Track record
Tuesday, October 6
100 gaps written down that day, 34 on two-way markets and 66 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- La LigaGetafe @ VallecanoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg41.1%
- La LigaGetafe @ VallecanoBetRivers + DraftKings · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg38.7%
- La LigaVallecano @ BilbaoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 43 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg38.2%
- La LigaVallecano @ BilbaoPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 6 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg38.0%
- Serie AMonza @ CagliariPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 13 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.6%
- La LigaMalaga @ EspanyolPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg37.6%
- Serie AMonza @ CagliariKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.3%
- Serie AParma Calcio @ TorinoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg37.1%
- Serie ALecce @ BolognaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.8%
- La LigaElche @ Celta VigoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg35.6%
- La LigaSantander @ ValenciaPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg35.4%
- La LigaSantander @ ValenciaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 41 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.5%
- Serie AFrosinone @ SassuoloPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.8%
- La LigaSantander @ ValenciaKalshi + BetMGM · stood 10 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg32.4%
- La LigaSantander @ ValenciaKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg32.4%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ AlavesPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.1%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ AlavesKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
- La LigaMalaga @ Real SociedadPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.7%
- UCLReal Betis @ PortoPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg31.7%
- EPLIpswich Town @ FulhamKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
- Ligue 1Le Havre @ AuxerrePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg31.4%
- Serie AFiorentina @ ComoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.9%
- Ligue 1Le Mans @ ToulousePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.9%
- La LigaCelta Vigo @ AlavesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- La LigaMalaga @ Real SociedadKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.2%
- UCLShakhtar @ AEK AthensKalshi + Polymarket · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- Ligue 1Le Havre @ AuxerrePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- MLSChicago Fire @ VancouverPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.9%
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridKalshi + BetMGM · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- UCLVillarreal @ NapoliKalshi + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.7%
- MLSChicago Fire @ New York CityKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.3%
- UCLReal Betis @ PortoKalshi + Fanatics · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.9%
- Ligue 1Lens @ LyonPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.7%
- UCLVillarreal @ NapoliPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- Ligue 1Lens @ LyonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- UCLReal Betis @ PortoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.3%
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridBetMGM + Kalshi · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.1%
- UCLLeipzig @ EindhovenBetRivers + Fanatics · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.9%
- MLSAustin @ NashvilleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- Ligue 1Angers @ MarseillePolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.5%
- EPLBrighton @ Crystal PalacePolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.4%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg26.2%
- BundesligaFrankfurt @ FC KölnPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 15 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.9%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.8%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.7%
- Serie AVenezia @ NapoliKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
- EPLFulham @ Hull CityKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.3%
- Ligue 1Angers @ MarseilleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 12 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.2%
- La LigaReal Betis @ OsasunaKalshi + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.6%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ DortmundPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 31 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.2%
- Serie AAtalanta @ VeneziaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.8%
- BundesligaLeverkusen @ FreiburgPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg23.4%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ StuttgartPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg23.4%
- EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg21.0%
- EPLTottenham @ CoventryPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg21.0%
- EPLArsenal @ Leeds UnitedKalshi + Fanatics · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.5%
- La LigaVillarreal @ ElcheKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg17.8%
- UCLArsenal @ LilleCaesars + BetMGM · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg17.0%
- MLSLos Angeles G @ PortlandKalshi + BetMGM · stood 43 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.9%
- UCLSlovan Bratislava @ StuttgartPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 47 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.4%
- UCLLASK @ LiverpoolPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.2%
- UCLGalatasaray @ BarcelonaBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.1%
- UCLSlovan Bratislava @ StuttgartKalshi + BetMGM · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.9%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ VillarrealPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.7%
- EPLManchester City @ Ipswich TownPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg13.1%
- CS2Metizport vs K27Polymarket + Kalshi · stood 29 hr5.5%
- LoLMaryville University vs DisguisedPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 21 hr4.6%
- La LigaBarcelona @ GetafeKalshi + BetRivers · stood 8 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg4.3%
- CS2Natus Vincere vs PARIVISIONKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 hr3.6%
- LoLSkillcamp Esport vs Karmine Corp BluePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 28 hr3.5%
- LoLFlyQuest vs GAM EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr3.5%
- ATPHubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 4 hr3.2%
- ATPNovak Djokovic vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far2.8%
- CS2BORRACHEIROS vs Turma do PagodePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 23 hr2.5%
- CS29z vs FURIAPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 hr2.5%
- ATPArthur Fery vs Marin CilicKalshi + Fanatics · seen once so far2.0%
- ATPHubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 16 hr1.5%
- Dota 2MOUZ vs LEGIONKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr1.3%
- ATPHubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthPolymarket + BetMGM · seen once so far1.3%
- LoLShopify Rebellion vs FlyQuestPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr1.2%
- NCAAFMissouri @ Ole MissPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far0.9%
- ATPHubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far0.9%
- LoLUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry KnightsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 21 hr0.9%
- NFLHouston @ TennesseePolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far0.9%
- NCAAFUAB @ MemphisKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.8%
- LoLKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Estral EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 16 hr0.7%
- CS2Phantom vs fnaticPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 23 hr0.6%
- ATPHubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthPolymarket + DraftKings · seen once so far0.6%
- ATPAdrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz BasilashviliKalshi + BetRivers · seen once so far0.5%
- CS2ex-Zero Tenacity vs MASONICKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.4%
- LoLLGD Gaming vs JD GamingPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.4%
- CS2Privateer Gaming vs The Last ResortPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.4%
- ATPHubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 13 hr0.3%
- CS2MOUZ NXT vs ENCEPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr0.3%
- CS2Gothic vs mellrenKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr0.3%
- Dota 21win vs AuroraPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr0.2%
- Dota 2Nemiga Gaming vs BlasterblPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 hr0.2%
- CS2Sinners vs Team NemesisPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 40 hr0.2%
- Dota 2Xipto Esports vs InterActive PhilippinesKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr0.2%
- CS2WRAITH PCIFIC vs TheChampionGGKalshi + Polymarket · stood 21 hr0.2%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.