los Angeles CBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 16 hr1.4%
  • CS2ex-Zero Tenacity vs Phantom AcademyKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 hr1.4%
  • NFLDetroit @ BuffaloDraftKings + FanDuel · stood 60 min1.4%
  • ATPAlexander Zverev vs Botic Van de ZandschulpKalshi + Caesars · seen once so far1.3%
  • CS2Galorys vs ImperialPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr1.2%
  • NCAAFMontana St. @ NevadaDraftKings + FanDuel · seen once so far1.2%
  • CS2magic vs PARIVISIONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr1.0%
  • CS2K27 vs HeroicPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.9%
  • NCAAFMontana St. @ NevadaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 60 min0.9%
  • NFLIndianapolis @ Kansas CityFanDuel + DraftKings · stood 20 hr0.8%
  • NCAAFRobert Morris @ AkronKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far0.8%
  • LoLThe Bandits vs Senshi Esports ClubKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr0.8%
  • NCAAFLSU @ Ole MissKalshi + DraftKings · stood 11 hr0.8%
  • ValorantUshiras vs Evil Geniuses GCPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.7%
  • CS2Bushido Wildcats vs AzuolasKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.7%
  • NFLLas Vegas @ Los Angeles CKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far0.6%
  • CS2BIG Academy vs DNKKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.6%
  • CS2WW Team vs K27Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 hr0.5%
  • LoLShopify Rebellion vs Cloud9Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days0.4%
  • LoLHanwha Life Esports vs T1Kalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days0.4%
  • CS2eternal premium vs TeletubisiePolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.3%
  • NCAAFAlabama St. @ TroyKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 hr0.3%
  • CS2BBL vs 3DMAXPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr0.3%
  • CS2Astralis vs BetBoom TeamPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr0.3%
  • CS2FOKUS vs NIPPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.2%
  • CS2BetBoom Team vs MIBRKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr0.2%

The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.