The log

Track record

Sunday, October 4

134 gaps written down that day, 27 on two-way markets and 107 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.

  • La LigaMalaga @ EspanyolKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg39.6%
  • Serie ALecce @ BolognaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg38.3%
  • Serie AMonza @ CagliariKalshi + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg38.0%
  • Serie AParma Calcio @ TorinoKalshi + FanDuel · stood 22 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg38.0%
  • La LigaGetafe @ VallecanoKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.9%
  • La LigaValencia @ BilbaoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg34.1%
  • EPLHull City @ EvertonPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
  • Ligue 1Nice @ Strasbourg AlsacePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.4%
  • Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ AngersBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 21 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.5%
  • EPLBrentford @ LiverpoolPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.8%
  • Serie AComo @ RomaPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg31.5%
  • Ligue 1Lens @ LyonPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
  • La LigaOsasuna @ SantanderKalshi + Fanatics · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
  • MLSAustin @ NashvilleKalshi + Fanatics · stood 44 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg31.0%
  • La LigaValencia @ BilbaoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.5%
  • Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ AngersKalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
  • La LigaValencia @ BilbaoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.4%
  • Ligue 1Le Havre @ AuxerreKalshi + Fanatics · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • Ligue 1Lens @ LyonPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 26 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
  • Serie AUdinese @ LecceKalshi + Fanatics · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.1%
  • Ligue 1Troyes @ MarseillePolymarket + DraftKings · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • UCLLens @ Sporting CPKalshi + BetMGM · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.6%
  • Serie AMilan @ AtalantaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
  • Serie AUdinese @ LecceKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
  • MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg28.2%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ VancouverPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 36 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.0%
  • BundesligaFC Köln @ M´gladbachPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
  • MLSAtlanta @ CincinnatiKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.5%
  • Ligue 1Angers @ MarseilleKalshi + Fanatics · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.2%
  • La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaKalshi + DraftKings · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
  • La LigaEspanyol @ AtleticoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
  • Serie ABologna @ InterFanatics + FanDuel · stood 36 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
  • EPLNewcastle @ Aston VillaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
  • BundesligaElversberg @ AugsburgPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
  • MLSColorado @ MinnesotaBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
  • Ligue 1Monaco @ ToulousePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.1%
  • MLSColumbus @ CharlotteBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
  • Serie AJuventus @ LazioKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
  • MLSMontreal @ AtlantaFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
  • UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenKalshi + Fanatics · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
  • BundesligaElversberg @ AugsburgKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.1%
  • MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.7%
  • Ligue 1Lyon @ NiceKalshi + FanDuel · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.4%
  • UCLFeyenoord @ ComoPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.2%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ VancouverFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.2%
  • Ligue 1Monaco @ ToulouseKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
  • Ligue 1Troyes @ LensPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
  • MLSColorado @ MinnesotaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.5%
  • BundesligaM´gladbach @ HoffenheimKalshi + BetMGM · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.1%
  • MLSLos Angeles F @ AustinKalshi + FanDuel · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.9%
  • BundesligaLeverkusen @ FreiburgKalshi + Fanatics · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.8%
  • MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonKalshi + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.6%
  • BundesligaUnion Berlin @ DortmundKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.2%
  • Ligue 1Troyes @ LensKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.2%
  • Ligue 1Lille @ Stade Brest 29Kalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ PhiladelphiaFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.0%
  • MLSToronto @ OrlandoFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg22.0%
  • MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.8%
  • MLSSalt Lake @ San JoseFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.7%
  • MLSDC United @ New York RBFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.3%
  • MLSDallas @ SeattleFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.2%
  • MLSToronto @ OrlandoKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.7%
  • EPLTottenham @ CoventryKalshi + BetRivers · stood 14 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.6%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ PortlandBetMGM + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.3%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.6%
  • MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.3%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ VancouverKalshi + FanDuel · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg19.2%
  • MLSMontreal @ AtlantaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.2%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.0%
  • MLSMiami @ New York CityKalshi + FanDuel · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.5%
  • MLSLos Angeles F @ AustinFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.4%
  • MLSDC United @ New York RBKalshi + FanDuel · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.4%
  • MLSColumbus @ CharlotteKalshi + FanDuel · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.4%
  • La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.4%
  • MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
  • MLSColorado @ MinnesotaPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.1%
  • MLSColumbus @ CharlottePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.1%
  • MLSSaint Louis @ VancouverPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.0%
  • MLSPhiladelphia @ Salt LakePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.9%
  • La LigaReal Betis @ BarcelonaBetRivers + Fanatics · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.9%
  • MLSColorado @ MinnesotaKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
  • MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonKalshi + FanDuel · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
  • MLSSalt Lake @ San JoseKalshi + FanDuel · stood 28 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.5%
  • MLSDallas @ SeattleKalshi + FanDuel · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.4%
  • MLSNashville @ Kansas CityKalshi + FanDuel · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.2%
  • MLSDallas @ SeattlePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.1%
  • Ligue 1Stade Rennais @ AuxerrePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.0%
  • MLSSan Diego FC @ HoustonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.8%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ PhiladelphiaPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.0%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ PortlandPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.3%
  • MLSChicago Fire @ PhiladelphiaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg15.3%
  • MLSLos Angeles G @ PortlandKalshi + FanDuel · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.8%
  • MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.7%
  • MLSColumbus @ CharlotteKalshi + FanDuel · stood 12 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg14.6%
  • UCLLASK @ LiverpoolKalshi + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.6%
  • Ligue 1Strasbourg Alsace @ PSGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.2%
  • EPLManchester City @ Ipswich TownPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.4%
  • La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaKalshi + BetRivers · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg11.6%
  • MLSToronto @ OrlandoKalshi + FanDuel · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg11.2%
  • BundesligaAugsburg @ Bayern MunichPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg11.0%
  • MLSMiami @ New York CityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg8.9%
  • MLSMontreal @ AtlantaKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg8.9%
  • CS2G2 vs ShindeNKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr8.5%
  • MLSDallas @ SeattlePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg7.1%
  • LoLKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z GlobantKalshi + Polymarket · stood 23 hr5.9%
  • CS2Natus Vincere vs 9zKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr5.0%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ GetafeBetRivers + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg4.6%
  • CS2FURIA vs PARIVISIONKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr3.4%
  • La LigaBarcelona @ GetafePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.0%
  • CS2MOUZ vs SpiritPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr2.7%
  • CS2BetBoom Team vs Aurora GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr2.4%
  • Dota 2CyberHero vs Yellow SubmarinePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr2.3%
  • CS2Team Falcons vs VitalityPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 18 hr2.3%
  • NCAAFTulsa @ NavyFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 89 min1.7%
  • NCAAFIowa St. @ BYUKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far1.7%
  • CS2TYLOO vs M80Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr1.4%
  • Dota 2Nemiga Gaming vs MOUZPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 28 hr1.3%
  • NCAAFWashington St. @ Utah St.BetRivers + FanDuel · seen once so far1.1%
  • NCAAFOld Dominion @ Appalachian St.DraftKings + FanDuel · seen once so far0.9%
  • NFLLas Vegas @ New EnglandKalshi + FanDuel · seen once so far0.7%
  • NFLChicago @ Green BayPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far0.7%
  • ValorantT1 vs NRGPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.7%
  • NFLBaltimore @ AtlantaPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 2 hr0.6%
  • NCAAFLouisiana @ Louisiana TechPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far0.5%
  • Dota 2LGD Gaming vs Team YandexPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days0.4%
  • CS2Procyon Gaming vs GalorysPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr0.4%
  • ATPAlex Bolt vs Lloyd HarrisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr0.4%
  • NCAAFMinnesota @ PurdueKalshi + FanDuel · stood 60 min0.3%
  • CS2MOUZ vs FURIAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.3%
  • NFLChicago @ Green BayPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far0.2%
  • LoLTeam Vitality vs GAM EsportsKalshi + Polymarket · stood 20 hr0.2%
  • CS21WIN vs LegacyPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 hr0.2%
  • MLSNashville @ Kansas CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg0.2%

The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.