Track record
Thursday, October 8
118 gaps written down that day, 35 on two-way markets and 83 on soccer, where a draw pays out on neither leg. Every percentage is what the two prices implied after fees at the moment we saw them. Nothing here is recalculated later.
- Serie AMonza @ CagliariPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 4 days · a draw pays out on neither leg40.4%
- La LigaMalaga @ EspanyolKalshi + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg39.9%
- Serie AParma Calcio @ TorinoPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg39.2%
- Serie AMonza @ CagliariBetRivers + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg38.8%
- Serie ATorino @ UdinesePolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg36.7%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ Paris FCKalshi + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg36.0%
- Serie AGenoa @ FiorentinaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 14 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.7%
- La LigaLevante @ SevillaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.6%
- La LigaElche @ Celta VigoKalshi + DraftKings · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg35.3%
- EPLHull City @ EvertonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ Stade RennaisKalshi + Polymarket · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg33.8%
- Ligue 1Lorient @ MonacoPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg33.6%
- Ligue 1Paris FC @ Stade RennaisPolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg33.5%
- MLSLos Angeles F @ VancouverPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg33.5%
- La LigaOsasuna @ SantanderPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg33.3%
- UCLShakhtar @ AEK AthensPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg32.3%
- La LigaSantander @ ValenciaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg32.0%
- MLSKansas City @ PortlandFanDuel + BetRivers · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.7%
- EPLEverton @ ChelseaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 9 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- MLSCharlotte @ DallasPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- EPLBournemouth @ SunderlandPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.6%
- Ligue 1Stade Brest 29 @ AngersKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- MLSMinnesota @ HoustonKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.3%
- Serie AUdinese @ LeccePolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- La LigaEspanyol @ AtleticoPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg30.1%
- BundesligaUnion Berlin @ ElversbergKalshi + Polymarket · stood 37 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- La LigaMalaga @ Real SociedadPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 days · a draw pays out on neither leg29.8%
- UCLManchester City @ PSGPolymarket + Caesars · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg29.6%
- MLSCharlotte @ DallasKalshi + BetRivers · stood 5 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.5%
- UCLRoma @ Real MadridPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg29.4%
- BundesligaMainz @ LeverkusenKalshi + Fanatics · stood 27 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- EPLNewcastle @ Aston VillaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.8%
- Serie ASassuolo @ MilanKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- MLSDC United @ New York RBPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 17 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- UCLManchester City @ PSGKalshi + Caesars · stood 23 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg28.5%
- MLSAtlanta @ CincinnatiKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg28.4%
- Serie AJuventus @ LazioPolymarket + Fanatics · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg27.7%
- MLSAustin @ NashvilleKalshi + Fanatics · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- UCLManchester City @ PSGPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg27.6%
- EPLFulham @ Hull CityPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg27.4%
- La LigaReal Sociedad @ Deportivo De La CorunaPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- Serie ABologna @ InterKalshi + Fanatics · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.9%
- Ligue 1Troyes @ MarseilleKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.8%
- UCLBodoe/Glimt @ DortmundKalshi + DraftKings · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.7%
- Ligue 1Angers @ MarseillePolymarket + Fanatics · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg26.6%
- MLSSaint Louis @ VancouverBetMGM + BetRivers · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.3%
- Serie AVenezia @ NapoliPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg26.2%
- EPLManchester United @ TottenhamKalshi + DraftKings · stood 4 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg26.0%
- UCLFeyenoord @ ComoFanatics + FanDuel · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.8%
- UCLFeyenoord @ ComoPolymarket + Caesars · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- La LigaReal Sociedad @ Deportivo De La CorunaKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.6%
- EPLChelsea @ BournemouthKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg25.5%
- Serie ACagliari @ JuventusKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg25.4%
- Serie AAtalanta @ VeneziaPolymarket + FanDuel · stood 60 min · a draw pays out on neither leg24.6%
- UCLFeyenoord @ ComoPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.3%
- MLSCincinnati @ New EnglandFanatics + BetRivers · stood 38 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- BundesligaBremen @ PaderbornKalshi + BetMGM · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg24.1%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Stade Brest 29Polymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.7%
