Track record
Tuesday, September 29
74 gaps written down that day, 28 on two-way markets and 46 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- La LigaLevante @ SevillaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg38.4%
- La LigaLevante @ SevillaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.6%
- Serie ALecce @ BolognaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- La LigaAlaves @ AtleticoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.5%
- La LigaSantander @ ValenciaFanatics + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- EPLSunderland @ BrightonPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
- EPLCoventry @ NewcastlePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.7%
- UCLShakhtar @ AEK AthensBetMGM + DraftKings · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- Serie ALazio @ MonzaPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.2%
- EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
- EPLLiverpool @ Manchester CityPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- UCLReal Betis @ PortoBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
- UCLAston Villa @ FenerbahceKalshi + BetRivers · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ ElversbergPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 45 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- UCLLens @ Sporting CPKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.1%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
- UCLManchester City @ PSGKalshi + BetMGM · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
- UCLSabah Masazir @ Slavia PragueKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- UCLAtletico @ Manchester UnitedKalshi + BetMGM · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- UCLSabah Masazir @ Slavia PraguePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- MLSNew York RB @ Saint LouisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 41 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- UCLFeyenoord @ ComoKalshi + BetMGM · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.0%
- UCLBodoe/Glimt @ DortmundKalshi + BetRivers · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.6%
- UCLSabah Masazir @ Slavia PragueKalshi + DraftKings · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
- BundesligaFreiburg @ SchalkeKalshi + Fanatics · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.2%
- UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- UCLSabah Masazir @ Slavia PragueKalshi + BetRivers · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenKalshi + BetRivers · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
- Serie ANapoli @ FrosinoneKalshi + FanDuel · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.1%
- MLSNew York RB @ San Diego FCKalshi + Caesars · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.8%
- Serie ANapoli @ FrosinoneKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.4%
- ATPLorenzo Musetti vs Arthur FeryPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr18.4%
- Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ AuxerrePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.4%
- WTAPetra Marcinko vs Magdalena FrechPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min17.1%
- UCLSlovan Bratislava @ StuttgartBetRivers + DraftKings · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.5%
- UCLLASK @ LiverpoolKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.4%
- UCLInter @ Club BruggeKalshi + BetMGM · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.4%
- ATPHubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far14.2%
- WTAPetra Marcinko vs Magdalena FrechPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min14.1%
- UCLGalatasaray @ BarcelonaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
- UCLGalatasaray @ BarcelonaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.0%
- UCLArsenal @ LilleKalshi + DraftKings · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.9%
- WTAMayar Sherif vs Polina KudermetovaPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far13.5%
- UCLArsenal @ LilleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.4%
- BundesligaAugsburg @ Bayern MunichPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.0%
- WTAViktorija Golubic vs Alina KorneevaPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min11.5%
- UCLViking @ Bayern MunichBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.5%
- LoLGalions vs T1 AcademyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr6.9%
- Dota 2Natus Vincere vs Team NemesisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 19 hr4.7%
- La LigaBarcelona @ GetafePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.1%
- CS2Procyon Gaming vs Gremio EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr2.1%
- Dota 2Xtreme Gaming vs Level UPKalshi + Polymarket · stood 19 hr1.6%
- CS2Marsborne vs LAG GamingKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr1.5%
- LoLKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs LOSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 23 hr1.5%
- LoLThe Secret Club Esport vs ForsakenPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr1.4%
- Dota 21win vs Team SpiritPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr1.4%
- CS2Team Magnum vs Nuclear TigeRESPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr1.2%
- CS2Fire Flux Esports vs FORZE ReloadPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.9%
- Dota 2Yangon Galacticos vs Cloud DawningKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 hr0.8%
- Dota 2LGD Gaming vs PARIVISIONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr0.8%
- CS2DARKWALL vs Team NemesisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr0.7%
- CS2METANOIA WOLVES vs BORRACHEIROSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr0.6%
- ATPTaylor Fritz vs Jaume MunarPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far0.6%
- ValorantJD Gaming vs T1Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days0.6%
- NFLLos Angeles R @ PhiladelphiaPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far0.6%
- LoL9z Globant vs Estral EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr0.5%
- WTAPaula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 hr0.3%
- CS2BakS eSports vs K27Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.3%
- LoLAnubis Gaming vs TLN PiratesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr0.2%
- CS2fnatic vs BIGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.