Track record
Friday, October 2
119 gaps written down that day, 26 on two-way markets and 93 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- MLSMinnesota @ HoustonPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.6%
- MLSMinnesota @ HoustonKalshi + BetMGM · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.3%
- La LigaValencia @ BilbaoFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.9%
- Serie AComo @ RomaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 16 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.6%
- Ligue 1Le Mans @ ToulouseKalshi + BetRivers · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.5%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ LevanteKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
- La LigaValencia @ BilbaoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.7%
- UCLManchester City @ PSGPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- La LigaDeportivo De La Coruna @ LevanteKalshi + DraftKings · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- EPLBrentford @ LiverpoolBetRivers + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
- MLSChicago Fire @ VancouverPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- MLSAustin @ NashvilleKalshi + BetRivers · stood 40 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- La LigaSantander @ ValenciaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- La LigaSantander @ ValenciaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- MLSChicago Fire @ VancouverKalshi + FanDuel · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.0%
- MLSNew England @ SeattleKalshi + Caesars · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- EPLEverton @ ChelseaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- MLSNew York RB @ San Diego FCKalshi + BetMGM · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
- EPLEverton @ ChelseaDraftKings + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.2%
- MLSChicago Fire @ VancouverKalshi + Fanatics · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.2%
- EPLBrentford @ LiverpoolKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
- MLSCharlotte @ DallasKalshi + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverCaesars + BetRivers · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
- MLSKansas City @ PortlandKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- La LigaEspanyol @ AtleticoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- MLSNew England @ SeattleKalshi + BetMGM · stood 29 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.2%
- Serie AVenezia @ NapoliBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
- La LigaEspanyol @ AtleticoBetRivers + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.7%
- MLSNew York RB @ San Diego FCKalshi + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.7%
- EPLNewcastle @ Aston VillaBetRivers + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- EPLFulham @ Hull CityFanDuel + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
- La LigaReal Sociedad @ Deportivo De La CorunaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- EPLFulham @ Hull CityKalshi + BetRivers · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- MLSCharlotte @ DallasKalshi + Caesars · stood 32 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- La LigaAlaves @ AtleticoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.1%
- MLSAtlanta @ CincinnatiKalshi + BetMGM · stood 34 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.0%
- MLSKansas City @ PortlandPolymarket + Caesars · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- BundesligaBremen @ PaderbornFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- MLSToronto @ MontrealPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- Serie AVenezia @ NapoliKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- UCLManchester City @ PSGKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- MLSToronto @ MontrealKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
- EPLNewcastle @ Aston VillaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- MLSToronto @ MontrealKalshi + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- UCLAston Villa @ FenerbahcePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
- MLSOrlando @ ColumbusKalshi + Caesars · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- MLSColorado @ San JoseKalshi + Caesars · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- BundesligaSchalke @ MainzKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- EPLManchester United @ TottenhamPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- MLSAtlanta @ CincinnatiPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- UCLLens @ Sporting CPKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
- Serie ACagliari @ JuventusKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.2%
- MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityCaesars + BetRivers · stood 33 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- Ligue 1Troyes @ LensDraftKings + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- MLSKansas City @ PortlandKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.9%
- UCLFeyenoord @ ComoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- BundesligaElversberg @ AugsburgFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
- UCLAston Villa @ FenerbahceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Le HavrePolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- MLSNew York RB @ San Diego FCKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
- MLSKansas City @ PortlandPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 42 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.3%
- UCLFeyenoord @ ComoKalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.1%
- Serie ABologna @ InterKalshi + FanDuel · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.1%
- BundesligaHamburg @ StuttgartKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.8%
- MLSNew York RB @ San Diego FCFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FC KölnFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.7%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.6%
- BundesligaHamburg @ StuttgartFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg22.6%
- MLSToronto @ MontrealKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Stade Brest 29FanDuel + DraftKings · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg22.2%
- Ligue 1Monaco @ ToulouseKalshi + FanDuel · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.6%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ StuttgartKalshi + BetMGM · stood 29 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.3%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ DortmundKalshi + BetMGM · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg21.0%
- MLSSaint Louis @ Los Angeles GKalshi + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.3%
- La LigaVillarreal @ ElcheFanDuel + DraftKings · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.9%
- La LigaVillarreal @ ElcheKalshi + FanDuel · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.1%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ Salt LakeKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.5%
- La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.9%
- UCLArsenal @ LillePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 37 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.4%
- MLSPhiladelphia @ Salt LakeKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.4%
- Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ PSGDraftKings + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg15.7%
- UCLArsenal @ LilleBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.1%
- MLSMiami @ DC UnitedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.9%
- Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ PSGKalshi + FanDuel · stood 24 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.1%
- Serie ARoma @ GenoaKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg13.9%
- EPLManchester City @ Ipswich TownKalshi + BetRivers · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.2%
- Serie ARoma @ GenoaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.8%
- BundesligaBayern Munich @ LeipzigFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.5%
- CS2SAW vs aimclubKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 hr7.2%
- CS2TYLOO vs Team FalconsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 20 hr3.8%
- CS29z vs Aurora GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 20 hr3.4%
- La LigaBarcelona @ GetafeKalshi + Fanatics · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg3.4%
- Dota 2Ivory vs Cloud DawningKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min3.4%
- CS2BC.Game Esports vs BBLKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr2.5%
- Dota 2InterActive Philippines vs Cloud DawningKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 hr2.4%
- CS2Nice Try vs PUREPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min2.1%
- La LigaBarcelona @ GetafePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 35 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg2.0%
- CS2K27 vs UPGRADEKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.4%
- ValorantPcific Esports vs Eternal FirePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 29 hr1.4%
- CS2BetBoom Team vs FURIAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 21 hr1.3%
- CS2Sangal vs Eternal FirePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr1.3%
- CS2Sinners vs NIPPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr1.3%
- NFLLas Vegas @ New EnglandKalshi + DraftKings · stood 24 hr0.9%
- Dota 2Team Yandex vs Team SpiritKalshi + Polymarket · stood 30 hr0.8%
- CS2ShindeN vs SpiritPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 23 hr0.7%
- WTAMaria Timofeeva vs Naomi OsakaPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.7%
- WTAXinran Sun vs Cristina BucsaPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far0.6%
- NHLUtah @ ColumbusKalshi + BetMGM · seen once so far0.6%
- ATPJaume Munar vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.6%
- NCAAFSyracuse @ UConnKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.5%
- CS2NAVI Junior vs SAWPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.4%
- NCAAFToledo @ Ball St.Kalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.4%
- CS21WIN vs VitalityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr0.4%
- NCAAFBowling Green @ Miami (OH)Kalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.3%
- MLBAtlanta @ Los Angeles DPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.2%
- ValorantNongshim RedForce vs Karmine CorpPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.