- Ligue 1Troyes @ LensPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg23.6%
- MLSSaint Louis @ Los Angeles GFanDuel + BetMGM · stood 18 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg22.5%
- BundesligaLeipzig @ FrankfurtPolymarket + FanDuel · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg22.1%
- MLSSaint Louis @ Los Angeles GKalshi + BetMGM · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg20.9%
- BundesligaPaderborn @ StuttgartKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg20.6%
- BundesligaLeipzig @ FrankfurtPolymarket + BetRivers · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg20.4%
- Ligue 1Lille @ Le HavreKalshi + Polymarket · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg19.8%
- BundesligaHoffenheim @ HamburgKalshi + Polymarket · stood 30 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- BundesligaDortmund @ BremenPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg18.3%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ VillarrealPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 9 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.9%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ VillarrealKalshi + DraftKings · stood 20 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg16.2%
- UCLGalatasaray @ BarcelonaPolymarket + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg16.0%
- Serie ARoma @ GenoaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 8 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.9%
- Serie ARoma @ GenoaPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.9%
- UCLInter @ Club BruggePolymarket + BetMGM · stood 2 days · a draw pays out on neither leg15.0%
- UCLInter @ Club BruggeKalshi + BetMGM · stood 5 days · a draw pays out on neither leg14.6%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaBetRivers + DraftKings · stood 43 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg13.3%
- MLSMiami @ New York CityKalshi + BetRivers · stood 6 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.6%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaPolymarket + BetRivers · stood 3 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg12.3%
- La LigaReal Madrid @ SevillaPolymarket + DraftKings · stood 3 days · a draw pays out on neither leg12.0%
- Serie AInter @ Parma CalcioKalshi + BetMGM · stood 7 hr · a draw pays out on neither leg9.3%
- UCLViking @ Bayern MunichBetMGM + Caesars · seen once so far · a draw pays out on neither leg7.3%
- LoLKaufland Hangry Knights vs GalionsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 34 hr6.7%
- LoLMaryville University vs Cupid EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr5.7%
- Dota 2PARIVISION vs 1winKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr5.7%
- LoLTeam Vitality vs KT RolsterPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days4.9%
- CS2Sangal vs FaZePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min4.1%
- LoLG2 NORD vs SolaryPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days3.7%
- UCLInter @ ShakhtarPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 7 days · a draw pays out on neither leg3.5%
- LoLJD Gaming vs Natus VincerePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 hr3.5%
- LoLJD Gaming vs BNK FEARXPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 3 days3.4%
- Dota 2Team Yandex vs PARIVISIONPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min2.4%
- LoLKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs LOSPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 days1.9%
- CS2Bounty Hunters Esports vs ALKAKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min1.9%
- CS2Galorys vs Low CortisolKalshi + Polymarket · seen once so far1.8%
- LoLDisguised vs FuegoKalshi + Polymarket · stood 18 hr1.6%
- UCLManchester City @ AEK AthensPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg1.5%
- Dota 2Aurora vs Team SpiritPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 10 hr1.4%
- CS2MOUZ vs FURIAKalshi + Polymarket · stood 23 hr1.2%
- CS2Reign Above vs VillainousPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far1.2%
- ValorantNongshim RedForce vs 100 ThievesPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 9 hr1.2%
- CS2NAVI Junior vs WBTPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 4 hr1.0%
- CS2QUINTESSENCIA vs MEIA NOITEPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.8%
- UCLAston Villa @ VikingPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 11 days · a draw pays out on neither leg0.8%
- CS2SINQU Rehti vs SokerorgPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.8%
- CS2Nexus vs CYBERSHOKE EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 5 hr0.8%
- NFLBaltimore @ ClevelandKalshi + DraftKings · seen once so far0.6%
- CS2Bebop vs mellrenPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 12 hr0.6%
- CS2WRAITH PCIFIC vs XI EsportKalshi + Polymarket · stood 11 hr0.4%
- CS2K27 vs fnaticPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.4%
- ATPAlex de Minaur vs Alex MolcanKalshi + Polymarket · stood 3 hr0.3%
- CS2LPH Gaming vs Dynamo Eclot PhoenixKalshi + Polymarket · stood 13 hr0.3%
- LoLAnubis Gaming vs Karmine Corp BluePolymarket + Kalshi · stood 2 days0.3%
- CS2Spirit vs Team FalconsPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 15 hr0.3%
- ValorantNongshim RedForce vs Team VitalityPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.3%
- CS2Royal Foxes Esports vs Elite KlanKalshi + Polymarket · stood 7 hr0.2%
- CS2Acend vs HOTUPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 60 min0.2%
- CS2ex-Zero Tenacity vs AcendKalshi + Polymarket · stood 60 min0.2%
- CS2Sinners vs GamerLegionPolymarket + Kalshi · stood 14 hr0.2%
- CS2Detonate vs Chicken Coop EsportsPolymarket + Kalshi · seen once so far0.1%
The full log has every day, and the walkthrough explains the arithmetic.